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Author Topic: Hurricane Central 2008  (Read 41260 times)

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #195 on: September 04, 2008, 08:06:50 PM »
T.S. Hanna 8PM advisory

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 042339
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  32A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
800 PM EDT THU SEP 04 2008

...LARGE HANNA BEGINNING TO CLEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...BUT STILL
WINDY... 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER
NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE
PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER NORTHWARD TO GREAT EGG INLET NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE
DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SAVANNAH RIVER
SOUTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
ESTIMATED LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MARSH HARBOR IN THE
BAHAMAS AND ABOUT 580 MILES...940 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS
EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT...
AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA
WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ONLY SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL...
ALTHOUGH IT IS STILL POSSIBLE FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS AND THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH AND NORTH
CAROLINA...WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE GEORGIA
COAST SOUTHWARD TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST.  VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ARE LIKELY TO SPREAD RAPIDLY NORTHWARD INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC STATES AND NEW ENGLAND FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND
MAY RESULT IN FLOODING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...26.0 N...76.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #196 on: September 04, 2008, 08:35:38 PM »
Remnants of Gustav - Final Advisory issued by the HPC

Quote
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 45 FOR REMNANTS OF GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
0400 PM CDT THU SEP 4 2008

...GUSTAV BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...

FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MUCH OF MISSOURI.  FOR
MORE STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

AT 0400 PM CDT...21Z...THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 90.3
WEST...OR 15 MILES...24 KM...NORTH NORTHEAST OF SAINT LOUIS
MISSOURI.

THE LOW WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 28 MPH. THIS NORTHEASTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FORMER GUSTAV HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53
INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM NORTHERN
ILLINOIS INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN...NORTHWESTERN
INDIANA AND MICHIGAN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR AN INCH
WITH MAXIMA OF 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FAR SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN ALABAMA THROUGH
THIS EVENING.

REPEATING THE 0400 PM CDT POSITION...39.0 NORTH...90.3
WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 28 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED FOR THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV.
PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM.


Hurricane Ike 5 PM advisory

Quote
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
500 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008

...IKE EXPECTED TO TURN WESTWARD OVERNIGHT....

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IKE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.2 WEST OR ABOUT 505 MILES...815
KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 TO 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...23.6 N...58.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.


Tropical Storm Josephine 5 PM advisory - storm continues to weaken:

Quote
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102008
500 PM AST THU SEP 04 2008

...JOSEPHINE WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.2 WEST OR ABOUT 590
MILES...945 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...14.6 N...33.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

Offline beanboy89

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #197 on: September 04, 2008, 08:38:32 PM »
Wow, there are Tropical Storm watches for Hanna as far north as Southern New Jersey, Delaware, and the entire Chesapeake Bay region of Maryland!
My super-awesome website!
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Offline lfmusiclover

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #198 on: September 04, 2008, 09:34:01 PM »
I'm getting excited! This is my kinda weather!  :biggrin:

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #199 on: September 04, 2008, 09:43:43 PM »
I'm getting excited! This is my kinda weather!  :biggrin:
Same here. I've been waiting for something like this for quite some time. :D

Offline beanboy89

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #200 on: September 04, 2008, 09:52:22 PM »
My super-awesome website!
[00:45] <SpringRubberMB> I wear a condom everywhere I go!

Offline lfmusiclover

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #201 on: September 04, 2008, 10:09:43 PM »
I'm excited for this:

http://img217.imageshack.us/my.php?image=snapshot20080904213729fz6.jpg

 :dance:


Now that's my kinda LF! Slap that on a 4000 with some Trammell music and I'm in heaven!  :P

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #202 on: September 04, 2008, 10:17:31 PM »
It's going to provide needed rain in my area. My plants are dying.

Offline lfmusiclover

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #203 on: September 04, 2008, 10:32:47 PM »
I'm actually looking more forward to Ike than Hanna to be honest. Ike's already a Cat 4. It looks like its going to take a track similar to Hanna's, so we could be in for a real doozy in a few more days.  :blink:

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #204 on: September 05, 2008, 03:04:59 PM »
We're under a tropical storm wind warning!  :dance:

Offline Spring Rubber

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #205 on: September 06, 2008, 04:51:16 PM »
Ike back up to cat 4!

Quote
000
WTNT34 KNHC 062044
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
500 PM AST SAT SEP 06 2008

...IKE HEADING TOWARD THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS WITH 135 MPH
WINDS...

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT
ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG  ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR.

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE
CUBA...AND HOLGUIN.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...
CROOKED ISLAND...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE NORTHERN BOARDER WITH THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TO GONAIVES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS AND CAMAGUEY.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE BAHAMAS...CUBA...SOUTH
FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HURRICANE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 90 MILES...145 KM
...EAST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. IKE IS
FORECAST TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON SUNDAY.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...IKE IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY...AND
THEN MOVE NEAR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF
EASTERN CUBA SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IKE IS NOW AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  FLUCTUATIONS
IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...BUT IKE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE DURING THIS PERIOD.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WAS 949 MB...28.23 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 13 TO 18 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE NORTH TO THE OF
THE CENTER OF IKE.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THESE WAVES
COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP CURRENTS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA COULD SEE 6 TO 12
INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...21.4 N...69.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN

<SpringRubber>   my gummy bears are hard
<SpringRubber>   :(
<SpringRubber>   PONY!
<kitty0723>    ADHD much?

Offline TheRolyPoly

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #206 on: September 07, 2008, 09:09:40 PM »
Latest update on South Florida Schools

Miami-Dade
Schools in Miami-Dade County will be open for regular classes Monday.

Broward
Schools in Broward County will be open for regular classes Monday.

Monroe
Schools will be closed on Monday and Tuesday.
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Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #207 on: September 07, 2008, 09:58:52 PM »
What county do you live in?


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Offline TheRolyPoly

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #208 on: September 07, 2008, 10:16:15 PM »
Miami-Dade
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Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #209 on: September 09, 2008, 06:24:38 AM »
Ike 5 AM advisory:

Quote
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
500 AM EDT TUE SEP 09 2008

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS REPORTED IN HAVANA...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNINGS EAST OF THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
MATANZAS...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
OCEAN REEF SOUTHWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN
BRAC.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN.

INTERESTS IN SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF IKE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED BY
RADAR AND A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
HAVANA CUBA.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.  A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...IKE
IS FORECAST TO MOVE OVER THE WATERS BETWEEN THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND
SOUTH COAST OF HAVANA PROVINCE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND
THEN MOVE OVER WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. IKE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE IKE MOVES OVER WESTERN CUBA
TODAY.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR WHEN IKE
REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 195
MILES...315 KM.  THE CUBAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE AT CASABLANCA
HAVANA RECENTLY MEASURED A WIND GUST OF 75 MPH...120 KM/HR.  KEY
WEST RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...87 KM/HR.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE PLANE WAS 965
MB...28.50 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS EAST OF IKE ALONG THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF CUBA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET...ALONG WITH
LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY IKE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THESE WAVES COULD GENERATE DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING RIP
CURRENTS.

IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE FLORIDA KEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...22.0 N...82.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...965 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.