TWC Today Forums
Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Hurricane Central => Topic started by: Mr. Rainman on September 20, 2011, 11:21:02 PM
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New storm out! Maps and tracks coming out soon.
Current Track
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL1611W5_NL_sm2+gif/024430W5_NL_sm.gif)
Wind Forecast
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT16/refresh/AL1611T_sm2+gif/024430P_sm.gif)
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Maybe this storm will become something later in its cycle, but for the next few days it sure doesn't look like much.
P.S. Was this upgraded right to a Tropical Storm before it was even a depression?
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Maybe this storm will become something later in its cycle, but for the next few days it sure doesn't look like much.
P.S. Was this upgraded right to a Tropical Storm before it was even a depression?
Yes, NHC made it a tropical storm on the first advisory as it has the 40 mph winds.
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Stays pretty weak for quite a while
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Ophelia must be Maria's twin sister, the storm track out now is so similar to Maria only slightly further east in the turn north.
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Wait a minute, Ophelia? Wasn't there an Ophelia in 2005, too? Why is the name being used again? :huh:
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Because Ophelia in 2005 did not do enough damage to warrant the WMO to retire the name.
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Wait a minute, Ophelia? Wasn't there an Ophelia in 2005, too? Why is the name being used again? :huh:
Hurricane names repeat every six years, Vic. ;) Thus, we are using the 2005 list again. If a storm does not do enough damage to warrant a retire, then the name will be used over again. Not all names are retired every year.
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Wait a minute, Ophelia? Wasn't there an Ophelia in 2005, too? Why is the name being used again? :huh:
Hurricane names repeat every six years, Vic. ;) Thus, we are using the 2005 list again. If a storm does not do enough damage to warrant a retire, then the name will be used over again. Not all names are retired every year.
Yep - 2011 is the EXACT same list as 2005 except for the record FIVE names retired in 2005.
DON replaced DENNIS
KATIA replaced KATRINA
RINA replaces RITA
SEAN replaces STAN
WHITNEY replaces WILMA
...and the latest forecasts have all 21 names used this season for only the second time...2005 being the last time.
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...and the latest forecasts have all 21 names used this season for only the second time...2005 being the last time.
This season has certainly been a busy one so far, but I'm not quite so sure we're going to get all the way to "W." However, with La Niņa coming back, it's at least a possibility.
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Ophelia has weakened as the winds have dropped to 50 mph. It was up at 60 mph earlier in the day, but strong upper-level winds are pounding away at this tropical storm. I also think this storm will simply swing out to sea between Bermuda and the East Coast.
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NHC gives 60% chance of redevelopment. Looks like Ophelia might be making a comeback.
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NHC gives 60% chance of redevelopment. Looks like Ophelia might be making a comeback.
This has increased from earlier today. It was originally only 30%. :thinking:
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I am so ready for this hurricane season to be over with. What a lackluster. This season has brought a whole new meaning to the term, "Swimming With the Fishes". Besides the record number of tropical systems we've had in August and September, it has been nothing but cold front tropical systems, (Complete waste because many of them had the potential to be drought busters for the ARKLATEX and the SE) very ill tropical storms (same potential as the cold front spawn TS's). I'm not even gonna get started on the 3 hurricanes we've had so far.
Ophelia is becoming a thorn in my side, I was sure we wouldn't be hearing anything else from this remnant low and it's chances to redevelop would be slim to none, but then this happens...(sighs) :doh:
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She's back...
Looks like NHC is now pushing for her to become a hurricane. Ophelia, with all due respect, you are really becoming a royal pain in the arse.
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She's a hurricane! Max winds of 90 mph predicted. Also, tropical storm watch out for Bermuda.
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Ophelia is just the fourth hurricane of the Atlantic season, and that number is looking a little below average right now. It's going to just miss Bermuda to the east and will head into the northern Atlantic as a good extratropical storm.
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Looks like NHC completely underestimated Ophelia's wind speeds. She's now a major hurricane.
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Looks like NHC completely underestimated Ophelia's wind speeds. She's now a major hurricane.
Considering Ophelia was truly struggling for life not too long ago, this just goes to show that pretty much anything is possible, and we're still in the learning stages for predicting tropical systems.
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Wow, it's amazing to see how a once-dissippated, going-to-be-nothing Ophelia is now a CAT 4 hurricane with max. sustained winds of 140 mph! :o