TWC Today Forums
Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Hurricane Central => Topic started by: TWCToday on August 31, 2010, 01:38:05 AM
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(http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at201098_model.gif)
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I have a good feeling this will be a GOM or SE Hitter if it gets organized enough, it's further south than Earl and Fiona were when they left from the Cape Verdes.
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Say hello to Tropical Storm Gaston. :wave: :thrilled: This storm looks like it's going to go much further south, but it's still a ways out there to determine any effect on the US.
(http://img697.imageshack.us/img697/3686/gastontrack.jpg)
(http://img827.imageshack.us/img827/6742/gastontwc.jpg)
(http://img714.imageshack.us/img714/8835/gaston.gif)
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Wow, for once the the tropics are finally heating up.
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Gaston is expected to gradually intensify over the next few days as it heads slowly westward. We have a lot of time to watch this one develop. This storm makes it four tropical storms now in the last 11 days. I'm telling you there's a proverbial light switch for the tropics that Mother Nature turned on a couple weeks ago. :P
Update: Well, this forecast went wrong. Instead of gradually intensifying, Gaston has lost its center of circulation and most of its convection. It has degenerated into a remnant low. No more advisories will be issued on this storm. The remnants may have a chance to regenerate into Gaston again, but it'll need to regain a lot to be considered a tropical cyclone again.
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Geez, what happened to this one? :blink: :blink: :blink:
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Kinda just fizzled out, didn't it? This was surprising. It wasn't predicted to become as strong as Danielle or Earl, but such an early death was quite unexpected.
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Wow... it was predicted to become another hurricane. That's a major surprise, and a sigh of relief, too. lol
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Dry air choked it off, but it's expected to make a slow comeback over the next few days once it gets away from that into light shear.
ALTHOUGH NOT EXPLICITLY INDICATED HERE...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT
GASTON COULD REGENERATE INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS IS THE SCENARIO THAT IS BEING SUGGESTED BY SOME OF THE
GLOBAL MODELS.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/022033.shtml? (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/022033.shtml?)
(http://[url=http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0910W5_NL+gif/203314W5_NL_sm.gif]http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0910W5_NL+gif/203314W5_NL_sm.gif[/url])
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How is Gaston pronounced? I've always heard it pronounced "gas-ten," but Heather pronounced it something like "Gas-tooun" earlier today...
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How is Gaston pronounced? I've always heard it pronounced "gas-ten," but Heather pronounced it something like "Gas-tooun" earlier today...
Gaston is a French name. Heather has the pronunciation right. Gas-TOUN.
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How is Gaston pronounced? I've always heard it pronounced "gas-ten," but Heather pronounced it something like "Gas-tooun" earlier today...
Gaston is a French name. gas-TON, but with the "N" half cut-off. In other words, think of the Grey Poupon commercials and how they pronounced it. Gaston and Poupon rhyme. :)
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Lol, that was an unexpected death, huh? :P
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I think it will regenerate sometime early next week if not sooner.
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Yeah, we'll just have to wait and see.
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It's already back up to a 50% chance of redevelopment (code orange)
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CODE RED - 60%
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
REMNANT LOW OF GASTON...WHICH IS LOCATED ABOUT HALFWAY BETWEEN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE
...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/gtwo_atl_sub.shtml?area1#contents (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/gtwo_atl_sub.shtml?area1#contents)
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This storm is funny...it shows signs of developing into a hurricane, dies, and now it's likely to come back to life again. :yes: I guess this is still something to keep an eye on.
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It simply ran into an environment where there was too much dry air or shear to cause all the convection to fizzle out. Now, it's in a better environment to develop, and it may indeed regain its status soon.
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It simply ran into an environment where there was too much dry air or shear to cause all the convection to fizzle out. Now, it's in a better environment to develop, and it may indeed regain its status soon.
It's starting to remind me of Mini-Sized Tropical Storm Marco
MARCO!
(http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a5/Tropical_Storm_Marco_on_October_6_2008.jpg/800px-Tropical_Storm_Marco_on_October_6_2008.jpg)
POLO!
(http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo/atl1.gif)
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Its pretty pathetic at the moment