TWC Today Forums
Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Hurricane Central => Topic started by: Zach on July 17, 2011, 04:37:39 PM
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Just formed!
000
WTNT32 KNHC 172034
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011
500 PM EDT SUN JUL 17 2011
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 78.2W
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM NW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.2 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND
LITTLE MOVEMENT IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION COULD PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2
TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
SURF...LOCALLY HIGH SURF CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG NORTH AND
WESTERN FACING BEACHES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/STEWART
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Nice circulation on it looking at satellite loops. If I didn't know any better I would say it's a tropical storm right now.
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WHEE! I Hope it strengthens enough to bring us some interesting weather if it does effect SC. Don't know if they're associated with this, but there are some costal showers moving in from the SE on the SC coast.
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WHEE! I Hope it strengthens enough to bring us some interesting weather if it does effect SC. Don't know if they're associated with this, but there are some costal showers moving in from the SE on the SC coast.
Via TWC/NHC
(http://image.weather.com/images/maps/pt_BR/tropical/map_tropprjpath02_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg)
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Not meant to advertise or anything, but I have a website that has all the latest information that automatically updates. Plus, I put a free ad for TWCT on my blog :D
http://wxconnect.weebly.com/stormwatch.html (http://wxconnect.weebly.com/stormwatch.html)
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WHEE! I Hope it strengthens enough to bring us some interesting weather if it does effect SC. Don't know if they're associated with this, but there are some costal showers moving in from the SE on the SC coast.
Via TWC/NHC
([url]http://image.weather.com/images/maps/pt_BR/tropical/map_tropprjpath02_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg[/url])
Yeah, I've seen the track. I was being a little sarcastic/wishful in that post :P
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Via TWC/NHC
([url]http://image.weather.com/images/maps/pt_BR/tropical/map_tropprjpath02_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg[/url])
:no: Shucks, I was hoping it would move across the southern Florida peninsula, cuz they need the rain on both the Atlantic and Gulf coasts. :( We can't control it.
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Made a forecast Track Graphic for it.
http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-storm-bret.html (http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-storm-bret.html)
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Made a forecast Track Graphic for it.
http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-depression-2e.html (http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-depression-2e.html)
I LOVE those tracks!
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Made a forecast Track Graphic for it.
[url]http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-depression-2e.html[/url] ([url]http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-depression-2e.html[/url])
Just an FYI, its not 2E.. the E would mean its an Eastern Pacific storm. ;)
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We now have TS Bret at 40mph
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?5-daynl#contents (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?5-daynl#contents)
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Looks like this is going to be another one of those storms that will drift away from the US...a "fish" storm as some would call it. :thinking:
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Yeah, unless the weather pattern drastically changes, this storm is likely gonna drift off to the northeast and not really affect anything. The water temps and upper-level conditions aren't really favorable for hurricane development, either.
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This little system formed at the tail end of a departing upper-level trough and associated cold front. The fact that it's close to the Bahamas makes me wonder if NHC was more aggressive in deciding whether to give it any classification. However, Bret doesn't appear to be really healthy, and the only threat to land will be just high surf.
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Made a forecast Track Graphic for it.
[url]http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-depression-2e.html[/url] ([url]http://theweathercenter.weebly.com/tropical-depression-2e.html[/url])
Just an FYI, its not 2E.. the E would mean its an Eastern Pacific storm. ;)
I know. I think it was b/c I renamed a page from the pacific earlier in the season and must have gotten a little confused. Thanks Zach, can count on you to catch my mistakes! lol :wave:
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Surfs up on the Outer Banks!
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There isn't any need to worry about this storm but you know TWC goes insane when a tropical system develops. :rolleyes: Only one of the computer models have it going inland towards South Carolina. They are forecasting winds topping 60mph which is equivalent to a strong nor'easter.
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There isn't any need to worry about this storm but you know TWC goes insane when a tropical system develops. :rolleyes:
Imagine the news in central Florida. It's a relatively weak system that's moving away from land, and yet the only story getting more coverage here than Bret is Casey Anthony!!