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Author Topic: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5  (Read 9194 times)

Offline Mr. Rainman

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"Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« on: April 01, 2011, 04:00:44 PM »
I know I've been told not to post threads for every single severe event that occurs in the U.S, but I feel that one coming up warrants its own thread. GFS models are indicating a very strong storm system to slam much of the Eastern United States starting Sunday through Tuesday. The Storm Prediction Center is citing a widespread severe threat for the area, with tornado-embedded thunderstorm lines, plus the additional threats of hail and winds.

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Offline TWCmatthew

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2011, 05:45:30 PM »
This is going to be a really interesting outbreak. It could impact my area on Monday, 4/4 with temps/dew points surging to near 70. Hail, strong winds, and tornadoes would be a concern. We ill monitor this very closely.
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Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #2 on: April 01, 2011, 06:03:16 PM »
i wish NJ and DE would be under a tornado watch
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Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #3 on: April 02, 2011, 11:26:11 AM »
I know I nowhere near a weather expert, and Patrick is probably gonna disagree with these pictures ( :bleh: ), but I have made a forecast of where I expect the severe weather to be and what to expect. Yes, it does seem apocalyptic, but I'm basing this off of data from the Weather Channel and insight from the NWS.

Take this with a grain of salt. This is merely an interpretation made by an amateur forecaster. If you want more reliable information on what to expect, confer with a local NWS office or TWC.


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phw115wvwx

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #4 on: April 02, 2011, 01:25:32 PM »
That forecast does seem pretty apocalyptic to me.  SPC only has slight risks out for those white areas on your map.  I do expect some severe weather, but I don't know if it'll be that widespread yet.
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Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #5 on: April 02, 2011, 01:27:51 PM »
*bows to Patrick

I had a feeling you would say that.  :bleh: Thanks for the insight.

EDIT: The Sunday map white area is actually where the SPC hashed a "significant threat," so I thought it deserved a different color.
« Last Edit: April 02, 2011, 01:30:35 PM by plane852 »
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Offline TWCmatthew

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #6 on: April 02, 2011, 01:29:37 PM »
I do have a feeling that the SPC will issue a Moderate Risk of severe storms for Monday about where you have the white shading. Good maps, in my opinion.
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Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #7 on: April 03, 2011, 07:19:33 PM »
Storm initiation has begun in Iowa and Kansas.
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Offline TWCmatthew

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #8 on: April 03, 2011, 08:02:29 PM »
Wow, golf ball sized hail already in Iowa. This is going to be a long night.
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Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #9 on: April 03, 2011, 11:31:35 PM »
Wow, looking at the Current Temperature map, it's clearly easy to see the warm/cold "clash" that will be causing the severe weather. :yes:
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Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #10 on: April 04, 2011, 05:17:46 PM »
Double-posting, but it's amazing that a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms turned into a 100% chance of severe storms with strong winds and even some hail. They rolled in around 4:30 this morning and lasted for about an hour.
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Offline TampaMillTWC88

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #11 on: April 04, 2011, 05:20:30 PM »
On Tuesday, that system will be moving through Florida, and in the Tampa Bay Area, there is an 80% chance of thunderstorms, and some of the storms could be severe.
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Offline TWCmatthew

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #12 on: April 04, 2011, 05:26:51 PM »
There was a severe thunderstorm watch in effect for Monroe, MI this morning, and a stronger storm moved through around 7AM EDT. But, the most convective activity developed/remained well south of my area this afternoon/tonight.
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Offline Lightning

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #13 on: April 04, 2011, 05:38:30 PM »
The thunderstorms will probably be in my area in 1 hour or less.  :)  :happy: :thumbsup: I just wish I could have the storms without the drastic drop in temperature. Don't like cold weather.  :thumbdown:
« Last Edit: April 04, 2011, 05:40:31 PM by TWCC_Lightning »
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Offline Mr. Rainman

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Re: "Widespread" Severe Threat 4/3 - 4/5
« Reply #14 on: April 04, 2011, 06:41:37 PM »
They sounded the sirens here at school just a few minutes ago...the so-called tornado is 15 miles to our Northeast and moving east. It's not coming anywhere NEAR us.
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