Hurricane Danny

[toxictwister00]

We could have "Danny" before today is over. TD4/Danny is expected to become a hurricane by Friday.

...FOURTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON DEVELOPS OVER THE EAST-CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

11:00 AM AST Tue Aug 18
Location: 10.6°N 36.5°W
Moving: W at 13 mph
Min pressure: 1009 mb
Max sustained: 35 mph

[toxictwister00]

We have DANNY per 5pm Advisory...

..DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2015 ATLANTIC SEASON...

[/b]
5:00 PM AST Tue Aug 18
Location: 10.9°N 37.5°W
Moving: W at 12 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

[Lightning]

El Nino impacts the storms in numbers but not the intensity of the storms that do form, is that correct?

[Eric]

Both, actually.  El Niño makes conditions unfavorable for tropical development in the Atlantic, hence the lower numbers of storms, and those same unfavorable conditions also make it harder for storms that do develop to strengthen as fully as they might otherwise have been able to do.  There are exceptions, of course, but, in general, El Niño results in fewer and overall weaker storms in the Atlantic.

[Lightning]

Both, actually.  El Niño makes conditions unfavorable for tropical development in the Atlantic, hence the lower numbers of storms, and those same unfavorable conditions also make it harder for storms that do develop to strengthen as fully as they might otherwise have been able to do.  There are exceptions, of course, but, in general, El Niño results in fewer and overall weaker storms in the Atlantic.

Unless the El Nino is weak. There was actually a weak El Nino in 2004-2005, and we saw what kind of hurricane season 2004 was. Hurricane Andrew also came at the tail end of an El Nino, but that didn't stop it from rapidly intensifying and devastating south Florida 23 years ago, 5 days to the day. We'll have to wait and see what impact this El Nino might have on Danny.

[toxictwister00]

Danny has made another first: The first MAJOR Hurricane of the 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Danny is now a Category 3 Hurricane. Hurricane Hunters have flown in to confirm this.

...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTS THAT DANNY IS A MAJOR HURRICANE...

2:00 PM AST Fri Aug 21
Location: 14.3°N 48.6°W
Moving: WNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 974 mb
Max sustained: 115 mph

[Eric]

Maybe someone could change the tile of this thread.