Tropical Storm Lee

[toxictwister00]

The setup is different, but this is reminding me of the Great Flood of 2009 in North Georgia. We saw rainfall totals like this then, but I don't think it'll be as severe since it'll be stretched out over time rather than one day.

Forecast Discussion for my CWA

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
ALL EMPHASIS ON THE TROPICAL SYSTEM DEVELOPING OUT OVER THE GULF.
WITH TROPICAL MOISTURE INTERACTING WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
PROGGD TO SLIP INTO NORTH GEORGIA SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY...THEN INTO
CENTRAL GEORGIA MONDAY NIGHT...THEN MEANDER SOMEWHERE ACROSS SOUTH
GEORGIA FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD...LOOKING FOR GOOD RAIN CHANCES
FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD. EXTENDED PROGS SIMILAR WITH HEAVY RAIN
BEING A REAL POSSIBILITY OVER OUR AREA WITH THIS SYSTEM. GFS MOST
AGGRESSIVE WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 INCHES OR BETTER OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA BY EARLY TUESDAY...THEN ANOTHER INCH OR
TWO POSSIBLE BY DAYS END. WITH THESE AMOUNTS POSSIBLE WILL
CONTINUE ISSUANCE OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL/HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR
NOW...BUT IF LATER RUNS SUPPORT IT...A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NEEDED
BY SUNDAY. STAY TUNED.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=FFC&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1

A Flood Watch, if only I could remember a time we were under one....

[Localonthe8s]

Eric, i'm not an admin, but next time you want to reply to multiple quotes, why don't you just copy and paste the quotes you want to reply to in the text box and address them all in a post rather than making several seperate replies to each post u quote? 

[Austin M.]

Pretty much all of Alabama, except a little chunk of Northeast, is under the CoU (cone of uncertainty)... rain should extend outward about 50-100mi from the storm, so at least most of Alabama will get rain from this. Florida, maybe.

I know of only one county that has Double-Red Flagged their beaches, and that is Bay County, FL. I'm entirely sure there are others.

[WeatherWitness]

!! Texas isn't going to be getting anything from this as the track shifts farther east and has more of a definiete NE path. Depending on how far NE it travels, areas that do not  need rain whatsoever are going to get rain.

[toxictwister00]

THREAD TITLE CHANGE

We have Lee 

[Mr. Rainman]

There are occasions when a United States landfall seems imminent that I'll be thankful that a storm isn't expected to become a hurricane. This is one of those times.

[toxictwister00]

Up to 45 mph  - 5PM Advisory



TWC's current forecast for the SE on Lee
Threat Level


Rainfall Forecast (I'm right on the edge of 6-10 inches)

[phw115wvwx]

I have good news and bad news for the Southeast.  The good news is that your drought will pretty much be over by the end of next week.  The bad news is that a good portion of your area will be underwater thanks to 10-20" of rain.   Start taking precautions now, because there's going to be some devastating flooding ahead with Lee.

[twcfan68]

So far, the weather where I am in Lafayette isn't too bad. Lee's still a rather "hybrid" system, so I'm anticipating that it remains on the weaker side and does NOT reach hurricane status.

Except for a little bit of rain and breeze, not so much here right now. I just don't see all that rain falling as far west as I am, but I am a bit concerned for the folks on NOLA because, after living there for many years, it does have many flood-prone areas, and ten to twenty inches of rain in a short span of time will cause some problems.

[TWCToday]

These threat level maps from TWC seem very confusing. I don't understand what "threat" they are depicting. To the average viewer it looks like the entire area is just going to get smashed. They should have specific maps for wind, rain, surge, etc.

[twcfan68]

I have to agree with you there. Or maybe just more of the areas shaded in red should only be in medium, not high threat.

[WeatherWitness]

I have good news and bad news for the Southeast.  The good news is that your drought will pretty much be over by the end of next week.  The bad news is that a good portion of your area will be underwater thanks to 10-20" of rain.   Start taking precautions now, because there's going to be some devastating flooding ahead with Lee.

Except for Texas.

And Martin, I agree with you. I don't think areas far inland like Nashville have to deal with storm surge and rip currents

[toxictwister00]

The threat area inland is mainly over the threat of flooding and tornadoes.

EDIT: I think the rainfall threat of 6-10 should be extended east into North Georgia Mtns./Western NC, rainfall amounts will most likely be enhanced in those areas as it usually is in mountainous elevations.

Btw, Texas is not playing fair w/ other drought stricken states that need Lee's rain by choking it off with that pesky dry air...

If this map were to verify, the part of GA that needs the rain the most is the area that gets screwed backwards out of it (sighs)

[Pop Light Brown]

Light to moderate rain with gusty winds has been the norm all night in my area...which made for wet and sloppy conditions at tonight's football games (yes, high school football went on as normal...they play in the rain).

Looks like good sleeping weather this weekend.

[toxictwister00]

Radar estimated totals