Hurricane Central 2008

[beanboy89]

The batch of 11 AM ET advisories are out... Hanna, Ike, and Josephine:

Hanna

000
WTNT33 KNHC 021453
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...HANNA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND
HISPANIOLA...

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS EASTWARD
TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA...THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.5 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES... 35 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 370
MILES...600 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HANNA WILL MOVE
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TODAY AND INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE HANNA
THIS AFTERNOON.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA.  RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WHERE THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING MUDSLIDES AND FLASH FLOODING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...21.0 N...73.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB

Ike

000
WTNT34 KNHC 021456
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...IKE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.0 WEST OR ABOUT 1110
MILES...1785 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AND IKE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...18.9 N...45.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BERG/KNABB

Josephine

000
WTNT35 KNHC 021449
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102008
1100 AM EDT TUE SEP 02 2008

...TENTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS IN THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 25.3 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...205 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.  A
GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS
TRACK...JOSEPHINE WILL CONTINUE TO PASS JUST SOUTH OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND JOSEPHINE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH ON WEDNESDAY
OR THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...13.2 N...25.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[Mike M]

Final advisory for Gustav as of 5 AM, now a depression:

WTNT32 KNHC 020839
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER  35
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072008
400 AM CDT TUE SEP 02 2008

...GUSTAV WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION...STILL A FLOOD THREAT...

AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST OR ABOUT 135
MILES...215 KM...NORTHWEST OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA.

GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND
A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV ACROSS WESTERN LOUISIANA AND INTO NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN MISSOURI...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.

A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TODAY.

REPEATING THE 400 AM CDT POSITION...31.7 N...93.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON GUSTAV.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH...
BEGINNING AT 10 AM CDT.

[Mike M]

2 PM intermediate advisory for Hanna:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
200 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...HANNA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS AND HISPANIOLA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
HAITI FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA...THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST OR JUST
SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND
ABOUT 420 MILES...680 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU.

HANNA HAS BEEN DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD TODAY.  HOWEVER...A
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.  ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...HANNA WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
TONIGHT AND INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING HANNA.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA.  RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WHERE THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING MUDSLIDES AND FLASH FLOODING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 200 PM AST POSITION...20.6 N...72.9 W.
MOVEMENT...DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

[Mike M]

Tropical Storm Hanna 8 PM intermediate advisory:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  24A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
800 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...HANNA DRIFTING EASTWARD...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO BAHIA DE
MANZANILLO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA...THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HANNA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST OR ABOUT
65 MILES...105 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND ABOUT 450 MILES...725 KM...SOUTHEAST OF
NASSAU.

HANNA HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER...A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EARLY
WEDNESDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HANNA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL
BAHAMAS TOMORROW...AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT...BUT SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND HANNA
COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THAT PERIOD.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...320 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WHERE THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING MUD SLIDES AND FLASH FLOODING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...20.5 N...72.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

[Mike M]

Tropical Storm Josephine 5 PM advisory:

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102008
500 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...JOSEPHINE STRENGTHENING OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 25.9 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...205 KM...SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THIS TRACK...JOSEPHINE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
AWAY FROM THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND OVER THE
OPEN WATERS OF THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND JOSEPHINE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON
WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...13.7 N...25.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

[Mike M]

Tropical Storm Ike 5 PM advisory

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
500 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...IKE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1030 MILES
...1655 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. IKE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...19.2 N...46.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

[beanboy89]

Here are the 11 PM ET advisories:

Hanna:

000
WTNT33 KNHC 030256
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...HANNA NEARLY STATIONARY...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED
A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE
ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND
BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUERTO PLATA WESTWARD TO BAHIA DE
MANZANILLO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR HAITI
FROM THE NORTHERN BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TO
PORT-AU-PRINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HANNA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES...105 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND AND ABOUT 450
MILES...720 KM...SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU.

HANNA HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER...A NORTH OR NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
EARLY ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...HANNA WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
OVERNIGHT...AND NEAR OR OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.   LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT...BUT SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND HANNA
COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THAT PERIOD.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA WHERE THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING MUD SLIDES AND FLASH FLOODING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...20.5 N...72.4 W.  MOVEMENT...
STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...988 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA

Ike:

000
WTNT34 KNHC 030249
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IKE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...IKE HEADING TOWARD THE WESTERN ATLANTIC...A CYCLONE TO CAREFULLY
WATCH OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IKE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.9 WEST OR ABOUT 930
MILES...1500 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A
MOTION BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
IKE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...19.9 N...47.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

Josephine:

000
WTNT35 KNHC 030248
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102008
1100 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2008

...JOSEPHINE MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 26.8 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...290 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT OVER THE SOUTHERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS AS JOSEPHINE MOVES AWAY. 

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...13.6 N...26.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

[Spring Rubber]

Holy crap; Ike just rapidly intensified into a cat 3; this storm could become really powerful with the situation it's in...

000
WTNT34 KNHC 032345
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
800 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008

...IKE BECOMES THE THIRD MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.2 WEST OR ABOUT 645 MILES...1035
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND EARLY
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...TAKING IKE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE WHAT IF ANY LAND AREAS MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE AFFECTED BY
IKE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IKE IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY THIRD HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...21.7 N...53.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE

[Mike M]

Tropical Depression Gustav 5 PM HPC advisory

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 41 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
400 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2008

...GUSTAV NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS AS HEAVY
RAIN SPREADS INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...ARKANSAS...
MISSOURI...WESTERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
AND NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...WESTERN MISSISSIPPI...AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF
ARKANSAS. FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST WATCHES
AND WARNINGS...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 94.2
WEST...OR 25 MILES...45 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS
AND 80 MILES...130 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HOT SPRINGS ARKANSAS.

GUSTAV HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY FOR THE LAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW
DRIFT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS EVENING
WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED FORECAST TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH...40 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON
THURSDAY AS IT INTERACTS WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARKANSAS...MISSOURI...NORTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN AND NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS MISSOURI AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND
WESTERN MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...33.8 NORTH...94.2 WEST...
MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY ON GUSTAV WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 1000 PM CDT. PLEASE REFER
TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON GUSTAV.

Tropical Storm Hanna 8 PM advisory

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  28A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
800 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008

...HANNA BECOMING A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT IN HISPANIOLA FROM PORT
AU PRINCE HAITI NORTHWARD AND EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

INTERESTS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HANNA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST OR ABOUT 200
MILES...320 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN SALVADOR IN THE BAHAMAS AND
395 MILES...630 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU.

FIXES FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT HANNA HAS
BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. HOWEVER...
HANNA SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT OR EARLY
THURSDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD BE MOVING
THROUGH OR JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS OVER
THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...105
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...
WITH MAXIMUM ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND EASTERN CUBA. ISOLATED
AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN PUERTO RICO. RAINFALL TOTALS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15
INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER HISPANIOLA...WHERE THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
BY FRIDAY MORNING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.

SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND
THE ADJACENT WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...22.6 N...71.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

Tropical Storm Joesphine 8 PM advisory - storm is weakening.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102008
500 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008

...JOSEPHINE WEAKENS OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 29.9 WEST OR ABOUT 375
MILES...605 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.  A
MOTION BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...13.8 N...29.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM AST.

[TWCToday]

000
WTNT43 KNHC 040254
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
1100 PM EDT WED SEP 03 2008

HANNA HAS BEEN A TENACIOUS TROPICAL CYCLONE. SINCE ITS FORMATION IT
HAS FOUGHT TWO UPPER-LEVEL LOWS...STRONG NORTHERLY SHEAR AND THE
EFFECTS OF LAND. FURTHERMORE...AT TIMES HANNA HAS RESEMBLED A
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE.  SURFACE AND AIRCRAFT OBSERVATIONS TONIGHT
CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT HANNA HAS A LARGE CIRCULATION AND SATELLITE
IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE SHEAR IS DECREASING AND HANNA IS DEVELOPING
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THESE CHANGES IN THE UPPER FLOW OVER HANNA
HAVE BEEN ACCURATELY FORECAST BY MOST OF THE NUMERICAL WEATHER
PREDICTION MODELS.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS 55 KNOTS...AND IS
BASED ON A 68 KT FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND MEASURED AS THE PLANE DEPARTED
THE CYCLONE. WITH THE MORE FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...SOME
INTENSIFICATION IS INDICATED IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST.  HANNA IS
FORECAST TO REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS IN A DAY OR TWO BUT IT COULD
OCCUR EARLIER. NONE OF THE GUIDANCE INTENSIFIES HANNA BEYOND 70
KNOTS.   

THE CENTER HAS BEEN ROTATING AROUND A LARGE CYCLONIC GYRE AND FIXES
FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND DATA FROM A NOAA BUOY SUGGEST
THAT THE INITIAL MOTION IS 335/11. SOME OF THIS MOTION COULD HAVE
RESULTED FROM REFORMATION OF THE CENTER. SINCE THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
IS EXPANDING TO THE NORTHEAST OF HANNA...A NORTHWEST MOTION SHOULD
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTH AROUND THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE HIGH.  THE TRACK
MODELS ARE NOT TIGHTLY CLUSTERED AND THE CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK
FORECAST IS NOT VERY HIGH. HOWEVER...THE MIDDLE OF THE GUIDANCE
ENVELOPE HAS HANNA MOVING OVER OR VERY CLOSE TO THE COAST OF THE
CAROLINAS.  BECAUSE HANNA IS A LARGE CYCLONE...A HURRICANE WATCH
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES COAST EARLY THURSDAY.

A NOAA JET HAS SAMPLED THE ENVIRONMENT TONIGHT AND THE DATA IS BEING
USED TO INITIALIZE THE 00Z GLOBAL MODEL RUNS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL      04/0300Z 23.2N  72.1W    55 KT
 12HR VT     04/1200Z 24.7N  73.1W    55 KT
 24HR VT     05/0000Z 26.9N  75.0W    60 KT
 36HR VT     05/1200Z 29.3N  77.3W    65 KT
 48HR VT     06/0000Z 32.0N  79.0W    70 KT
 72HR VT     07/0000Z 39.5N  74.0W    50 KT...INLAND
 96HR VT     08/0000Z 46.5N  63.0W    35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT     09/0000Z 49.0N  47.0W    35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[Spring Rubber]

...and in another three hours, Ike becomes a category 4 storm...

000
WTNT34 KNHC 040253
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1100 PM AST WED SEP 03 2008

...IKE BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST OR ABOUT 610 MILES...
980 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE WEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY...TAKING IKE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL
ATLANTIC DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  IT IS TOO EARLY TO
DETERMINE WHAT IF ANY LAND AREAS MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE AFFECTED BY
IKE.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY
FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160
MILES...260 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...22.1 N...54.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[wxmediafan]

Wow, they havn't even put the final advisory on Gustav yet?  Anyways, I am seeeing effects of Gustav right now   Well needed rain for sure.

[Stephen]

Wow, they havn't even put the final advisory on Gustav yet?

That advisory that Mike posted on Gustav was from the HPC (Hydrometeorological Prediction Center) which basically release advisories after the National Hurricane Center stop releasing advisories.

[wxmediafan]

Wow, they havn't even put the final advisory on Gustav yet?

That advisory that Mike posted on Gustav was from the HPC (Hydrometeorological Prediction Center) which basically release advisories after the National Hurricane Center stop releasing advisories.

Oh wow, I did not know that.  Very interesting..   Thanks.

[Mike M]

Remnants of Gustav 11 AM advisory - storm is now extratropical.

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 44 FOR FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION GUSTAV
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD AL072008
1000 AM CDT THU SEP 4 2008

...GUSTAV BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL...

FLOOD AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS
OF LOUISIANA...ARKANSAS...MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MUCH OF MISSOURIAND
ADJACENT WESTER ILLINOIS.  FOR MORE STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO
YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

AT 1000 AM CDT...15Z...THE REMNANT LOW OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.0 NORTH...AND LONGITUDE 92.6
WEST...OR 40 MILES...64 KM...EAST SOUTHEAST OF SPRINGFIELD
MISSOURI.

THE LOW WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 13 MPH. THIS NORTHEASTWARD MOTION
IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
AS IT MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE CIRCULATION CENTER WITH FORMER GUSTAV HAS MERGED WITH A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53
INCHES.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...UNLESS OTHERWISE INDICATED.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM NORTHEAST
MISSOURI NORTHEASTWARD INTO PORTIONS OF ILLINOIS...SOUTHEASTERN
WISCONSIN...NORTHWESTERN INDIANA AND MICHIGAN WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR AN INCH WITH MAXIMA OF 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...EASTERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN
ALABAMA THROUGH THURSDAY.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...37.0 NORTH...92.6
WEST...MOVEMENT TO THE NORTHEAST AT 13 MPH...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...15 MPH...MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PRDICTION CENTER AT 0400 PM CDT THURSDAY.  PLEASE REFER TO YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
ON THIS SYSTEM.

Tropical Storm Hanna 2 PM intermediate advisory

TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  31A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL082008
200 PM EDT THU SEP 04 2008

CORRECTED FOR TIME IN LOCATION PARAGRAPH

...HANNA MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTHWEST...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTHWARD
TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205
MILES...330 KM...EAST OF NASSAU AND ABOUT 670 MILES...1080 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO WITH
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS
EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HANNA WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
TODAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...RAINS AND WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA
WILL REACH THE COAST WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TODAY...HOWEVER...
HANNA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS WITHIN THE TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AREA.

SWELLS FROM HANNA ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THE RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

HANNA COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...25.1 N...74.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM AST.

Hurricane Ike 11 AM advisory

HURRICANE IKE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL092008
1100 AM AST THU SEP 04 2008

...IKE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...A LITTLE WEAKER...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST OR ABOUT 525 MILES...
845 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND WEST-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE OVER THE OPEN WATERS OF THE WEST-CENTRAL ATLANTIC DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHAT LAND AREAS
MIGHT EVENTUALLY BE AFFECTED BY IKE BUT INTERESTS IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  IKE IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A POWERFUL
HURRICANE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

DATA FROM THE NASA QUIKSCAT SATELLITE INDICATE THAT HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 938 MB...27.70 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...23.2 N...57.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...938 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

Tropical Storm Josephine 11 AM advisory

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL102008
1100 AM AST THU SEP 04 2008

...JOSEPHINE WEAKENS A LITTLE...

AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.2 WEST OR ABOUT 520
MILES...840 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE CURRENTLY NOT FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING...AND LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...14.5 N...32.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.