Severe Weather Season 2012

[Lightning]

It's highly unusual to see SPC this aggressive on an event.

Yep. I think April 27th of last year, when my area here in Alabama was hit so hard, was the last time they were this aggressive on an event. Despite the dramatic video of last week's tornadoes in the Dallas area, this may be much worse than that event 11 days ago was.

I am concerned about our own Matt Marron, who lives in Omaha, which is included in the High Risk area. 

[toxictwister00]

Latest TOR:CON Numbers for this weekend

[toxictwister00]

One of the wedge tornadoes that developed about an hour ago

[toxictwister00]

Not looking good for Wichita, KS 

[Donovan]

Not looking good for Wichita, KS 

Not one bit. Tornado in this frame was between Oaklawn and Haysville. Anyone Watching TWC saw/hear Sidell and the NWS office reaction there. 

[toxictwister00]

Looks like Wichita was spared a direct hit, but I can only imagine the folks in Andover, KS are sitting on pins and needles right now. For those who don't know they were hit by a F5 tornado back in April 1991.

[phw115wvwx]

Five people have died in a small town in northwest Oklahoma from the tornadoes yesterday.   Plenty of damage occurred in other states as well, and it appears the total number of tornadoes reported to the NWS was over 100.  Here's an article with more details:

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-201_162-57414275/midwest-tornadoes-5-dead-29-hurt-in-okla/

[Localonthe8s]

I saw a picture of the large wedge tornado that passed by Geneseo, KS. Boy, that thing looks like a monster! Fortunately, I have not heard anything about causalities in that one but sad to hear about what happened in Oklahoma. Must have been one close call for the Storm Prediction Center headquarters down there.

[Mr. Rainman]

A moderate risk day doesn't look like it churned out much of anything. Only 36 storm reports, evenly split between the MDT risk area and SLGT risk area in the Southeast. I think it's safe to say that today's forecast was:

[Mr. Rainman]

As far as I'm concerned it is really rare, but it appears the Northeast will be under a moderate risk within the next 10-20 minutes. Has anyone else seen a moderate risk in that area before?

[Trevor]

I don't think I've ever seen a MDT Risk in the Northeast...in my almost 5 years of weather.

[TWCCraig]

I don't think I've ever seen a MDT Risk in the Northeast...in my almost 5 years of weather.

It has actually happened before. It mainly happens in the summer where it's warmer, (like it is now). The last time this might have happened was June 2008.

[Localonthe8s]

What's the torcon? Praying to see a twister :S

[toxictwister00]

I'm becoming concerned for Friday here. I'm not as much of an expert in the severe weather department when it comes to the models, but from what I've been hearing it's not going to be pleasant. Last night one of our local mets said the setup was very potent and reminded him of something we would see in March rather than the first of June. Heck, even TWC has been red tagging the LF about for two days, never seen them keep up notice for that long before.

EDIT: In the meantime, we might have these to contend with. Who wants to bet $100 these storms fizzle out before they get to I-85?

[Mr. Rainman]

Tomorrow is going to be a fun day for Oklahoma and surrounding areas, the entire Southeast looks to get in on the fun Thursday and Friday, and then another system moves across the northern tier of the country Sat/Sun. Gonna be a busy week.