Severe Weather Season 2012

[toxictwister00]

Apparently I'm under a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow.  Severe weather w/ temps in the low 100s, what a fun combination! I've never had severe weather when it was that hot.

[Mr. Rainman]

35 warnings in effect right now across the United States, with the majority across the Southeast. This looks exciting. 

[Mr. Rainman]

At current count, 43 severe thunderstorm warnings, 1 tornado warning, and 9 weather watches. No sign of this stuff letting up anytime soon.

[twcctornado77]

SPC considering watch for northern ND into northern MN...... plane, you might wanna keep an eye on this....... I've even heard derecho thrown about........ This could get active today........

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1362.html

And from Dr. Forbes himself.......

TODAY'S WEATHER SYNOPSIS .... Yesterday's storms have "worked over" some of the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic states, so the worst activity today will likely be on the fringe areas not hit by those storms, and in the Northern Plains where there could be a tornado and in the MN-WI-MI region where there could be a bow echo or even derecho.

EDIT: Now we got the watch.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0454.html

[Mr. Rainman]

Thanks for the heads up. It looks like a MDT risk situation may occur across Minnesota, but I'm a tad bit too far west to see any significant wind activity.

[twcctornado77]

SPC has significant hail over Grand Forks.

[phw115wvwx]

A total of 87 warnings have been issued from the Blacksburg NWS office since the Friday night derecho.  Most of them have already been verified with even deaths and injuries reported.  There are still people without power right now.

[twcctornado77]

Holy Cow...... Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe this is the ONLY time I've ever seen the SPC go for an enhanced risk of severe storms on the D8 timeframe....... If this holds true, this could be a very deadly situation within a week or so........

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

[Mr. Rainman]

Holy Cow...... Someone correct me if I'm wrong, but I believe this is the ONLY time I've ever seen the SPC go for an enhanced risk of severe storms on the D8 timeframe....... If this holds true, this could be a very deadly situation within a week or so........

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

Not necessarily. My area was in an enhanced risk from Day 7 and when we got to Day 1, the probabilities were 15%. The only reason those areas are marked right now is because models are agreeing rather well with the scenario. It doesn't necessarily mean the situation will be deadly. Something to watch? Yes. Something to be concerned about? Right now...no.

[twcctornado77]

Here we go again....... DERECHO possible in the Northeast tomorrow......... Anyone who live in that part of the country needs to stay alert of forecasts...........
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

[Mr. Rainman]

Current assessment of the situation puts in excess of 32 million people at risk of severe weather tomorrow. I wouldn't be surprised to see up to a third of that witness a loss of power of 48 hours or longer.

[twcctornado77]

Current assessment of the situation puts in excess of 32 million people at risk of severe weather tomorrow. I wouldn't be surprised to see up to a third of that witness a loss of power of 48 hours or longer.

I bet the SPC will pull the trigger and go high risk tomorrow.........

[Trevor]

I doubt it...but it sure would be rare. A day to go down in the books for sure.

[twcctornado77]

I say anywhere from 500-700 wind reports today.........

[toxictwister00]

95% chance for a watch to be issued across Southern IN to OH, to Western PA.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1600.html