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General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: February 20, 2014, 06:09:51 PM »
38.5°F Overcast
Slowly loosing my snowpack
Slowly loosing my snowpack
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Okay, Craig, you win. I'll never see those snowfall totals this winter, and you're going to get more soon.
The HRRR has been hands down the best computer model to use this winter here. It has been perfect in every storm here this winter and it scored a coup this time around. It was the only model to show 10"+ here last night while most models had 4-8". Ended up with 11.5". Now the HRRR wants to dump another 12" over NYC in a deformation band as the closed H5 low passes over to the east. We'll see if it continues to dominate.
The HRRR did ok here, it was wrong about was there being a transition too heavy snow near the onset of the storm, it was heavy sleet instead. Thank god it changed over from freezing rain when it did it saved us from a terrible icestorm. I got very nervous and worried when I saw it already accumulating on the power lines within just a few hours of starting, I can only imagine what another 12 hours of that crap would have done.
Also the global models went a bit overboard on the ice potential here, but the NAM was definitely one of if not the worst overall. It kept insisting we were gonna get 1-2 inches of ice here. What the heck was it smokin'?