November 24, 2024, 04:33:13 AM

Author Topic: Hurricane Central 2009  (Read 53647 times)

Offline TWCToday

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #135 on: August 15, 2009, 04:55:27 AM »

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #136 on: August 15, 2009, 08:43:08 AM »
FINALLY!  :P

5 day Storm Track by the NHC



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Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #137 on: August 15, 2009, 10:40:31 AM »
Tropical Depression Three forms:

Quote
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032009
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.0 WEST OR ABOUT
740 MILES...1190 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...27 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TODAY OR ON SUNDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...11.5N 34.0W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 17 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #138 on: August 15, 2009, 10:41:36 AM »
Tropical Storm Ana 11AM advisory:


Quote
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ANA ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022009
1100 AM AST SAT AUG 15 2009

...ANA...PRONOUNCED AH-NA...MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD WITH LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH...

INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE.  FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.3 WEST OR ABOUT
920 MILES...1480 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR.  A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF ANA NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
ON MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...14.3N 48.3W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #139 on: August 15, 2009, 11:20:17 AM »
Where's Storm Alert? :P

Is TD 3 that tropical wave that was being watched closely? :unsure:

I still can't believe TD 2 formed into Ana, but it's path looks like it might run into land and weaken it some before it reaches the U.S...I'm not sure. :no: Doesn't it's path look similar to another storm's, though? I can't quite think of which, but I guess truthfully, a lot of storms follow the same path. :yes:

Offline TWCToday

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #140 on: August 15, 2009, 11:32:23 AM »
Where's Storm Alert? :P

Is TD 3 that tropical wave that was being watched closely? :unsure:

Yes. Its expected to really strengthen. NHC has the forecast strength over the next 5 days up to a Cat2

Models with TS Ana are all over the place right now.

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #141 on: August 15, 2009, 11:36:53 AM »
Where's Storm Alert? :P

Is TD 3 that tropical wave that was being watched closely? :unsure:

Yes. Its expected to really strengthen. NHC has the forecast strength over the next 5 days up to a Cat2

Models with TS Ana are all over the place right now.



IMO, I think it's gonna track further south towards land and remain weak until it gets between the Bahamas and Cuba.


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Offline TWCToday

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #142 on: August 15, 2009, 11:42:45 AM »
Lastest GFS model update shows Ana crossing over Florida, reforming in gulf. TD3 is shown brushing the Carolinas http://bit.ly/3Zgkvv

Offline UC Davis Meteorologist

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #143 on: August 15, 2009, 11:47:40 AM »
Tropical Depression 3 will not be updated....Tropical Storm Bill!
Bachelors of Science: Atmospheric Science-UC Davis 2006-2011

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Offline Zach

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #144 on: August 15, 2009, 11:57:48 AM »
Finally! Some action! :dance: But look at who's in the cone for Ana. :cry: :cry3:
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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #145 on: August 15, 2009, 12:12:05 PM »
Yep it's about to see some action. The tropical wave in the Caribbean has a potential to develop into Claudette but it's not very likely. Could bill, if it forms, hit the Northeast?

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #146 on: August 15, 2009, 12:15:50 PM »
Yep it's about to see some action. The tropical wave in the Caribbean has a potential to develop into Claudette but it's not very likely. Could bill, if it forms, hit the Northeast?

Right now, it's forecasted to go on the same path as Ana towards FL.


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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #147 on: August 15, 2009, 12:26:50 PM »
00z run of the GFS takes potential "Hurricane Bill" near Miami,FL (similar to Andrew) weakens, intensifies and makes a second landfall into the FL Panhandle.


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Offline Zach

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #148 on: August 15, 2009, 12:44:56 PM »
00z run of the GFS takes potential "Hurricane Bill" near Miami,FL (similar to Andrew) weakens, intensifies and makes a second landfall into the FL Panhandle.
That's nowhere near Miami, that's right just where Frances and Jeanne made landfall. :o

Now I'm really doomed. :(
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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Central 2009
« Reply #149 on: August 15, 2009, 12:50:27 PM »
Zach, the storm hasn't even formed yet. :wacko: Don't make premature conclusions. :no: