000WTNT34 KNHC 180247TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 20NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0420071100 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007...CATEGORY FOUR DEAN INTENSIFYING OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN...AT 11 PM AST...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWESTERNPENINSULA OF HAITI...FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TOPORT-AU-PRINCE...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FROMPORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.AT 11 PM AST...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE AND ITSDEPENDENCIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED...AND ALL TROPICAL STORMWARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THELESSER ANTILLES...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...NEVIS...STKITTS...BARBUDA...AND ANGUILLA.A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THEDOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANECONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHEDTO COMPLETION.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGINISLANDS....U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. THESE WARNINGSWILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON SATURDAY MORNING.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OFTHE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA.A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AHURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHINTHE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THEPROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. ATROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDINGWESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OFMEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.9 WEST OR ABOUT 755 MILES...1210 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 240 MILES...390 KM...SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THISGENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING WELL SOUTHOF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC EARLYSATURDAY.DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THATMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSONHURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURINGTHE NEXT 24 HOURS.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205MILES...335 KM.THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 937MB...27.67 INCHES.STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROMDEAN OVER PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITHMAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSELIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDESREPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...14.9 N...65.9 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB.AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500AM AST.$$FORECASTER KNABB
Looks like this storm will have a somewhat simular track as what Claudette of 2003 had.
000WTNT34 KNHC 180548TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20ANWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007200 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR DEAN CONTINUES TO INTENSIFYWHILE PASSING SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THEDOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANECONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHEDTO COMPLETION.A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANSTHAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGINISLANDS....U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. THESE WARNINGSWILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. A TROPICAL STORMWARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICANREPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA. A TROPICAL STORMWARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHINTHE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THEPROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. ATROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDINGWESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OFMEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 200 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST OR ABOUT 700 MILES...1125 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 240 MILES...390 KM...SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...AND THISGENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING WELL SOUTHOF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND SOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATERTODAY.REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THATMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ONTHE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENINGIS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205MILES...335 KM.THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 930MB...27.46 INCHES.STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROMDEAN OVER PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITHMAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSELIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDESREPEATING THE 200 AM AST POSITION...15.0 N...66.7 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONALHURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM AST.$$FORECASTER BEVEN
000WTNT34 KNHC 180833TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 21NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007500 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR DEAN CONTINUES WESTWARD THROUGHTHE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THEDOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANECONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHEDTO COMPLETION.A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WATCHMEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCHAREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING WILL LIKELYBE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER THIS MORNING.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGINISLANDS....U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. THESE WARNINGSWILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. A TROPICAL STORMWARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICANREPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA. A TROPICAL STORMWARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHINTHE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THEPROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. ATROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDINGWESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OFMEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 500 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST OR ABOUT 660 MILES...1065 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 240 MILES...390 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A GENERALWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVINGSOUTH OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY AND SOUTH OF HAITITONIGHT.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSONSCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ANAIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO REACHDEAN IN A FEW HOURS.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205MILES...335 KM. NOAA BUOY 42059 RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTEAVERAGE WIND OF 59 MPH.THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES.STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROMDEAN OVER PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITHMAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSELIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.REPEATING THE 500 AM AST POSITION...15.1 N...67.3 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB.AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 800 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100AM AST.$$FORECASTER BEVEN
000WTNT34 KNHC 181150TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21ANWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007800 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007...CORE OF HURRICANE DEAN PASSES WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THEDOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER...AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROMTHE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU PRINCE. A HURRICANEWARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THEWARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECTLIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANEWARNING WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR JAMAICA LATER THIS MORNING.A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLEWITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH VIRGINISLANDS....U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. THESE WARNINGSWILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED ON SATURDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORMWARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICANREPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA...AND FOR COAST OFHAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERN HAITI-DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICALSTORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THENEXT 24 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THEPROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. ATROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDINGWESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OFMEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 800 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST OR ABOUT 615 MILES...990 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 250 MILES...400 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A GENERALWEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING SOUTH OFTHE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC LATER TODAY AND SOUTH OF HAITI TONIGHT.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT DEAN COULD HAVE WEAKENED ALITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT REMAINS AS A DANGEROUSCATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. AN AIR FORCERESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THEHURRICANE AND WILL DETERMINE THE INTENSITY. SOME FLUCTUATIONS ININTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205MILES...335 KM. NOAA BUOY 42059 RECENTLY REPORTED A 1-MINUTEAVERAGE WIND OF 65 MPH...105 KM/HR AND A WIND GUST OF 76 MPH....122KM/HR AS DEAN MOVED NEARBY. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES.STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROMDEAN OVER PUERTO RICO...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITHMAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSELIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.REPEATING THE 800 AM AST POSITION...15.4 N...67.9 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT1100 AM AST.$$FORECASTER AVILA-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Quick Navigation Links:NHC Active Storms - Atlantic and E Pacific Marine - Storm ArchivesHurricane Awareness - How to Prepare - About NHC - Contact Us
They say he appears to have weakened a little since the last advisory!
Quote from: lfmusiclover on August 18, 2007, 08:27:23 AMThey say he appears to have weakened a little since the last advisory! Actually, it's stabilized. The winds and pressure have stayed the same since the 2:00 AM ET advisory.
SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT DEAN COULD HAVE WEAKENED ALITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS..
000WTNT34 KNHC 181447TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 22NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0420071100 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007...DEAN'S FURY THREATENS HAITI...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMANISLANDS...HEAVY SQUALLS ALREADY APPROACHING HISPANIOLA... AT 11 AM...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED AHURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THATHURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHINTHE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTYSHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THEDOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE HAITI-DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER...AND FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROMTHE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OFTHE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO WESTWARD TO BARAHONA...ANDFOR COAST OF HAITI NORTH OF PORT-AU-PRINCE TO THE NORTHERNHAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANSTHAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREAWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.AT 11 AM...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HASISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A HURRICANE WATCHMEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCHAREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CUBA...FROM THEPROVINCE OF CAMAGUEY EASTWARD TO THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. ATROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.AT 11 AM...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE BRITISHVIRGIN ISLANDS...U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO HAS BEENDISCONTINUED.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDINGWESTERN CUBA...THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OFMEXICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST OR ABOUT 565 MILES...910 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ATRACK BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THENEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL BEMOVING SOUTH OF HISPANIOLA TODAY AND EARLY SUNDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITHHIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELYDURING THE LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24HOURS.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205MILES...335 KM.LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANEHUNTER PLANE WAS 929 MB...27.43 INCHES.STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVERJAMAICA...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES. AMOUNTS OF 2 TO3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI WITHAMOUNTS UP TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED STORMTOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...15.7 N...68.6 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB.AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500PM AST.$$FORECASTER AVILA
Quote from: lfmusiclover on August 18, 2007, 08:27:23 AMThey say he appears to have weakened a little since the last advisory! Yeah, but it's not much of difference.
It must have been enough of a difference if the NHC felt it was necessary to mention it....
Quote from: lfmusiclover on August 18, 2007, 11:29:50 AMIt must have been enough of a difference if the NHC felt it was necessary to mention it.... I meant the wind speeds and the pressure. It's still a strong Category 4, that didn't change.
