Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread

[Lightning]

I believe there was still some uncertainty yesterday as to how severe the tornadoes would be in the areas yesterday, which is why they held the tornado probability at 15%. Today, the atmospheric conditions are prime for dangerous tornades, possibly worse than yesterday, and their certainty is much higher. Hence, the High Risk and the PDS tornado watch.

I am glad that storm system is already past me. If I were in the eastern Carolinas, I'd be terrified , like I was when Alabama had its turn yesterday.

[Lightning]

I am watching Dr. Greg Forbes and Jeff Morrow, who is in Fayetteville, North Carolina and and line of storms is west of Jeff, but no supercells ahead of it. So why the high risk and PDS tornado watch with only a line? 

[toxictwister00]

I sure hope the folks in Raleigh heeded the tornado warning/emergency, on radar and a couple of the pictures sent into TWC it was a large tornado. According to Dr. Forbes the folks at the NWS took cover after issuing the warning which is good news.

[Mr. Rainman]

The picture below are the two cells near Raleigh where the NWS is citing large and extremely dangerous tornadoes with visible debris.

[phw115wvwx]

I sure hope the folks in Raleigh heeded the tornado warning/emergency, on radar and a couple of the pictures sent into TWC it was a large tornado. According to Dr. Forbes the folks at the NWS took cover after issuing the warning which is good news.

Yes, they took shelter for 15 minutes, and my office backed them up until they were safe and could continue their duties.  The tornado barely missed the office, but they could see debris flying around outside.

[Lightning]

Dr. Greg Forbes sounded alarmed, I could tell by the tone of his voice and that's the first time I've ever heard him sound like that, so those storms are definately spawning a series of tornadoes. It's been a deadly outbreak since Thursday.

[Donovan]

I was under a tornado warning for a <3hours as several storms went tornadic. Confirmed tornado in Saint Stephens, SC where a trailer was thrown into a church injuring 6. (which is 6miles from my location). Also had the hook echo of two storms move directly over my town, luckily the winds were near the ground.

[Pop Light Brown]

The picture below are the two cells near Raleigh where the NWS is citing large and extremely dangerous tornadoes with visible debris.

Wow, those were some nasty hook echoes there.

[Pop Light Brown]

Update:

NWS Jackson has finished some of their storm surveys. Regarding the supercell that produced tornadoes in Clinton/Jackson and Kemper County/Neshoba County, damage from both areas were rated EF3 with winds of 140. Tornado damage in Attala County was rated EF2 with winds of 120 mph.

The Kemper/Neshoba tornado tracked 38.5 miles and was 3/4 mile wide at its peak and was on the ground for nearly one hour.

[Lightning]

So what's the death toll from the tornado outbreak that lasted Thursday through yesterday?

[TWCmatthew]

With this outbreak done, another is in store for Tuesday-Wednesday, but this time for the lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and of course, Dixie Alley.

[Mr. Rainman]

Currently, out of the 248 reported in the 3 day period, 68 tornadoes have been confirmed. The death toll currently sits at 40.

Askewville, NC, reported 11 deaths alone. Preliminary reports put this tornado at EF3, but further evaluations could make it higher.

Preliminary reports put the Raleigh tornado at a high-end EF3.

[Localonthe8s]

So the death toll is 40? Does that include non-tornadic related deaths as well like straight line winds and floods?

[phw115wvwx]

So the death toll is 40? Does that include non-tornadic related deaths as well like straight line winds and floods?

That toll is now 45 and still counting, and it appears that 40 of them were due to the tornadoes.  So far, my office has confirmed at least two tornadoes from yesterday's storms, and the damage ranged anywhere from EF0 to EF2.

[WeatherWitness]

According to TWC, another severe outbreak is expected for next week. Dr. Forbes has TOR:CON values of 6 for central MO and some parts of IL on Tuesday, April 19.

I guess these outbreaks and just going to be one after another after another.