So has this thing hit the US?
Quote from: Thunder on August 17, 2007, 10:57:27 AMQuote from: G2003 on August 17, 2007, 10:00:41 AMSo has this thing hit the US?No. There's a 50/50 chance of Dean making US landfall I also saw on KSMI Website that Hurricane Gil could be one of the strongest storms in the Pacific Hurricane season. Did you hear that Gil?Not sure where you got your probability from, but there's a big dome of high pressure protecting much of the U.S. at present. It looks currently like Mexico and Central America have a better likelihood of having to face Dean.Has Gil even formed yet? How can you predict what a sotrm's gonna be like before it even forms?
Quote from: G2003 on August 17, 2007, 10:00:41 AMSo has this thing hit the US?No. There's a 50/50 chance of Dean making US landfall I also saw on KSMI Website that Hurricane Gil could be one of the strongest storms in the Pacific Hurricane season. Did you hear that Gil?
Has Gil even formed yet? How can you predict what a sotrm's gonna be like before it even forms?
I used to be pretty bad
000WTNT34 KNHC 171457TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 17NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0420071100 AM AST FRI AUG 17 2007...DEAN MOVING AWAY FROM LESSER ANTILLES AND STRENGTHENING...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE...DOMINICA...AND GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BEDISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGINISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS INEFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...SABA...ST.EUSTATIUS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...NEVIS...ST KITTS...BARBUDA...ST.MAARTEN...AND ANGUILLA AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA HASBEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLICHAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNINGALONG THE SOUTH COAST FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE HAITI/DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM CABO BEATATO THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANEWATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAITI FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLICBORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLEWITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.AT 11AM AST...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRENADA ANDITS DEPENDENCIES HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDINGJAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESSOF DEAN.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.6 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170 KM...WEST OF MARTINIQUE AND ABOUT 350 MILES...565 KM...SOUTHEASTOF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...AND THISMOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS TRACKWILL KEEP DEAN OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TODAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THENEXT 24 HOURS AND DEAN IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185MILES...295 KM.LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCEHURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM DEAN OVERPUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AREEXPECTED IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF10 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...14.6 N...62.6 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB.AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 200 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500PM AST.$$FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI
000WTNT34 KNHC 171751TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE DEAN SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 18NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007145 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007...DEAN STRENGTHENS TO A MAJOR HURRICANE WITH 125 MPH WINDS...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE...DOMINICA...AND GUADELOUPE AND ITS DEPENDENCIES. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BEDISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGINISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS INEFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...SABA...ST.EUSTATIUS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...NEVIS...ST KITTS...BARBUDA...ST.MAARTEN...AND ANGUILLA AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OFTHE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO ENGANO TO THE HAITI/DOMINICANREPUBLIC BORDER. A HURRICANE WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CABOBEATA TO THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FORHAITI FROM THE HAITI/DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER TO PORT-AU-PRINCE.A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLEWITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN...INCLUDINGJAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESSOF DEAN.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 145 PM AST...1745Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...WEST OF MARTINIQUE AND ABOUT 300 MILES...480 KM...SOUTHEASTOF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...AND THISMOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. ON THIS TRACK...DEAN WILL MOVEACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TODAY. SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANEINDICATE THAT DEAN HAS STRENGTHENED. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDSARE NOW 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A MAJORCATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185MILES...295 KM. BANDS OF HEAVY SQUALLS ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONSOF THE LESSER ANTILLES AND ARE APPROACHING PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. LATEST ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BY A RECONNAISSANCEAIRCRAFT WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM DEAN OVERPUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO5 INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AREEXPECTED IN THE LESSER ANTILLES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF10 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.REPEATING THE 145 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N...63.6 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT500 PM AST.$$FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI
