Hurricane Central 2012

[TWCmatthew]

Welcome to Hurricane Central 2012!

Today, Saturday, May 12, 2012, we already have two invests; one in the eastern Pacific, and one in the eastern Atlantic.

[phw115wvwx]

Someone was really quick to start this thread even though the season hasn't started yet! Anyway, we'll follow the same rules this year just like we did last year.  Here are the 2012 season names:

Atlantic:  Alberto, Beryl, Chris, Debby, Ernesto, Florence, Gordon, Helene, Isaac, Joyce, Kirk, Leslie, Michael, Nadine, Oscar, Patty, Rafael, Sandy, Tony, Valerie, William

Eastern Pacific:  Aletta, Bud, Carlotta, Daniel, Emilia, Fabio, Gilma, Hector, Ileana, John, Kristy, Lane, Miriam, Norman, Olivia, Paul, Rosa, Sergio, Tara, Vicente, Willa, Xavier, Yolanda, Zeke

[Localonthe8s]

So they're repeating some 2006 names for the Atlantic season (quick, not another Ernesto alert! )

[phw115wvwx]

So they're repeating some 2006 names for the Atlantic season (quick, not another Ernesto alert! )

Victor, the names are recycled every six years.  Since no names were retired from that lackluster season six years ago, the exact list from 2006 is being used this year.

[Zach]

So they're repeating some 2006 names for the Atlantic season (quick, not another Ernesto alert! )

I'm surprised that you didn't know that  anyways I really hope your joking.. because any weather fan should know that if no names are retired that they get looped every 6 years

[Localonthe8s]

No I didn't know that. I knew names were recycled but not every 6 years

[toxictwister00]

Something tells me this year will be lackluster like 2006, but we'll see. I just hope they don't jump the gun again when we get to the "E" storm.

Also both disturbances haven't changed in probability of developing today...yet.

[Mr. Rainman]

General agreement that our Atlantic disturbance has winds of at least 45 knots, so just a good bit of organization could make this thing a sub-tropical storm.

[TWCCraig]

Hope some of the storms are more of the classic Cape Verde storms, which usually take tracks up the east coast. We'll have to see about that low the GFS is showing that could possibly form next week or so near the waters of the Western Caribbean.

[phw115wvwx]

The Atlantic invest that you all mentioned earlier has weakened, and it doesn't appear anything will happen.  The Eastern Pacific invest, however, has a 60% chance of development according to NHC.  It has a small window of opportunity between now and Tuesday before upper-level winds become more unfavorable.

[Mr. Rainman]

Since it's a Pacific storm, I'll hold off on making a topic, but we now have Tropical Depression 1-E in the Pacific. It's expected to be a weak tropical storm and nothing more.

[phw115wvwx]

Since it's a Pacific storm, I'll hold off on making a topic, but we now have Tropical Depression 1-E in the Pacific. It's expected to be a weak tropical storm and nothing more.

That depression did become tropical storm Aletta, but it appears that the winds won't get any stronger than 45 mph.  I think we need Eastern Pacific storms to be really significant for anyone here to have enough interest to pursue a separate thread.

[Mr. Rainman]

The invest in the Atlantic has been upgraded to 50% chance of development. This will be something to keep an eye on.

[toxictwister00]

Ooooo! Exciting! One of our local mets was talking about this and saying one model shows it peaking at Cat 1 hurricane intensity! That would be very impressive for Late May, considering the season hasn't started yet.

[Mr. Rainman]

Here's the radar from Wilmington.