Hurricane Central 2010

[TWCToday]

 

[TWCToday]

More models sniffing out something. Could be interesting to watch

[toxictwister00]

0z ECM shows a storm approaching the Gulf Coast around July 1st w/ a pressure of 950mb! IIRC that's a strong Cat. 3 borderline weak Cat. 4 

[Jonathan]

0z ECM shows a storm approaching the Gulf Coast around July 1st w/ a pressure of 950mb! IIRC that's a strong Cat. 3 borderline weak Cat. 4 

The two "fantasyland" wind speed models that are even looking at this storm are showing it developing into at least a strong category 2 hurricane within 108 hours. This could be a really nice storm...tropical season is coming in with a bang, I guess?

[toxictwister00]

0z ECM shows a storm approaching the Gulf Coast around July 1st w/ a pressure of 950mb! IIRC that's a strong Cat. 3 borderline weak Cat. 4 

The two "fantasyland" wind speed models that are even looking at this storm are showing it developing into at least a strong category 2 hurricane within 108 hours. This could be a really nice storm...tropical season is coming in with a bang, I guess?

NHC just upped Invest93L to code orange (30%) It looks like it's getting healthier.

. A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS MOVING
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF A
SURFACE CIRCULATION...THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS WAVE
COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN VENEZUELA...THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES...PUERTO
RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

[TWCToday]

Good posts Just FYI when a storm gets a classification ie. 92L, etc. You are welcome to start a new thread

[toxictwister00]

Good posts Just FYI when a storm gets a classification ie. 92L, etc. You are welcome to start a new thread

If the Invest gets upgraded to a tropical storm, do we just change the thread title or start a new one?

[TWCToday]

Good posts Just FYI when a storm gets a classification ie. 92L, etc. You are welcome to start a new thread

If the Invest gets upgraded to a tropical storm, do we just change the thread title or start a new one?

Just change the title

[TWCToday]

Things getting busy!

[WeatherWitness]

Wow...maybe this WILL be an active hurricane season. It looks like the one in the western Carribbean may develop first (if it can).

[wxmediafan]

Things getting busy!

Looking very busy.  We'll see how all this plays out. 

[TWCToday]

Healthy wave coming off of Africa. Just far enough south not to be affected by the SAL

[phw115wvwx]

It's been a rather quiet July to this point.  El Niño is officially over according to the recent data from the Climate Prediction Center, so it seems that the Atlantic should get a boost on favorable conditions as this season progresses.

[wxmediafan]

It's been a rather quiet July to this point.  El Niño is officially over according to the recent data from the Climate Prediction Center, so it seems that the Atlantic should get a boost on favorable conditions as this season progresses.

And it looks as if this is exactly the case.  In another thread, someone mentioned there are 4 areas that are being watched for tropical development.

[toxictwister00]

Haha, the 12z GFS wants Savannah,GA to get with a Cat 1 hurricane between the 28th - 30th this month. This would make the Farmer's Almanac accurate about their prediction of a hurricane threat within the latter part of this month. I love that the models are showing these hurricane possibilities it's really getting me pumped up!

16th-19th. Thunderstorms Tennessee east to Carolinas, then clearing.
20th-23rd. Scattered thunderstorms.
24th-27th. Hurricane threat.
28th-31st. Scattered thunderstorms.

http://www.farmersalmanac.com/long-range-weather-forecast/southeast-us/