November 26, 2024, 04:12:41 PM

Author Topic: Round 1: Casper, WY  (Read 35852 times)

Offline Metarvo

  • Hero Member
  • *
  • Posts: 574
  • Gender: Male
  • Doesn't record TWC
    • View Profile
  • Cable Provider: Dish Network
  • HD Channel #: 214
  • WxStar Version: Satellite
Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
« Reply #60 on: May 16, 2013, 08:11:55 AM »
I just knew this would happen.  :rolleyes:

Casper, WY
Friday, May 17, 2013

High Temperature: 85 °F
Low Temperature: 46 °F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"

Offline toxictwister00

  • Ultimate Member
  • *
  • Posts: 6921
  • Gender: Male
  • Settle It In SMASH!
    • View Profile
  • Cable Provider: Xfinity
  • HD Channel #: 832
  • SD Channel #: 32
  • SD WxStar ID #: 22204
  • WxScan Ch. #: 212
  • WxStar Version: IntelliStar
Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
« Reply #61 on: May 16, 2013, 05:13:45 PM »
Casper, WY (KCPR)
Friday, May 17, 2013

High: 85°F
Low: 45°F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00


My Video Gaming YouTube Channel
NintenGamers Nation
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCAi4m_Snvp3b4Vn13_Ir3rA

Offline TWCmatthew

  • Avid TWC Fan 2000-2011
  • Ultimate Member
  • *
  • Posts: 1554
  • Gender: Male
  • Trained Weather Spotter for NWS Detroit/Pontiac
    • View Profile
    • My YouTube Page
  • Cable Provider: Charter
  • SD Channel #: 35
  • SD WxStar ID #: 23527
  • WxStar Version: IntelliStar
Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
« Reply #62 on: May 16, 2013, 06:41:45 PM »
Casper, WY - May 17, 2013

High: 86°F
Low: 45°F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount: 0.00"
« Last Edit: May 16, 2013, 11:11:53 PM by TWCmatthew »

Offline TWCCraig

  • SKYWARN Spotter
  • Ultimate Member
  • *
  • Posts: 1675
  • Gender: Male
    • View Profile
  • Cable Provider: Cablevision
  • HD Channel #: 62
  • HD WxStar ID #: 31372
  • WxStar Version: IntelliStar
Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
« Reply #63 on: May 16, 2013, 10:52:48 PM »
Friday, May 17, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 83°F
Low Temperature: 45°F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount of Precip: 0.00"
Youtube.com/Theweatherchannelman <- Uploaded the most Intellistar 2 videos!
My Weather Station

Long Island, August-September 2012 tornadoes, Hurricane Sandy, Blizzard of 2013, how many places on Earth do you know can get all 3 of those events within a 6 month period?

phw115wvwx

  • Guest
Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
« Reply #64 on: May 17, 2013, 06:25:49 AM »
Everyone has finished this round of forecasting.  Thanks for your participation!  I don't know why all of you continue to put a 0% chance of precipitation when showers have been around for the past couple days.  More rain arrived late in Day 9, but it only measured a trace.  However, 0.08" of rain has fallen in Day 10, which means everyone has already busted again for the final day. 

If I can make a suggestion for you four in future rounds, you shouldn't put 0% chance POPs when there's any remote chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm, especially in the mountains where orographic lifting can easily trigger them.  It's much better to put low non-zero POPs as that strategy will always score better over the long run than just 0% all the time, and it's also far more realistic as a forecast.  Were you all really 100% confident that it would not rain?  I would have had 20-30% POPs these last few days if playing this round, which would have made a huge difference.  I'm sorry if it sounds like I'm upset, but I'm really trying to help you see how to forecast and score better.  Here are the Day 9 results:

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 9 Verification

High:  78°F
Low:  47°F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00" (Trace)

phw115wvwx

  • Guest
Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
« Reply #65 on: May 18, 2013, 03:52:30 AM »
The last day featured an odd sight as the low actually occurred right before midnight to end the verification period.  I already discussed the precipitation issue in the previous post, so there is no need for me to repeat it.  Here are the Day 10 results and the final leaderboard for Round 1:

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 10 Verification

High:  81°F
Low:  45°F
POP:  100%
Precipitation:  0.08"


Congratulations to Craig as he is the winner of the Casper, WY round!  He will be picking the next city, and I will put up a new topic when we are ready to start Round 2 of this contest.  Craig, please PM me with your choice that is not in the Mountain Time Zone as I started this contest there, and you are welcome to ask me for any help.