Blizzard for New England 2013

[toxictwister00]

I wouldn't recommend using the GFS or any other long range model as your main guidance at this point since you're within less than 24 hours of the event effecting your area. I would focus a little more on the short range models like the NAM, RPM, SERF, RAP, etc. since they tend to pick up on some of the mesoscale features that the GFS, ECMWF, CMC, etc might not see.

[WeatherWitness]

Do u know how many inches of snow central NJ will get?

According to the NWS, 6-10 inches.

Blizzard Warnings were extended to include the NYC metro area.

Not bad. I would expect to see 6 inches at the least.

And why did they choose the name Nemo? Are they serious of all names to use they decide to name a blizzard after a fish?

Well according to weather.com's name list, Nemo is "a Greek boy's name meaning 'from the valley,' means 'nobody' in Latin."  But yeah, honestly, when i hear about Nemo, I'm going to think about a clownfish who got taken by divers and had an adventure.

Most of TWC's names for these winter storms are okay because they're names of gods and goddesses, etc.  The only weird one is "Q": the Broadway Express subway line in NYC.  Really?!?

[Localonthe8s]

I wouldn't recommend using the GFS or any other long range model as your main guidance at this point since you're within less than 24 hours of the event effecting your area. I would focus a little more on the short range models like the NAM, RPM, SERF, RAP, etc. since they tend to pick up on some of the mesoscale features that the GFS, ECMWF, CMC, etc might not see.

Right, NAM is what i'm looking into now.

[TWCCraig]

The radar just looks amazing. If you look at loops, you can clearly see the rotation around the center of the low, even forming a small eye at the center.

[Metarvo]

The only weird one is "Q"

For fans of Star Trek TNG, though, this may well be the scariest one.  It's only three storms away, too, if we get that many more.

[toxictwister00]

I feel fairly confident about this, so this is my final map.

[gt1racerlHDl]

Its already slippery outside with about 1-2" already on the ground, i experienced it walking my dog just now.

[Localonthe8s]

The snow is coming down HARD! Here's an LF I recorded earlier. Does anyone know what happened to the icons? It's been like this during Sandy coverage as well.

The Weather Channel Winter Storm Nemo Coverage + Piscataway, NJ Local on the 8s 2/8/13 3:28 PM

[gt1racerlHDl]

Meso discussion of 2-3" Snowfall Rates in SE Mass.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0124.html

[toxictwister00]

There have been multiple reports of snowfall rates as high as 4-6 in/hr!  I didn't catch the name of the town (wasn't completely focused on my TV when he said the name), but Chris Warren mentioned this town saw a foot of snow in two hours! My jaw drops when we see 1 in/hr rates here, I can ONLY imagine what 6 inches/hr would be like to witness in person.

EDIT: I found out what town it was, this tweet was posted over at AmWx
Marc Weinberg ‏@MarcWeinbergWX
Storm spotters in Coventry, CT of 12 inches in 90 minutes. I have never heard of snowfall rates of 8" per hour!?? #blizzard #n

[Localonthe8s]

OMG I JUST HEARD THUNDERSNOW!!

[toxictwister00]

OMG I JUST HEARD THUNDERSNOW!!

Welcome to the Jim Cantore Fan Club!

[Metarvo]

Jim Cantore just said he was "disappointed" to have not seen lightning so far in Boston.  I guess he's longing for more thundersnow. 

[toxictwister00]

He should have went to CT or Long Island. Plenty of thundersnow reported out there.

Speaking of disappointments, I'm disappointed to see NYC might not manage to see over 6 inches out of this. A lot of things went wrong there, the wasted 1/2 inch of QPF that went to being only rain, along with a late phase of the two energies (clipper & nor'easter) which caused a nice little break in the snow action. I heard Central Park has only accumulated 2.5 inches. Great, the one time I choose to be gutsy on a snow forecast and I'll probably end up having a dozen egg yolks streaming from my face.

[Lightning]

A future tip when forecasting:

Never rely solely on models.

I totally agree.  Models are not perfect and weather is not an exact science.