Severe Weather Season 2012

[Mr. Rainman]

Massive watch is out.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0524.html

[Nathan - a.k.a. NWRGeek]

A tornado watch has been posted for portions of northeast PA, east central and central NY, southern VT, western MA, and northwestern CT until 9:00 pm EDT.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0525.html

[Mr. Rainman]

An interesting tidbit about tornadoes, courtesy of Dr. Forbes - July is seeing a record low number of tornadoes thanks to this large high pressure system causing misery across much of the Central United States. The average number for July is 110. The count this month is a mere 12 - 86 percent below average. If the total tornado count remains below 23 this month, this July will see the lowest amount of tornadoes ever for July.

[Nathan - a.k.a. NWRGeek]

For a portion of the forecasted derecho areas, it happened, such as OH, PA, NJ, southeast and central NY, and now into MD/DE. On the other hand, in New England, it was a huge stupid hype by the media, and the SPC. They deserve a  for this if something doesn't happen overnight.

[Mr. Rainman]

For a portion of the forecasted derecho areas, it happened, such as OH, PA, NJ, southeast and central NY, and now into MD/DE. On the other hand, in New England, it was a huge stupid hype by the media, and the SPC. They deserve a  for this if something doesn't happen overnight.

Won't comment on the media, but I'm not sure how SPC is guilty in that. They explicitly called only interior southern New England, which did get (or is in the process of getting) hit.

[Nathan - a.k.a. NWRGeek]

For a portion of the forecasted derecho areas, it happened, such as OH, PA, NJ, southeast and central NY, and now into MD/DE. On the other hand, in New England, it was a huge stupid hype by the media, and the SPC. They deserve a  for this if something doesn't happen overnight.

Won't comment on the media, but I'm not sure how SPC is guilty in that. They explicitly called only interior southern New England, which did get (or is in the process of getting) hit.

Only southern Connecicut got hit. However, southern Hartford County did go under one severe thunderstorm warning, because of its shape.

[twcctornado77]

This may be the smallest slight risk I've ever seen..........
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

[Mr. Rainman]

Large MDT risk tomorrow across much of New England. It looks like one helluva squall line is going to go blowing through there.

[toxictwister00]

We're supposed to get some decent punch out of these storm tomorrow and it looks impressive tonight, but past history this Summer advises me to expect the storms to evaporate like vapor once they reach the GA line. It's been a very peculiar Summer in terms of severe weather here I haven't seen not one Severe T' Storm watch around Atlanta (well they have been to the North/South/East/West of course) We usually average one or two a Summer.

This event looks nasty for the NE and apparently is quite rare not for just that region, but September in general. I feel pretty embarrassed, I didn't know there was expected to be a large area of severe weather tomorrow (slight or moderate) until like 30 minutes ago... If I have any defense for just finding out now, it's that my niece is spending the night and I haven't been online since she came around 3 today.

[Localonthe8s]

I am excited. I am looking forward for some nasty thunderstorms tomorrow. September is a very active month severe weather wise in the Northeast. Last year on September 15th, a lightning storm killed one construction worker who was building the new Revel casino in AC. Exactly a year before that, 2 seperate tornadoes struck the NYC area. Crazy.

[toxictwister00]

We're supposed to get some decent punch out of these storm tomorrow and it looks impressive tonight, but past history this Summer advises me to expect the storms to evaporate like vapor once they reach the GA line. It's been a very peculiar Summer in terms of severe weather here I haven't seen not one Severe T' Storm watch around Atlanta (well they have been to the North/South/East/West of course) We usually average one or two a Summer.

This event looks nasty for the NE and apparently is quite rare not for just that region, but September in general. I feel pretty embarrassed, I didn't know there was expected to be a large area of severe weather tomorrow (slight or moderate) until like 30 minutes ago... If I have any defense for just finding out now, it's that my niece is spending the night and I haven't been online since she came around 3 today.

Hot damn I was right! Like that was a surprise... Oh boy, if we can't get a decent line of thunderstorms (pre frontal) to make it past TN at the very least as a steady moderate rain, there's just not much hope for a turn around in our drought right about now.

[Trevor]

Yesterday evening, we had quite the bow echo move through that was associated with the cold front.

Check out this report from yesterday evening at Memphis International. Temperature drops from 86 to 72 in one hour. Also, notice the highlighted report - "Squalls and Windy"...I've never seen that outside of a tropical system.

[Localonthe8s]

A tornado touched down in New York in Brooklyn. Also another possible tornado struck off the coast near Rockaway Beach. I am looking at the photos and that thing looks scary and frightening. There's no doubt that's a tornado - classic funnel shape http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/tornado_hits_beach_off_coney_island_O8QHGmMoi04EUCFQFD333O?utm_medium=rss&utm_content=Local

[TWCCraig]

A tornado touched down in New York in Brooklyn. Also another possible tornado struck off the coast near Rockaway Beach. I am looking at the photos and that thing looks scary and frightening. There's no doubt that's a tornado - classic funnel shape http://www.nypost.com/p/news/local/tornado_hits_beach_off_coney_island_O8QHGmMoi04EUCFQFD333O?utm_medium=rss&utm_content=Local

It was only one tornado from what I believe because it was only one storm that issued the warning, if anything, the tornado may have dissipated and then reformed but most likely was not the case.

[toxictwister00]

Apparently, a Moderate Risk is expected to be added to the Day 1 outlook from Central NC on north to Central NY.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1960
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1019 AM CDT TUE SEP 18 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NRN SC...CNTRL/ERN NC...CNTRL/ERN VA...DISTRICT
   OF COLUMBIA...CNTRL/ERN MD...MUCH OF DE...ERN PA...WRN/NRN
   NJ...PARTS OF ERN NY
   
   CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE
   
   VALID 181519Z - 181645Z
   
   SUMMARY...A CATEGORICAL UPGRADE TO MODERATE RISK IS PLANNED FOR THE
   UPCOMING 1630 UTC DAY-1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FROM PARTS OF THE
   CAROLINAS NWD INTO PARTS OF ERN NY.
   
   DISCUSSION...STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP SHEAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
   CONUS-FULL-LATITUDE TROUGH WILL SUPPORT MULTIPLE QLCS SEGMENTS
   ACROSS A BROAD WARM SECTOR OVER THE ERN CONUS. WIDESPREAD SVR WIND
   GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN CONCERN ACROSS THE UPCOMING MODERATE RISK
   AREA...AND SVR WIND PROBABILITIES WILL BE INCREASED TO 45 PERCENT
   ACROSS THIS REGION. HOWEVER...TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
   POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY WITH EMBEDDED LEWP STRUCTURES...LINE
   BREAKS...AND DISCRETE CONVECTION EVOLVING AHEAD AN APPROACHING
   EXTENSIVE COLD FRONT. PLEASE SEE THE FORTHCOMING OUTLOOK FOR
   ADDITIONAL METEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION.
   
   ..COHEN/CARBIN/MEAD.. 09/18/2012
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...MHX...CTP...LWX...
   RAH...ILM...RNK...
   
   LAT...LON   38477848 39257796 41027695 42267617 43217502 43317372
               42317374 41087414 39567508 38167576 37147632 35507746
               34637883 34547975 35388011 36447988 38477848