Author Topic: Hurricane Central 2008 (Read 41855 times)

TheRolyPoly · « **Reply #90 on:** August 17, 2008, 03:51:07 PM »

Update on local School closings because of Tropical Storm Fay:

Miami-Dade:
No school on Monday & mabye Tuesday as well
First day of school: If the government says no school on monday, then first day of school will be tuesday, but if the government says no school on Monday & Tuesday, then the first day of school will be Wednesday.

Monroe:
No school on Monday & Tuesday
First day of school: Wednesday

Broward:
No school on Monday
First day of school: Tuesday

lfmusiclover · « **Reply #91 on:** August 17, 2008, 03:58:07 PM »

Today's 11AM Advisory (since no one else posted it....):

Quote

000
WTNT21 KNHC 171430
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
1500 UTC SUN AUG 17 2008

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF
FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE
WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN
REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO ANNA
MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE
PROVINCES OF LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO
GUANTANAMO...AND ALSO FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 78.6W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE 120SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 78.6W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 78.0W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 21.3N 80.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 30SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 22.9N 81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 45SW 45NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.5N 82.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 25SW 25NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 26.2N 82.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 120SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 29.5N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 32.5N 81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 36.0N 81.5W...INLAND REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 25 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 78.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Localonthe8s · « **Reply #92 on:** August 18, 2008, 03:13:16 PM »

2 Pm advisory:

Quote

000
WTNT31 KNHC 181754
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
200 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

...CENTER OF FAY APPROACHING KEY WEST...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
SPREADING INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM FLAMINGO TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND. A HURRICANE WARNING
MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST EAST
OF FLAMINGO...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA MAINLAND EAST OF FLAMINGO TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE...AND
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF ANNA MARIA ISLAND TO TARPON
SPRINGS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
NORTH OF COCOA BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.6 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES...30 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH WITH A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A GENERALLY NORTHWARD MOTION EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD PASS OVER
THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND BE NEAR THE
SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND FAY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA COAST ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER. THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT SOMBRERO KEY FLORIDA
RECENTLY REPORTED 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 52 MPH...83 KM/HR...
AND A WIND GUST OF 62 MPH...100 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF 159
FEET. KEY WEST RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 47 MPH...76 KM/HR.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1002 MB...29.62 INCHES.

STORM TIDES OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA NEAR THE CENTER OF FAY. TIDES OF 2
TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUD SLIDES. HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...24.3 N...81.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/BROWN

TheRolyPoly · « **Reply #93 on:** August 18, 2008, 03:34:56 PM »

Update on local School closings because of Tropical Storm Fay:

Miami-Dade:
No school on Monday & Tuesday
First day of school: Wednesday

Monroe:
No school on Monday & Tuesday
First day of school: Wednesday

Broward:
No school on Monday & Tuesday
First day of school: Wednesday

Gil · « **Reply #94 on:** August 18, 2008, 10:29:20 PM »

LOL! I had NO idea there was a Tropical Storm until a few minutes ago.

toxictwister00 · « **Reply #95 on:** August 19, 2008, 06:45:57 PM »

Fay is a very confusing storm, it's all over the place and it's starting to make my head spin.

lfmusiclover · « **Reply #96 on:** August 19, 2008, 06:52:39 PM »

I just heard that it actually strengthened over land! That's pretty uncommon.

Mike M · « **Reply #97 on:** August 19, 2008, 07:13:45 PM »

Latest on Tropical Storm Fay:

Quote

000
WTNT31 KNHC 192254
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
700 PM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

...FAY CONTINUING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE EAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH...AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF
FLAGLER BEACH TO ALTAMAHA SOUND...GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND TO
THE SAVANNAH RIVER.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 700 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...
75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11
KM/HR....AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS ANTICIPATED
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING FAY OVER WATER NEAR THE EAST
COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AS FAY APPROACHES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
EAST-CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA.

REPEATING THE 700 PM EDT POSITION...27.5 N...80.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 900 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/RHOME

Mike M · « **Reply #98 on:** August 23, 2008, 11:04:49 PM »

Fay now a Tropical Depression. Final advisory issued by the NHC:

Quote

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062008
1000 PM CDT SAT AUG 23 2008

...FAY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING COULD
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 30 MILES
... 45 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  A
GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...BUT FAY COULD BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY ON MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING
OVER SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY...AND WILL BE
LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI OR EASTERN LOUISIANA ON MONDAY.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WSR-88D RADAR DATA
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  VERY GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS IS 999
MB...29.50 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12
INCHES ACROSS THE EXTREME WESTERN PORTION OF THE NORTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA...AND
EASTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES
POSSIBLE.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY IN PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA...AND SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
ALABAMA.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...30.9 N...87.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT31
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 400 AM CDT SUNDAY.

wxmediafan · « **Reply #99 on:** August 24, 2008, 10:31:24 AM »

All I can say is it's about time

Fay was quite an interesting storm for sure.

beanboy89 · « **Reply #100 on:** August 25, 2008, 10:43:36 AM »

Tropical Depression Seven forms in the Caribbean Sea.

Quote

000
WTNT32 KNHC 251438
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
1100 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2008

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN
BORDER OF HAITI.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
HAITI FROM NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN BORDER OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

SATELLITE DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA IN THE CARIBBEAN HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS
NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.1 WEST OR ABOUT 260
MILES...415 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24
KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI ON
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE INTENSE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...15.5 N...70.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

Stephen · « **Reply #101 on:** August 25, 2008, 01:58:07 PM »

A couple of minutes ago on TWC they were saying that hurricane force winds have already been found at flight level (on T.D 7).

Stephen · « **Reply #102 on:** August 25, 2008, 02:32:05 PM »

Tropical Storm Gustav is born! It went right from 35 mph Tropical Depression to a 60 mph Tropical Storm.

Quote

000
WTNT32 KNHC 251812
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
200 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008

...CARIBBEAN DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM...

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM SANTO DOMINGO
WESTWARD TO THE SOUTHERN BORDER OF HAITI.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE SOUTHERN BORDER WITH THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO
A HURRICANE WARNING. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

AT 2 PM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN CHANGED
TO A HURRICANE WATCH FOR HAITI FROM NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN HAS INTENSIFIED INTO A TROPICAL STORM.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST OR ABOUT 225
MILES...365 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF GUSTAV WILL BE MOVING
NEAR OR OVER SOUTHWESTERN HAITI ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND GUSTAV COULD STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE PRIOR TO
MOVING OVER LAND.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 7
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 25
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE INTENSE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...15.8 N...70.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

Localonthe8s · « **Reply #103 on:** August 25, 2008, 02:51:07 PM »

OMG????

That is scary! It wouldn't surprise me at all if it's a Hurricane later today.

wxmediafan · « **Reply #104 on:** August 25, 2008, 03:34:01 PM »

WOW! had no idea anything was even out there. TO TWC.

Author Topic: Hurricane Central 2008 (Read 41855 times)

TheRolyPoly

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

lfmusiclover

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

Localonthe8s

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

TheRolyPoly

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

Gil

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

toxictwister00

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

lfmusiclover

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

Mike M

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

Mike M

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

wxmediafan

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

beanboy89

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

Stephen

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

Stephen

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

Localonthe8s

Re: Hurricane Central 2008

wxmediafan

Re: Hurricane Central 2008