Messages

1216

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 23, 2012, 09:50:25 PM »

50°F Cloudy

1217

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: April 23, 2012, 02:38:42 PM »

This storm was different in many areas. You had to be right on the coast to experience high winds, which is why KJFK reported a sustained wind of 46mph and a 54mph wind gust, and another place in NY up to 58mph to make this a Category: 4 on the Relative Wind Storm Severity Scale; (there are 6 categories on the RWSSS). My weather station picked up 2.93" of rain in total from this nor'easter. The lowest pressure was 986.5hPa. We went from having a rainfall deficit of 10.07" to 7.38" <- Please note this isn't entirely accurate because the data on Wunderground fluctuates. 


The following are unofficial observations taken during the recent
storm that has been affecting our region. Appreciation is extended to
Highway departments... cooperative observers... Skywarn spotters and
media for these reports. This summary is also available on our home
Page at weather.Gov/NYC

********************storm total rainfall********************

Location storm total time/date comments
                     rainfall of
                     /inches/ measurement

Connecticut

... Fairfield County...
   Norwalk 2.90 510 am 4/23 public
   Redding 2.75 632 am 4/23 public
   Stamford 2.73 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   3 ENE Westport 2.70 800 am 4/23 cocorahs
   New Canaan 2.65 800 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Danbury Airport 2.63 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Bridgeport Airport 2.59 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Shelton 2.35 530 am 4/23 public
   Bridgeport 2.15 745 am 4/23 NWS coop

... Middlesex County...
   1 S Portland 3.52 800 am 4/23 cocorahs

... New Haven County...
   West Haven 4.19 600 am 4/23 broadcast media
   Wallingford 3.74 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   2 ENE Prospect 3.61 635 am 4/23 cocorahs
   New Haven 3.34 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Bethany 2.96 740 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Hamden 2.72 834 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Meriden 2.70 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Madison 2.70 700 am 4/23 public
   Clintonville 2.65 640 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   North Branford 2.52 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Guilford 2.33 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Mount Carmel 1.47 700 am 4/23 mesonet

... New London County...
   Jewett City 4.41 730 am 4/23 public
   Norwich 3.37 700 am 4/23 NWS coop
   Mystic 3.20 1241 PM 4/22 Skywarn spotter
   Ledyard Center 2.87 700 am 4/23 public
   Old Lyme 2.84 800 am 4/23 public
   Colchester 2.84 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Yantic 2.80 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Groton 2.31 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Niantic 2.10 629 am 4/23 observer
   Gales Ferry 1.91 546 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter

New Jersey

... Bergen County...
   1 W Tenafly 2.57 730 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Teterboro 2.44 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Park Ridge 2.37 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Woodcliff Lake 2.36 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Ridgewood 2.35 800 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   1 WNW north arlingto 2.31 700 am 4/23 cocorahs
   1 SSE Oakland 2.24 745 am 4/23 cocorahs
   NNE Saddle Brook TWP 2.21 830 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Rivervale 2.20 700 am 4/23 public
   Oakland 1.82 845 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Franklin Lakes 1.80 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Midland Park 1.78 747 am 4/23 NWS coop

... Essex County...
   Maplewood 3.05 1130 am 4/23 public
   Newark Airport 3.03 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   2 NNE Montclair 2.68 800 am 4/23 cocorahs
   1 WSW Verona TWP 2.61 700 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Caldwell Airport 2.50 700 am 4/23 ASOS

... Hudson County...
   Harrison 2.89 630 am 4/23 mesonet
   Jersey City 2.71 630 am 4/23 mesonet
   Bayonne 2.70 630 am 4/23 mesonet
   Kearny 2.59 630 am 4/23 Fire Department
   West New York 2.57 630 am 4/23 mesonet
   Union City 2.53 630 am 4/23 mesonet
   Secaucus 2.49 630 am 4/23 mesonet

... Passaic County...
   West Paterson 3.26 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   1 WNW Little Falls 2.85 800 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Hawthorne 2.55 555 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Little Falls 2.50 200 am 4/23 mesonet
   West Milford 2.48 630 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   1 se West Milford 2.47 200 am 4/23 mesonet
   Ringwood 2.32 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Charlotteburg 2.19 800 am 4/23 NWS coop
   1 N North Haledon 2.10 700 am 4/23 cocorahs

... Union County...
   Elizabeth 3.08 900 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Roselle Park 2.82 752 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Mountainside 2.49 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   1 ESE New Providence 1.89 800 am 4/23 cocorahs

New York

... Kings County...
   Sheepshead Bay 3.15 600 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   1 NNW Kensington 2.71 900 am 4/23 public

... Nassau County...
   Lynbrook 3.49 657 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Lido Beach 3.35 659 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Merrick 3.24 600 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Wantagh 3.16 800 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Old Bethpage 3.16 941 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   East Meadow 2.88 745 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   W Floral Park 2.60 700 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Muttontown 2.40 1100 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Floral Park 2.37 730 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter

... New York County...
   Central Park 2.89 700 am 4/23 ASOS

... Orange County...
   3 WNW Warwick 2.54 700 am 4/23 cocorahs
   New Windsor 2.45 845 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Middletown 2.34 703 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Hamptonburgh 2.28 700 am 4/23 public
   Warwick 2.04 840 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Sterling Forest 2.00 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Newburgh 1.80 730 am 4/23 public
   Montgomery 1.64 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Harriman 1.60 700 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter

... Putnam County...
   8 NE Cold Springs 2.57 700 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Carmel 1.97 800 am 4/23 NWS coop
   4 ESE Beacon 1.37 615 am 4/23 cocorahs

... Queens County...
   Rego Park 2.96 730 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   5 WSW Queens 2.86 700 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Howard Beach 2.86 750 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Kennedy Airport 2.50 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   NYC/La Guardia 2.48 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Middle Village 2.26 850 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter

... Richmond County...
   1 se Staten Island 2.83 645 am 4/23 cocorahs

... Rockland County...
   1 WSW West Nyack 2.62 700 am 4/23 cocorahs

... Suffolk County...
   Medford 3.50 800 am 4/23 Skywarn spotter
   Upton 3.35 200 am 4/23 NWS office
   Middle Island 3.30 800 am 4/23 NWS employee
   Shirley Airport 3.15 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   1 WSW Ronkonkoma 3.01 800 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Fire Island 3.00 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Southampton 2.98 1110 am 4/23 public
   Islip Airport 2.95 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Montauk 2.91 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   Northport 2.83 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   Greenport 2.80 700 am 4/23 mesonet
   East Farmingdale 2.77 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   1 ESE Bay Shore 2.76 600 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Centerport 2.76 700 am 4/23 public
   Riverhead 2.75 800 am 4/23 NWS employee
   2 NNE Northport 2.72 600 am 4/23 cocorahs
   Westhampton Beach 2.54 200 am 4/23 ASOS
   Orient Point 2.53 714 am 4/23 public
   Bridgehampton 2.39 630 am 4/23 mesonet

... Westchester County...
   White Plains 2.43 700 am 4/23 ASOS
   2 NW South Salem 2.13 730 am 4/23 cocorahs
   1 SW Yorktown height 1.99 800 am 4/23 cocorahs


***********************peak wind gust***********************

Location Max wind time/date comments
                        gust of
                         mph measurement

Connecticut

... New Haven County...
   Oxford 40 1235 am 4/23 ASOS

... New London County...
   Groton 44 1056 PM 4/22 ASOS

New York

... Anz335...
   2 NW Sands Point 45 1215 am 4/23 buoy - Execution Rocks

... Anz338...
   2 N Tompkinsville 58 1112 PM 4/22 mesonet

... Anz355...
   buoy 44065 43 1050 PM 4/22 buoy

... Nassau County...
   Bayville 42 1144 PM 4/22 mesonet
   1 E Point Lookout 41 1000 PM 4/22 mesonet - Coast Guard

... Orange County...
   Montgomery 41 1013 PM 4/22 ASOS

... Queens County...
   NYC/La Guardia 54 1148 PM 4/22 ASOS

... Suffolk County...
   2 SSE East Moriches 48 1220 am 4/23 mesonet - Coast Guard
   Eatons Neck 45 1150 PM 4/22 mesonet


***********************sustained wind***********************

Location wind time/date comments
                        speed of
                         mph measurement

Connecticut

... Fairfield County...
   Bridgeport Airport 30 1034 PM 4/22 ASOS

... New London County...
   Groton 32 1056 PM 4/22 ASOS

New York

... Queens County...
   NYC/La Guardia 46 1148 PM 4/22 ASOS
   Kennedy Airport 35 1128 PM 4/22 ASOS

... Suffolk County...
   Islip Airport 30 1118 PM 4/22 ASOS

1218

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: April 22, 2012, 10:35:13 PM »

The National Weather Service in Upton NY has issued an

* Urban Flood Advisory for minor flooding of poor drainage areas
in...
Suffolk County in southeast New York...
Nassau County in southeast New York...

* until 345 am EDT...

* at 949 PM EDT moderate to heavy rain was falling across Long
Island and is expected to continue through the early morning hours.
Rainfall rates around half an inch an hour are expected during this
time.

These type of rainfall rates will cause flooding of urban
areas... highways... streets and underpasses as well as other drainage
areas and low lying spots.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the
roadway. Most flooding deaths occur in automobiles. Turn around and
find another Route.

Be prepared to take action if the flooding threat increases... or a
warning is issued.


Lat... Lon 4065 7307 4058 7376 4075 7370 4084 7376
      4090 7349 4094 7349 4091 7321 4098 7311
      4099 7263 4117 7223 4111 7233 4102 7212
      4102 7211 4108 7211 4117 7222 4119 7217
      4110 7208 4099 7210 4108 7196 4107 7186


Ln


844 PM EDT sun Apr 22 2012

... High surf advisory remains in effect from 2 am to 6 PM EDT
Monday...

* locations... Atlantic beaches of Suffolk County.

* Waves and surf... waves of 6 to 9 ft.

* Timing... waves will increase in the surf zone tonight...
reaching their highest level by Monday morning.

* Impacts... beach erosion and localized washovers.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A high surf advisory means that high surf will affect beaches in
the advisory area... producing rip currents and localized beach
erosion.

1219

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 22, 2012, 09:12:09 PM »

49.9°F Heavy Thunderstorm/Windy 

1220

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: April 22, 2012, 02:07:32 PM »

Happy Earth Day, everybody! Who here managed to hug their favorite tree?   

I'm a tree lover. I wish I could go hug all the trees in my backyard, but it's down pouring right now, and I don't want to look weird.

1221

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: April 22, 2012, 01:30:32 PM »

Here's the NAM MOS forecast. Notice how it shows 32mph sustained winds for 03z, the GFS only has 21mph sustained winds.

1222

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 22, 2012, 01:25:48 PM »

50.8°F Light Rain

1223

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: April 22, 2012, 09:53:56 AM »

THE MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT OF STEERING THE SFC LOW ACROSS
NJ AND TO OUR WEST. PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS...AND NAM REMAINS ONE
OF THE DEEPER SOLUTIONS WITH REGARD TO THE SFC LOW INITIALLY. EAST
WINDS INCREASE...BUT DO NOT HAVE THE CONFIDENCE TO ISSUE ANY WIND
RELATED HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. MY BEST GUESS IS FOR A FEW REPORTS
CLOSE TO ADVISORY CRITERIA ACROSS PORTIONS OF LONG ISLAND AND
POSSIBLY CSTL CT. HOWEVER...H8 JET STRENGTH NOT QUITE WHAT I WOULD
WANT IT TO BE FOR WIND ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS VERIFYING HERE...AND
THAT IS ACCORDING TO STRONGER NAM. GFS AND ECMWF ADVERTISE A MUCH
WEAKER JET LOCATED TO THE EAST.

LATEST 6Z NAM DOES FORECAST A 75 KT H8 JET OVER ERN LONG ISLAND AND
SE CT. THESE EASTERN LOCATIONS WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED.

1224

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 21, 2012, 03:44:38 PM »

66.1°F Fair Skies 
Time to get some rain and wind.
Current rainfall deficit: 10.07"

1225

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: April 20, 2012, 09:15:35 PM »

**IMPORTANT AND POWERFUL STORM APPROACHING THIS WEEKEND INTO THE EARLY WEEK

There is a major coastal storm that's going to form over the gulf, tracking up the east coast, bringing tons of moisture along with it. Timing: Sun-Mon. Impacts are: Heavy Rain, 2-3", locally up to 5", isolated areas with precipitation rates up to 1" per hour in heavier bands; High winds, the track of this storm can alter the winds greatly, still, high winds are expected. There are two scenarios that can happen:


Scenario #1:




Scenario #2:



Even if the winds are weaker than expected, damage could be done to due the sprouting of many deciduous trees in our area. Downed trees are expected to be scarce because the soil is very dry, despite the rain that we will get.

RWSSS (Relative Wind Storm Severity Scale): Category 3 - Highest sustained wind of 35-40mph or highest gust of 55-60mph

Update: At first, it appeared that this storm was more likely to take the track demonstrated in Scenario #1, however, the latest model runs of the NAM, GFS, and the ECMWF show the storm taking a similar track of Scenario #2, this could potentially increase the winds over the New York metropolitan area and elsewhere. The NAM model is predicting sustained winds of 30-35kts over Central Long Island early Monday morning; the GFS and the ECMWF are predicting weaker winds ~ 20-30kts.  Considering the fact the models are indicating a more inland track and higher winds, this pattern may continue, and the forecast winds may increase on the GFS and the ECMWF and would be equivalent to the NAM's forecast winds. If the winds described on the NAM happen, it is likely that the NWS will issue a High Wind Warning, which would make this storm severely life threatening with the trees full, similar to Hurricane Irene. I will continue to monitor new model runs and bring new updates to this thread as more data rolls in, and as the storm develops.

Update#2 (3:49PM 4-21-12): The NWS has increased their wind forecast for Sunday night, they are now expecting wind gusts as high as 50mph. The original forecast was wind gusts as high as 35mph

Update #3 (6:32PM 4-21-12): The GFS isn't predicting strong winds like the NAM is, this is according to the 18z model runs. The GFS predicts the storm to have a large center of circulation while the NAM shows the storm with a small center of circulation; a smaller center of circulation will cause stronger winds. Unfortunately, it is hard to predict what will happen, I'll just have to monitor the storm as it develops. FLOOD WATCH in effect:

... Flood Watch in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday
morning...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Flood Watch for all of southern Connecticut... northeast New
Jersey and southeast New York...

* from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

* Rainfall with a cold front passing through tonight should be
less than a half inch. This front will then stall just to the
south on Sunday... and serve as the focus for heavy rain Sunday
afternoon as an intensifying coastal storm moves northward and
transports considerable Atlantic moisture along with it.

* Rainfall with the coastal storm will begin Sunday morning... and
become heavy at times later Sunday afternoon. The heaviest rain
should occur during the first half of Sunday night in the New
York City metropolitan area... western Long Island and the lower
Hudson Valley... and overnight Sunday night in southern
Connecticut and eastern Long Island... with hourly rainfall rates
approaching an inch per hour in the heaviest rain bands.

* Total rainfall of two and one half to three and one half
inches... with locally higher amounts... could cause significant
flooding of urban and poor drainage areas... and flooding of fast
responding small streams. Hard dry ground due to lack of recent
rainfall... and storm drains that have not yet been cleared of
winter debris... may actually contribute to additional runoff in
these areas. Main Stem rivers are unlikely to experience
flooding.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Flood Watch means there is a potential for flooding based on
current forecasts. You should monitor later forecasts and be
alert for possible flood warnings. Those living in areas prone to
flooding should be prepared to take action should flooding
develop.



Goodman

1226

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: April 20, 2012, 08:10:35 PM »

This storm would barely put a dent in our severe drought. 2-3" of rain is expected; after the storm, we would still have a deficit of about 7". High winds are also expected for us from this storm, but the winds could change depending on the track of this storm, if the storm moves inland in Southern Jersey, we could see gusts 60-70mph, but the way it looks now, we'll only see gusts 45-60mph and for a much shorter period of time. I suspect higher damage from these winds because most of the deciduous trees here are full.

1227

The Game Room / Re: "In my pants" Game

« on: April 20, 2012, 02:17:19 PM »

I had no idea wunderground switched to a different source for their forecasts until now imp

Wunderground never change their source for their forecasts; in fact, you can choose between Wunderground's best forecast, and the NWS forecast imp

1228

General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?

« on: April 18, 2012, 09:10:45 PM »

54.5°F Occasional Light Drizzle
We've had many rain events this April, but all of them brought only traces of precipitation. We're nearing 10 inches in rainfall deficit only since the beginning of the year.

1229

General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch

« on: April 17, 2012, 10:23:52 PM »

I never thought I'd see the day... this is really what the advertising has come to? Made me LOL


8:45pm CT:

Turbine Cowboys is brought to you by Viagra.

LOL

Just went on to Wunderground, there's an Invest! 

Invest 91...

Considering where it is, it's pretty far north for this time of the season, due to the warm SST's; I guess it's possible an Invest can form there. And the movement of this storm is awkward. Moving WSW at 14mph, strange pattern isn't it?

1230

Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather

« on: April 17, 2012, 06:27:54 PM »

Today's high: 83.2°F

Avg. Year to date: 14.80"
Actual Year to date: 5.22"
Deficit: 9.58"