Messages

391

Forecasting / Re: Spring/Summer Weather Discussion Thread

« on: April 29, 2013, 09:19:02 PM »

Fail by the NAM, Euro, and RGEM. Win for the GFS and GGEM regarding the amount of precip today (0.00"). California like weather here over the next week.

Tonight Mostly cloudy, with a low around 45. East wind around 8 mph.

Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 65. East wind 9 to 14 mph.

Tuesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. East wind 7 to 9 mph.

Wednesday Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 8 to 14 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight.

Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 67.

Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.

Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.

Friday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.

Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 45.

Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.

Sunday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47.

Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 65.

392

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 28, 2013, 10:11:52 PM »

54.0°F Overcast

GFS is literally bone dry for tomorrow. NAM gives us an inch of rain. Wth? 

393

Forecasting / Re: Spring/Summer Weather Discussion Thread

« on: April 28, 2013, 10:10:21 PM »

If I can recall, TWC made a big point about March being below-average for the number of tornadoes because it was so cold, and the jet stream was a lot further south than it should have been.  But, they assured, this would all change by April - the jet stream would move north, April would be warm again, and severe weather would return.  Well guess what?  This didn't happen. 

Now we're at the end of April, and TWC is making a big point about April being below-average for number of tornadoes because it was so cold, and the jet stream was a lot further south than it should have been.  But, they assure, this will all change by May - the jet stream will move north, May will be above average in terms of temperatures for a lot of the country, and severe weather will ramp up.  So, is it just me, or is this deja vu?  I guess we'll just have to wait and see, but with this early-May cold blast, I am skeptical about a long-lasting warm-up anytime soon.

In the nation's heartland, yes, April was still pretty cool. But for the east coast and west coast this April is close to average compared to being below average in March. This May has the potential to be below average, but I don't think it will be that bad based on current guidance and may actually be above average. Who knows. 

394

Forecasting / Re: Spring/Summer Weather Discussion Thread

« on: April 27, 2013, 11:55:30 PM »

Craig, if you don't mind me asking, where do you get that tabulated data? I've been trying to find (or make) something like that for quite a while.

Here: http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/archive.shtml?text=KISP&run=2013042718

Here's another one which includes 925mb forecasts: http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KISP

Just type in your airport code.

395

Forecasting / Re: Spring/Summer Weather Discussion Thread

« on: April 27, 2013, 08:15:46 PM »

I never thought I would say this, but I hope it doesn't snow so I'm rooting for the GFS to be wrong. It's almost May, ain't nobody got time fo dat.

EDIT: I also hope this doesn't happen because I have to get my wisdom teeth pulled on the 3rd (next Friday)

I was supposed to get my wisdom tooth pulled this past Thursday, also some baby teeth. But there's too many teeth that are still very deep and are on the nerve. So I need to get surgery done in the hospital sometime this May so I can get invisaligns.

Anyway, The GFS caved the Euro for a more western solution. If any snow threat, it would be in the plains around Nebraska and Kansas. Good stretch of weather inbound for the northeast. Very dry as well. High pressure really dominates the area. Only 0.39" of precip on the 16-day GFS plot and none of that in the next week. If this pattern continues, I can see the parts of the northeast going into a severe drought that may plague this summer and make it a hot one. But 60's and 70's for next couple of weeks isn't bad. Nice warm up next weekend might gives us our second shot of 80 degree temps. Really worried that the drought situation might escalate.

396

General Discussion / Re: What are you listening to?

« on: April 27, 2013, 05:59:33 PM »

*BUMP*

"I'm Still in Love With You" by Sean Paul ft. Sasha

397

General Discussion / Re: Songs You Love To Hate

« on: April 27, 2013, 05:57:38 PM »

The Four Tops - Bernadette, I Can't Help Myself
The Beatles - Homecoming Queen
Rolling Stones - Satisfaction
Little Eva - Locomotion
The Drifters - Under the Boardwalk
The Mamas & The Papas: California Dreamin'

And a bunch of other 60s stuff I can't recall off the top of my head.

And it's even worse when old people sing along to these songs right in front of me at work.

All songs I like haha.

But I listen to every generation of music, there are no songs that I truly hate.

398

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 27, 2013, 01:45:35 PM »

68.6°F Clear 

Expecting a high around 70°F.

399

Forecasting / Re: Spring/Summer Weather Discussion Thread

« on: April 26, 2013, 02:55:24 PM »

Amazing cutoff low forms from a deep trough axis. Behind in, pooling in insanely cold air. GFS has snow as far south as Atlanta. They would beat their latest snowfall date of April 25 set in 1910 if it were to occur. Definitely a storm that needs to be watched.

400

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 26, 2013, 12:01:20 PM »

65.7°F Sunny 100% Clear

UV: 10 out of 16

401

Forecasting / Re: Spring/Summer Weather Discussion Thread

« on: April 26, 2013, 09:10:30 AM »

Next week looks hideous for us. Cutoff low to our west brings an endless supply of clouds, fog, and rain. Also the possibility of record cold in the midwest. It's going to feel like the Pacific Northwest around here next week. 

402

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 25, 2013, 02:28:45 PM »

64.4°F Mostly Sunny

403

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: April 24, 2013, 04:09:13 PM »

Will have the second driest April on record (Islip) and will be 3rd driest for Central Park. The past two years have had very inactive and dry springs. Models literally have no precip for the next 12 days with almost 0% cloud cover everyday. The soil is going to loose a ton of moisture. Might slip into D1 drought.

404

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 24, 2013, 02:29:04 PM »

59.4°F Sunny

Tomorrow should be warmer than today, despite the drastically cooler H85 temps. With a NW wind, there'll be no sea breeze unlike today.

405

Forecasting / Re: Proposed Forecasting Contest

« on: April 24, 2013, 02:27:30 PM »

I'm in. Sounds interesting. Should choose a city that's difficult to forecast, ones with complex microclimates. Ex. A coastal city (temps could possibly be effected by sea breeze)