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Author Topic: Severe Weather Season 2012  (Read 43446 times)

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #60 on: March 02, 2012, 02:51:46 PM »
Is there a TorCon index for NJ? We're under the severe weather zone (as well as PA) too


For NJ, no, but you can keep track of the TOR CON Forecast here. PA is a 3-4 for overnight tonight. It might be safe to assume it will be about a 2 or 3 for NJ though.
http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/daily-torcon-forecast_2011-07-11


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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #61 on: March 02, 2012, 03:44:45 PM »
Possible tornado on the ground approaching Cincinnati, OH metro area. :(

EDIT: 4:44PM EDT - Tornado Warning for Nashville, TN metro area.
« Last Edit: March 02, 2012, 04:43:41 PM by Weatherlover »


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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #62 on: March 02, 2012, 05:05:20 PM »
WSMV-TV IN Nashville, Former TWC OCM Lisa Spencer is discussing the tornadic storm going over the Nashville area. You can hear the hail also.  :o

http://www.wsmv.com/category/213709/news-live-stream


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Offline Pop Light Brown

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #63 on: March 02, 2012, 05:14:31 PM »
WSMV-TV IN Nashville, Former TWC OCM Lisa Spencer is discussing the tornadic storm going over the Nashville area. You can hear the hail also.  :o

http://www.wsmv.com/category/213709/news-live-stream


I heard it too on WTVF's live stream.

Sad news: Mayor of Marysville, IN says the entire town has been destroyed by a tornado.

Meanwhile, storms are firing up in MS and NE Louisiana.
See also #23622, Ch. 31, Hammond, La.

Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #64 on: March 02, 2012, 05:27:15 PM »
I had a bad feeling this would be a high risk situation. My thoughts and prayers to everyone in the line of severe weather. Please, stay safe.
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Offline Zach

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #65 on: March 02, 2012, 06:08:04 PM »
This right here is my swag a perfect example of a debris ball from a tornado on radar.. this looks to definitely be higher than an EF-1 if you ask me.. :hmm:
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Offline TWCCraig

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #66 on: March 02, 2012, 06:32:02 PM »
This right here is my swag a perfect example of a debris ball from a tornado on radar.. this looks to definitely be higher than an EF-1 if you ask me.. :hmm:
Oh no doubt, that's an impressive hook echo.

Meanwhile, these storms will roll into my area weakening somewhat to the point where they won't be severe but will still be thunderstorms. Unfortunately, onshore flow will destroy the convective cells of the thunderstorms by the time they get here weakening them just to thunderstorms.
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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #67 on: March 02, 2012, 07:24:09 PM »
Boy oh boy, I got a looooong night ahead of me. I can forget about getting sleep tonight because I'll be worrying about whether or not a tornado is gonna rip my house to shreds.  :( The parts in red is what concerns me.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0221
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0541 PM CST FRI MAR 02 2012
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF SRN-CNTRL-NERN AL / W-CNTRL AND NWRN GA /
   FAR SERN TN
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 59...61...63...
   
   VALID 022341Z - 030145Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH
   59...61...63...CONTINUES.
   
   TORNADIC SUPERCELL POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS EVENING
   AND INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF AL AND
   WRN-NWRN GA.
ASIDE FROM THE THREAT OF TORNADOES /POTENTIALLY
   SIGNIFICANT/...SUPERCELLS WILL ALSO POSE AN ACCOMPANYING DMGG
   STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS RISK.
   
   23Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A LARGE UNIMPEDED WARM/MOIST SECTOR
   ACROSS AL AND MOVING INTO WRN PARTS OF GA --AHEAD OF A DRYLINE OVER
   NWRN MS.  3 HR CHANGE IN SURFACE TEMP/DEWPOINT SHOW A DECREASE OF
   2-7 DEG F AND A 2 DEG F INCREASE...RESPECTIVELY.  THE FORECAST
   CONTINUED TREND IN LOWERING SURFACE SPREADS AND LESS SUBSTANTIAL
   BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL SEEMINGLY PROVE MORE FAVORABLE FOR LOW
   LEVEL MESOCYCLONES.  SLIGHT IMPROVEMENTS IN THE LOW LEVEL
   THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE WILL ACCOMPANY A STRENGTHENING IN THE LLJ
   /40-55 KTS/ FROM SWRN AND W-CNTRL AL NEWD INTO NRN GA IN THE NEXT
   FEW HOURS.  THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A POSSIBLE NOCTURNAL TORNADO
   EPISODE FROM CNTRL AND E-CNTRL AL NEWD INTO N-CNTRL GA.
  THIS
   SCENARIO IS AT LEAST SUPPORTED TO A CERTAIN EXTENT BY THE LATEST
   STORM-SCALE MODEL ENSEMBLE /SSEO/.  AS SUCH...SCATTERED DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS WILL POSE AN ATTENDANT ISOLD TORNADO THREAT --WITH
   PERHAPS A FEW STRONG TORNADOES WITH THE MORE INTENSE SUPERCELLS.
   
   ..SMITH.. 03/02/2012


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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #68 on: March 02, 2012, 08:28:03 PM »
Debris ball developing on supercell thunderstorm just east of Felton, GA. Tornado has been confirmed on the ground by storm spotters.

Areas next in line
Dallas, GA
Marietta, GA
Kennesaw, GA
Powder Springs, GA
Maybe Northern edge of Atlanta


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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #69 on: March 03, 2012, 12:53:07 AM »
Reports coming out at 43 people have died from a string of tornadoes in SW Indiana/Northern Kentucky

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #70 on: March 03, 2012, 01:40:41 PM »
Remember what I said back in January here about this year's potential for severe weather?  If we're seeing everything coming true already with what I predicted, think of what it will be like later in April.

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #71 on: March 03, 2012, 04:47:49 PM »
Remember what I said back in January here about this year's potential for severe weather?  If we're seeing everything coming true already with what I predicted, think of what it will be like later in April.
I don't get it. Are you saying tornadoes will be just as bad this year from last year?

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #72 on: March 03, 2012, 05:29:37 PM »
I don't get it. Are you saying tornadoes will be just as bad this year from last year?
I said that I expected this year to be just like last year in terms of severe weather, including tornadoes.  We're coming out of a La Niņa winter, which has already been linked through research to more severe weather activity over the United States.

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #73 on: March 03, 2012, 05:38:59 PM »
If it keeps it up it will be and I'm sure a lot of folks who became homeless from last year's chaos and yesterday's chaos would strongly agree they don't want this crap to keep moving at the same pace as or worse than 2011. This is why I don't like mild/warm winters. I know there a people who dislike or hate cold/dry air during the winter, but it has it's benefits when you want to prevent as many tornadoes raging on steroids from occurring in January, February and early March.

I got very lucky once again, I had a possible tornado hit just west of me in Dallas, GA and on top of that there was a lot of "junk" convection that wouldn't stop coming in here hours well ahead of the main storms, I'm pretty sure that stabilized things a bit, but I know sooner or later our luck is gonna run out again. UGH, I wish this stupid La Nina would high tail it out of here now, it's truly overstayed it's welcome. What's worse is we might have to deal with a third year of Nina.  :wall:

Sheesh, is it impossible to have a year where there's no La Nina or El Nino involved? I can't remember what one was like right about now. :P

EDIT: Here's the statement on the tornado that was a close call for me. It was an EF3  when it was in Haralson Co. Paulding Co. (where Dallas, GA is) hasn't been classified yet. (They were hit by the same storm that hit Haralson Co.)

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
255 PM EST SAT MAR 3 2012

...PRELIMINARY TORNADO REPORT FOR MARCH 2 2012...

LOCATION: HARALSON
COUNTY RATING: EF-3
WIND SPEED: 165 MPH

PRELIMINARY INFORMATION IS THAT AN EF3 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN
HARALSON COUNTY WITH EF3 DAMAGE ALONG BETHLEHEM CHURCH ROAD WHERE A
REPAIR SHOP WAS DESTROYED AND NUMEROUS TREES WERE DOWNED. OTHER
DAMAGE IN HARALSON COUNTY INCLUDED A METAL ROOF BLOWN OFF A MOBILE
HOME...A CHURCH STEEPLE BLOWN OFF ON MOUNT ZION EAST ROAD...A MOBILE
HOME PUSHED OF ITS FOUNDATION ALONG BETHLEHEM CHURCH ROAD...AND IN
THE VICINITY OF HIGHWAY 27 AND HARPERS CREEK ROAD NUMEROUS TREES
AND TELEPHONE POLES WERE SNAPPED.

« Last Edit: March 03, 2012, 05:52:30 PM by Weatherlover »


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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Severe Weather Season 2012
« Reply #74 on: March 03, 2012, 08:35:54 PM »
I don't get it. Are you saying tornadoes will be just as bad this year from last year?
I said that I expected this year to be just like last year in terms of severe weather, including tornadoes.  We're coming out of a La Niņa winter, which has already been linked through research to more severe weather activity over the United States.
Makes sense. Also notice how more and more of these violent tornadoes are hitting eastwards. I am expecting more violent tornadoes to occur in the eastern half of the USA, particularly in the mid-atlantic given the warm and humid temps we've been dealing with (or will be since its supposed to hit 72 already on Thursday!)