1021
General Weather Chat / Re: What's the weather in your area?
« on: June 25, 2012, 08:56:12 AM »
68.8°F Heavy Thunderstorm/Windy
November 28, 2024, 07:47:37 PM
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1022
Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather
« on: June 25, 2012, 07:59:53 AM »
... Strong thunderstorms will impact Suffolk County...
At 741 am EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
strong thunderstorms from Islip to Robert Moses State Park... moving
northeast at 30 mph.
These storms will be...
near Ronkonkoma by 750 am.
Near Farmingville by 800 am.
Near Patchogue by 805 am.
Near Coram by 810 am.
Near Middle Island by 815 am.
Near Shirley by 825 am.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning... and hail up to nickel size are
expected with these storms. Very heavy rain... with rainfall rates of
up to 2 inches an hour... could also cause ponding of water on
roadways... and minor flooding of poor drainage areas.
Lightning is one of natures number one killers. Remember... if you can
hear thunder... you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move
to safe shelter immediately.
Lat... Lon 4066 7330 4067 7324 4064 7321 4066 7321
4067 7305 4075 7289 4074 7302 4071 7309
4072 7312 4069 7315 4070 7324 4068 7330
4070 7330 4077 7328 4097 7285 4098 7265
4077 7269 4066 7306 4062 7331
Goodman
At 741 am EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking
strong thunderstorms from Islip to Robert Moses State Park... moving
northeast at 30 mph.
These storms will be...
near Ronkonkoma by 750 am.
Near Farmingville by 800 am.
Near Patchogue by 805 am.
Near Coram by 810 am.
Near Middle Island by 815 am.
Near Shirley by 825 am.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning... and hail up to nickel size are
expected with these storms. Very heavy rain... with rainfall rates of
up to 2 inches an hour... could also cause ponding of water on
roadways... and minor flooding of poor drainage areas.
Lightning is one of natures number one killers. Remember... if you can
hear thunder... you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Move
to safe shelter immediately.
Lat... Lon 4066 7330 4067 7324 4064 7321 4066 7321
4067 7305 4075 7289 4074 7302 4071 7309
4072 7312 4069 7315 4070 7324 4068 7330
4070 7330 4077 7328 4097 7285 4098 7265
4077 7269 4066 7306 4062 7331
Goodman
1023
Your Local Weather / Re: Long Island Weather
« on: June 25, 2012, 06:40:44 AM »
Very Vague STW 
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425 is in effect until 200 PM EDT
NY
. New York counties included are
Nassau Putnam Suffolk
Westchester
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425 is in effect until 200 PM EDT
NY
. New York counties included are
Nassau Putnam Suffolk
Westchester
1024
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 25, 2012, 06:16:58 AM »
At this point, the storm could go virtually anywhere. The system is stalled, and the models are still in disagreement after all of this. I hope for the best for everyone in the south who might be in the path of this storm.
1025
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 24, 2012, 10:40:05 PM »It can. During Irene, there was a 91mph wind gust in a macroburst here on LI.I honestly can't remember the last time I've seen so much severe weather reports in a single state just from a tropical storm. It's been pretty crazy in the Sunshine State today.Hey could you get a microburst from a hurricane? I was wondering if a microburst could be the blame because we had a similiar thing happen when Irene struck.
1026
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: June 24, 2012, 07:11:24 PM »
Talk about news bloopers. I was just watching the local WCBS news @ 6:30PM here in New York. They were covering a story about a small fire at LaGuardia Airport. While the news reporter was there, the screen was stuck on a view of the news studio background and a chair by the news desk. And it was stuck on that camera for a full two minutes until they went to commercial break, failing to realize that there was something wrong. Makes me laugh 
1027
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 24, 2012, 05:16:11 PM »True. Though the GFS did well with Beryl as well compared to the ECMWF. My opinion is this, and hope this isn't arguemental, you shouldn't rely on a model just because it's been the most accurate, because that doesn't mean the model will never be wrong. I think the NHC discouraged the other models when making this forecast, and I understand that it was a hard forecast to make considering that the models were 50/50 on it's track. The GFS is the 2nd most accurate model behind the ECMWF. I guess I'm being a little biased here, after all I'm a GFS fanboyI'm still surprised at NHC's track. I'd estimate that at least 80% of the models have this storm going northeast over North-Central Florida. While the other 20% have it going the other way and they may be part of the more accurate models (ECMWF, which has actually been wrong with Debby), one model, the GFS, has been doing extremely well with Debby.The reason is because the ECMWF has been the better model over the GFS by a wide margin during the past months. It certainly weighs on you as a forecaster when you have that information. I'm worried neither will be right and may follow the new track displayed now. It's a really challenging forecast, and we're all struggling in trying to figure out where Debby will go.
1028
General Discussion / Re: The Front Porch
« on: June 24, 2012, 05:09:04 PM »
Sue Simmons was a great news anchor for WNBC, no doubt. Though I never really watched NBC when she was on, she is known for her mistakes, though they may be only minor, they add up. I was surprised when I found out that she was leaving. Unfortunately, that's the way the business is run nowadays. 
1029
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 24, 2012, 05:01:14 PM »
I'm still surprised at NHC's track. I'd estimate that at least 80% of the models have this storm going northeast over North-Central Florida. While the other 20% have it going the other way and they may be part of the more accurate models (ECMWF, which has actually been wrong with Debby), one model, the GFS, has been doing extremely well with Debby. A directly north track is not out of the question though like what Patrick said.
1030
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 24, 2012, 03:19:18 PM »
Am I the only one who thinks this is not going west? 
I mean it's too early to call, but more models are leaning to a more eastern track.
I mean it's too early to call, but more models are leaning to a more eastern track.
1032
Hurricane Central / Re: Tropical Storm Debby
« on: June 23, 2012, 05:08:29 PM »
I'm surprised the NHC has it going west. While the majority of the reliable models take it to the west, the GFS and many other smaller models have it going east then northeast, some even have it going directly north. But personally, I would have no idea where it would go at this point.
1033
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 23, 2012, 09:13:18 AM »
Sorry for double post
NHC now giving it a 90% chance of development.
NHC now giving it a 90% chance of development.
1034
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 22, 2012, 10:36:21 PM »Hey! I found it, didn't take much either, nothing but a simple search on Google for "google earth weather kmz". Thanks for trying thoughGosh, I've had that KMZ file for so long I cant rememberInvest 96L is now up to an 80% chance of development. Attached below are the spaghetti models.Zach, might I ask where did you get that KML?Sorry
1035
Hurricane Central / Re: Hurricane Central 2012
« on: June 22, 2012, 10:16:14 PM »Invest 96L is now up to an 80% chance of development. Attached below are the spaghetti models.Zach, might I ask where did you get that KML?