December 11, 2017, 06:35:31 AM

Author Topic: Blizzard for New England 2013  (Read 5881 times)

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #30 on: February 07, 2013, 11:50:38 PM »
I wouldn't recommend using the GFS or any other long range model as your main guidance at this point since you're within less than 24 hours of the event effecting your area. I would focus a little more on the short range models like the NAM, RPM, SERF, RAP, etc. since they tend to pick up on some of the mesoscale features that the GFS, ECMWF, CMC, etc might not see.

Offline WeatherWitness

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #31 on: February 08, 2013, 12:32:18 AM »
Do u know how many inches of snow central NJ will get?

According to the NWS, 6-10 inches.

Blizzard Warnings were extended to include the NYC metro area.
Not bad. I would expect to see 6 inches at the least.

And why did they choose the name Nemo? Are they serious of all names to use they decide to name a blizzard after a fish?

Well according to weather.com's name list, Nemo is "a Greek boy's name meaning 'from the valley,' means 'nobody' in Latin."  But yeah, honestly, when i hear about Nemo, I'm going to think about a clownfish who got taken by divers and had an adventure.

Most of TWC's names for these winter storms are okay because they're names of gods and goddesses, etc.  The only weird one is "Q": the Broadway Express subway line in NYC.  Really?!?

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #32 on: February 08, 2013, 12:49:15 AM »
I wouldn't recommend using the GFS or any other long range model as your main guidance at this point since you're within less than 24 hours of the event effecting your area. I would focus a little more on the short range models like the NAM, RPM, SERF, RAP, etc. since they tend to pick up on some of the mesoscale features that the GFS, ECMWF, CMC, etc might not see.
Right, NAM is what i'm looking into now.

Offline TWCCraig

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #33 on: February 08, 2013, 08:50:40 AM »
The radar just looks amazing. If you look at loops, you can clearly see the rotation around the center of the low, even forming a small eye at the center.
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Long Island, August-September 2012 tornadoes, Hurricane Sandy, Blizzard of 2013, how many places on Earth do you know can get all 3 of those events within a 6 month period?

Offline Metarvo

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #34 on: February 08, 2013, 10:05:44 AM »
The only weird one is "Q"


For fans of Star Trek TNG, though, this may well be the scariest one.  It's only three storms away, too, if we get that many more.
« Last Edit: February 08, 2013, 10:07:49 AM by Metarvo »

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #35 on: February 08, 2013, 10:11:26 AM »
I feel fairly confident about this, so this is my final map.

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #36 on: February 08, 2013, 12:57:36 PM »
Its already slippery outside with about 1-2" already on the ground, i experienced it walking my dog just now.

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #37 on: February 08, 2013, 04:50:48 PM »
The snow is coming down HARD! Here's an LF I recorded earlier. Does anyone know what happened to the icons? It's been like this during Sandy coverage as well.
The Weather Channel Winter Storm Nemo Coverage + Piscataway, NJ Local on the 8s 2/8/13 3:28 PM
« Last Edit: February 08, 2013, 05:22:26 PM by Localonthe8s »

Offline gt1racerlHDl

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #38 on: February 08, 2013, 05:36:15 PM »
Meso discussion of 2-3" Snowfall Rates in SE Mass.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0124.html


Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #39 on: February 08, 2013, 10:07:54 PM »
There have been multiple reports of snowfall rates as high as 4-6 in/hr!  :o I didn't catch the name of the town (wasn't completely focused on my TV when he said the name), but Chris Warren mentioned this town saw a foot of snow in two hours! :thrilled: My jaw drops when we see 1 in/hr rates here, I can ONLY imagine what 6 inches/hr would be like to witness in person.

EDIT: I found out what town it was, this tweet was posted over at AmWx
Marc Weinberg ‏@MarcWeinbergWX
Storm spotters in Coventry, CT of 12 inches in 90 minutes. I have never heard of snowfall rates of 8" per hour!?? #blizzard #n
« Last Edit: February 08, 2013, 10:27:08 PM by toxictwister00 »

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #40 on: February 08, 2013, 10:08:41 PM »
OMG I JUST HEARD THUNDERSNOW!!

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #41 on: February 08, 2013, 10:25:18 PM »
OMG I JUST HEARD THUNDERSNOW!!


Welcome to the Jim Cantore Fan Club! :lol:

Offline Metarvo

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #42 on: February 08, 2013, 10:37:23 PM »
Jim Cantore just said he was "disappointed" to have not seen lightning so far in Boston.  I guess he's longing for more thundersnow.  :dance:

Offline toxictwister00

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #43 on: February 08, 2013, 10:45:34 PM »
He should have went to CT or Long Island. Plenty of thundersnow reported out there.

Speaking of disappointments, I'm disappointed to see NYC might not manage to see over 6 inches out of this. A lot of things went wrong there, the wasted 1/2 inch of QPF that went to being only rain, along with a late phase of the two energies (clipper & nor'easter) which caused a nice little break in the snow action. I heard Central Park has only accumulated 2.5 inches. :wall: Great, the one time I choose to be gutsy on a snow forecast and I'll probably end up having a dozen egg yolks streaming from my face. :P

Offline Lightning

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Re: Blizzard for New England 2013
« Reply #44 on: February 08, 2013, 11:54:19 PM »

A future tip when forecasting:

Never rely solely on models.
I totally agree.  :yes: Models are not perfect and weather is not an exact science.
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