Hurricane Danielle

[gt1racerlHDl]

The Trough near the East Coast will Determine Danielle's Path.

we might have another Bill on our hands.

[toxictwister00]

The Trough near the East Coast will Determine Danielle's Path.

we might have another Bill on our hands.

It's a slim chance, but if it slows down over the next few days and it misses the trough over the ECONUS as it's moving out were in big trouble, but at least it's a very slim chance right now so I'm worried about that happening.

[WeatherWitness]

It looks like Danielle will have time and room to really become something big here. I guess the question is: will she hit the US? Because when was the last time a hurricane hit the eastern coast (like around North Carolina)? Was it Isabel in 2003?

[Localonthe8s]

I wonder what the chances are for this storm to impact the Jersey Shore or the NYC metro, provided that the storm intensifies into a hurricane.

[WeatherWitness]

I wonder what the chances are for this storm to impact the Jersey Shore or the NYC metro, provided that the storm intensifies into a hurricane.

The storm already is a hurricane. But you bring up a good point. When was the last time a hurricane hit your area, Molly?

[TWCmatthew]

It's awesome how a Tropical Depression went to a Hurricane in about 24 hours time.
I'm not really expecting the system to the east of Danielle to be as strong as it may be, because Danielle could be taking energy away from the following possibility.

[TWCmatthew]

Models rapidly intensify this and I expect this to be our next D storm in time. Looks for now to be a fish

I see that one little model prediction that takes Danielle toward Philly/NYC/NJ... I would be very surprised if it's right, as seeing every other model taking the system off toward Europe or extreme North Atlantic.

[gt1racerlHDl]

All The Models were predicting Bill to take a European Path before so seeing how Danielle is predicted the same way the models are going to be wrong, look what bill did? Fringed the Cape Cod Coastline and Islands. (including my area Fall River)

So as always don't listen to the models until at least "a land mass" is close by.

[TWCmatthew]

All The Models were predicting Bill to take a European Path before so seeing how Danielle is predicted the same way the models are going to be wrong, look what bill did? Fringed the Cape Cod Coastline and Islands. (including my area Fall River)

So as always don't listen to the models until at least "a land mass" is close by.

Like my uncle always says: Computer Models are just Computer Models. Mother Nature does what she wants to do. 

[toxictwister00]

It looks like Danielle will have time and room to really become something big here. I guess the question is: will she hit the US? Because when was the last time a hurricane hit the eastern coast (like around North Carolina)? Was it Isabel in 2003?

Hurricane Ophelia hit the Carolina coast back in October 2005 iirc.

[toxictwister00]

I know that eye has to itching to come out soon....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-rb.html

[Localonthe8s]

I wonder what the chances are for this storm to impact the Jersey Shore or the NYC metro, provided that the storm intensifies into a hurricane.

The storm already is a hurricane. But you bring up a good point. When was the last time a hurricane hit your area, Molly?

1999 when Hurricane Floyd destroyed several houses within a mile away from my old apartment. However, the main threat that affected us was the intense winds and flooding. I was only six though back then so I don't remember most the details. If this storm affects us, expect me to stay in the eye of the storm and ride this thing out..

[toxictwister00]

This girl is getting bigger and bigger the more she turns  and is it me or is Danielle still moving due west? Shouldn't she jogging NW by now? Also I was on the accuweather forums and there are reports of winds up to 83mph and pressure 982mb so don't surprised to see this upgraded to 85mph in the next update in less than an hour.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

[TWCmatthew]

I wonder what the chances are for this storm to impact the Jersey Shore or the NYC metro, provided that the storm intensifies into a hurricane.

The storm already is a hurricane. But you bring up a good point. When was the last time a hurricane hit your area, Molly?

1999 when Hurricane Floyd destroyed several houses within a mile away from my old apartment. However, the main threat that affected us was the intense winds and flooding. I was only six though back then so I don't remember most the details. If this storm affects us, expect me to stay in the eye of the storm and ride this thing out..

I doubt it will affect your area, at least the worst impacts. BTW, can someone get in legal trouble if they stay even during mandatory evacuations?

[gt1racerlHDl]

i expect the Cat 4 % to skyrocket