TWC Today Forums
Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Hurricane Central => Topic started by: Trevor on September 04, 2013, 04:28:00 PM
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Initial reports are that Tropical Depression 7 has formed in the Atlantic. Details to come...
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Nice burst of convection near the center and good outflow so far...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/97L/flash-vis-short.html (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/97L/flash-vis-short.html)
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OFFICIAL:
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL0713W5_NL+gif/205828W5_NL_sm.gif)
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Hurricane model, GFDL has TD 7 on steroids, rocketing it up to a Strong Cat. 4 hurricane around 130kts (150mph) 5 days from now. :lol:
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OFFICIAL:
([url]http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL0713W5_NL+gif/205828W5_NL_sm.gif[/url])
At least it will leave the U.S. coast alone. :)
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Gabrielle advisory coming up at 11pm EDT.
AL, 07, 2013090500, , BEST, 0, 167N, 663W, 35, 1008, TS, 34, NEQ, 40, 0, 0, 0, 1010, 120, 30, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, GABRIELLE, M,
NHC website slowing updating now w/ Gabrielle Advisory
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/)
11:00 PM AST Wed Sep 4
Location: 17.0°N 66.6°W
Moving: NW at 8 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
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Not much action from Gabrielle. :itsok:
(http://s24.postimg.org/nnujwg291/TSGabrielle.gif)
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What you're watching is exactly what happens when a tropical cyclone slams into Hispaniola. You just can't have a storm survive when it goes over mountains that peak above 10,000 feet. I doubt the eventual remnants of Gabrielle will regenerate once it emerges northward into the Atlantic, but we shall see.
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Gabrielle, at least, is not a threat to the United States coast.
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She might be making a comeback folks!
1. THE ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE...
LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED
THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS ALSO INCREASED
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. WHILE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT
VERY CONDUCIVE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN
THE ORGANIZATION OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD LEAD TO THE
FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE
THE LOW MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. BEYOND ABOUT TWO TO THREE DAYS...
CONDITIONS BECOME MORE HOSTILE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE
MISSION IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM ON TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
What the heck is it with these tropical storms this year where they keep dying and tying to come back alive. Just stay dead already! You weren't doing anything worthwhile to begin with! :P
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Gabrielle has been revived. Expected to hit Bermuda head on.
Interactive Track
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?gm_track#contents (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?gm_track#contents)
8:00 AM AST Tue Sep 10
Location: 29.9°N 64.9°W
Moving: N at 14 mph
Min pressure: 1008 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph
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Gabrielle has reached 50 mph winds, but it will succumb to a passing upper level trough that should keep it away from the East Coast. It will eventually merge with a cold front east of Canada this weekend.
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Tropical Storm Gabrielle On WeatherScan: 9/13/13 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7q-hEga7THs#)