TWC Today Forums
Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Hurricane Central => Topic started by: toxictwister00 on October 23, 2011, 07:38:43 PM
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Meh, probably will become Rina. It probably won't be much fanfare with it. :itsok:
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1811W5_NL_sm2+gif/203734W5_NL_sm.gif)
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents)
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We have our 17th tropical storm of the Atlantic hurricane season. Tropical depression #18 has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Rina with winds of 40 mph. It's going to hover around the Yucatan Peninsula for several days, so flooding and mudslides will be a major concern. There's a chance that it could meander into the Gulf of Mexico late this week.
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Will it stregthen in the gulf??!
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We dont even know if it will be in the gulf..
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Will it stregthen in the gulf??!
Victor, you missed the most important word out of my sentence. See my quote below. This storm could easily just plow into the Yucatan Peninsula and dissipate. NHC's forecast track does not have Rina moving much at all this week, and forecasting a slow-moving storm is really difficult with everything being erratic at this point.
There's a chance that it could meander into the Gulf of Mexico late this week.
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Didn't Wilma have a track like that in the beginning?
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Didn't Wilma have a track like that in the beginning?
Wilma started a little further east as it originated closer to Jamaica. It barely clipped the tip of the Yucatan Peninsula when it turned toward Florida. Otherwise, the tracks are fairly similar.
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We now have Hurricane Rina
Category One - 75mph
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1811W5_NL_sm2+gif/181026W5_NL_sm.gif)
Source: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?5-daynl#contents)
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This system has really intensified quickly. Although this is a slow-moving system and it will be difficult to tell at this moment whether it will make a northeast turn or not, I think folks in Florida should keep their eye on this one.
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Whoever said that this storm wouldn't have much fanfare with it, you jinxed it. :bleh:
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Whoever said that this storm wouldn't have much fanfare with it, you jinxed it. :bleh:
I still think that. It's better off going out to sea than in the GOM for her sake, too much wind shear which I'm sure will beat the crap out of her and the enormous dry air will probably help finish her off.
The best part: An opportunity of drought relieving rains will likely be missed once again from a tropical system. :rolleyes: :wall:
:offtopic: Today is the 6th anniversary of Hurricane Wilma striking S. FL.
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Told ya so. :D
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I just really don't know if this will threaten the U.S. at all. This system is moving extremely slowly, and a cold front that is moving southeast will likely block the hurricane from hitting anywhere on the Gulf Coast.
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Category Two - 100mph
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1811W5_NL_sm2+gif/114823W5_NL_sm.gif)
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Rina never became a major hurricane as predicted, and it looks like the storm will continue weakening from this point on. Should Florida be worried about anything, I guess it would be the extensive rainfall. I still don't know if the core of the storm will go that far north, or not.
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Rina never became a major hurricane as predicted, and it looks like the storm will continue weakening from this point on. Should Florida be worried about anything, I guess it would be the extensive rainfall. I still don't know if the core of the storm will go that far north, or not.
South Florida certainly does not need any more extensive rainfall.
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Track of the unexpected? :blink: If this is a good representation of what is to come, Floridians no longer need to be worried about Rina. The Yucatan Peninsula will be getting a lot of rain, however.
The storm will now be headed south-southwest and weaken to a depression by Saturday afternoon. I don't think any of the models were predicting this originally. I am assuming it is the cold front that will be "blocking" Rina from making a the turn northward. I also read where the land interaction, the small size, and some wind shear will be killing Rina.
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Rina a depression now, I knew she wouldn't be much fanfare. :yawn:
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1811W5_NL_sm2+gif/204259W5_NL_sm.gif)
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That sucked, I was expecting some hard-core action from her. :angry: