TWC Today Forums
Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Hurricane Central => Topic started by: Mike M on July 11, 2010, 02:17:07 PM
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Low potential for development in E. Pacific:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 11 2010
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF GUATEMALA. ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POORLY ORGANIZED AT
THIS TIME...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES TO THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT AROUND
5 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN
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Remnants of a wave from the Atlantic actually
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Moderate potential
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT TUE JUL 13 2010
FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE..
1. AN ELONGATED TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OFF THE SOUTHERN COAST
OF MEXICO IS PRODUCING A LARGE BUT DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...THE SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE
MORE CONCENTRATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR
CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062010
800 PM PDT WED JUL 14 2010
...DEPRESSION CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH...NO THREAT TO LAND...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...15.2N 107.7W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED
STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
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Perhaps this will form into TS Bonnie very soon
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Perhaps this will form into TS Bonnie very soon
It won't, because it's in the Eastern Pacific, not the Atlantic. :thumbsup:
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Perhaps this will form into TS Bonnie very soon
It won't, because it's in the Eastern Pacific, not the Atlantic. :thumbsup:
Dyslexia I tell ya :P
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Statement as of 2:00 PM PDT on July 15, 2010
...Tropical depression moving erratically away from land...
summary of 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...information
----------------------------------------------
location...15.9n 108.2w
about 335 mi...540 km SW of Manzanillo Mexico
about 495 mi...800 km SSE of the southern tip of Baja California
maximum sustained winds...35 mph...55 km/hr
present movement...WNW or 295 degrees at 5 mph...7 km/hr
minimum central pressure...1006 mb...29.71 inches
watches and warnings
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there are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Discussion and 48-hour outlook
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at 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...the center of Tropical Depression Six-E
was relocated near latitude 15.9 north...longitude 108.2 west. The
depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph...7 km/hr.
This general motion is expected to continue for the next day or
so...followed by a gradual turn toward the west on Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph...55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible over the next couple
of days...and the depression could become a tropical storm at any
time.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb...29.71 inches.
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...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...