Tropical Depression 2

[phw115wvwx]

It remains at 35 mph at the 5 AM EDT advisory, and it needs to get a little more organized convection for it to become the second tropical storm of the season before making landfall near Brownsville, TX in about 12 hours.

[WeatherWitness]

Tropical Depression 2 has made landfall as of 10:15 AM CDT. It will be a major flooding threat to the cities of South Texas, such as Brownsville, Laredo, and even San Antonio and Houston.

[Localonthe8s]

Too bad it couldn't form into BOnnie.

[Mike M]

Tropical Storm Warning still in effect from Baffin Bay, TX to Rio San Fernando, Mexico. This will likely be lifted later today.

Latest advisory as of 11am EDT/10am CDT:

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE
97.0 WEST.  THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...24 KM/HR.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
WILL CROSS THE COAST OF EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR
OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND
WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES INLAND.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.

WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY OCCUR IN SQUALLS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY.

[Mike M]

Final NHC advisory - all warnings dropped:

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE
98.4 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO
DISSIPATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES.

WIND...WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COAST
SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

[TWCToday]

Too bad it couldn't form into BOnnie.

Not to worry. From the looks of the GFS model its likely she will form soon