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Weather Discussion => General Weather Chat => Topic started by: toxictwister00 on October 20, 2010, 08:21:52 PM

Title: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on October 20, 2010, 08:21:52 PM
I'm interested in knowing when you guys think you'll see the first flakes fall where you live. For my area I'm guessing around the Thanksgiving Holidays or shortly right after. Thanksgiving Week is the earliest I have ever seen the first snowflakes fall here which was back in 2006 two days before my birthday, that's a rare treat. :happy:

Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on October 20, 2010, 08:23:32 PM
October 31, Halloween!
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Anistorm on October 20, 2010, 08:30:03 PM
Snowfall, pshnowfall.  :bleh: None for me.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: twcclassics on October 20, 2010, 09:44:55 PM
Hopefully not until after Thanksgiving weekend.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Donovan on October 20, 2010, 10:26:21 PM
If any here, probably Dec-Feb. Usually When its the coldest. Most likely will be just rain,sleet,or freezing rain. Never any snow :( Except last February there was!
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: phw115wvwx on October 20, 2010, 10:35:25 PM
I have actually seen the first snow of the season occur before Halloween, but I don't expect anything early this winter with La Niņa in place.  I'll guess around the middle of December and hope for a white Christmas.  It'll be interesting this winter as I'll be taking official snow measurements and making snowfall reports for the first time! B)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJ1snow on October 20, 2010, 11:09:23 PM
I was going to make a post like this lol :yes: but the earliest ive seen snow here in southeast texas was 12/4/09 when we had 0.4 inches so I wouldent be surpriesed to see any this year.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Charismatic Applesauce on October 20, 2010, 11:18:47 PM
I expect the first snow to occur late this month, before Halloween.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Al on October 21, 2010, 12:20:29 AM
never....it's hot as hell in texas, it's quite absurd. :club:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TampaMillTWC88 on October 21, 2010, 12:36:27 AM
I don't know if it ever will in the city of Tampa. I remember there was sleet in some of the outlying and nothern areas last year.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Zach on October 21, 2010, 01:24:35 AM
I don't know if it ever will in the city of Tampa. I remember there was sleet in some of the outlying and nothern areas last year.
And over here in extreme eastern Hillsborough county  :biggrin:

As for us...no. Weve been in a drought and its pretty much how 2008-2009 is going for us.. Below-normal autumn but winter was at par or above par.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Charismatic Applesauce on November 05, 2010, 12:20:07 PM
I expect the first snow to occur late this month, before Halloween.
Well, that turned out to be a fail. :foolish: There were rain/snow showers forecasted last night though. I think it was the first snow of the season.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on November 05, 2010, 01:52:42 PM
i would expect it to occur between now and march  :P
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: phw115wvwx on November 05, 2010, 06:09:04 PM
i would expect it to occur between now and march  :P
Way to be courageous, Alex.  Now, if your forecast busts, I'm going to forbid you from forecasting forever. :lol:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on November 05, 2010, 06:58:06 PM
I give my first flakes one hour!
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCToday on November 06, 2010, 02:07:22 AM
Probably January-February if we are lucky. The snowshield is strong in my area <_<
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on November 06, 2010, 08:29:04 AM
I give my first flakes one hour!
That was a fail...  <_<
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCToday on November 06, 2010, 02:05:14 PM
I give my first flakes one hour!
That was a fail...  <_<
Precip dry up or not cold enough?
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on November 06, 2010, 04:40:30 PM
Well although this isn't snow, my area did see sleet mixed with rain yesterday so it's the first wintry type weather we've seen so far, but I'm still waiting for that first snowflake to fall.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on November 06, 2010, 06:10:44 PM
I give my first flakes one hour!
That was a fail...  <_<
Precip dry up or not cold enough?
There was a lake effect snow shower just to my north. It disappated as it drifted southward towards me.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCC_DJK5555 on November 06, 2010, 09:20:47 PM
About an inch or two fell yesterday 5 miles to my east.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCToday on November 06, 2010, 10:45:12 PM
I give my first flakes one hour!
That was a fail...  <_<
Precip dry up or not cold enough?
There was a lake effect snow shower just to my north. It disappated as it drifted southward towards me.
Aww too bad :(
About an inch or two fell yesterday 5 miles to my east.
Nice!
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on November 07, 2010, 09:07:07 AM
November 19. It looks like a system with a colder air mass may reach the Great Lakes between November 18-21.

(On statistical average, the first flakes fall in Monroe, MI on November 11.)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on November 08, 2010, 02:41:28 AM
just happened this morning Snow: 1" in courtesy weather.com (02721)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on November 08, 2010, 11:53:32 AM
just happened this morning Snow: 1" in courtesy weather.com (02721)
I thought that was the light snow/snow shower icon, and the one with 3 coming out of the cloud and 2 below them was the "snow" icon... Maybe I'm just thinking of the XL icons set...

BTW, I still say November 19, because one of my local mets said: "An accumulating snow could be possible a few days before Thanksgiving. I'll talk about it more when the time gets closer."

I checked accuweather and snow is in the forecast from Nov 19-Nov 21.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on November 08, 2010, 12:48:26 PM
just happened this morning Snow: 1" in courtesy weather.com (02721)

I thought that was the light snow/snow shower icon, and the one with 3 coming out of the cloud and 2 below them was the "snow" icon... Maybe I'm just thinking of the XL icons set...

BTW, I still say November 19, because one of my local mets said: "An accumulating snow could be possible a few days before Thanksgiving. I'll talk about it more when the time gets closer."

I checked accuweather and snow is in the forecast from Nov 19-Nov 21.


TWC reduced the icon to 2 by 1 flakes

video here (Fall River's conditions) and light snow for providence/new bedford

Fall River, MA Reports Moderate Snowfall (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Mz9NN07v0#)

i missed the Rain/Sleet icon over Albany around 8am but i'll catch it when it appears soon.

the other video of hartford's conditions shows the Snow/Wind icon

Hartford, CT Reports Heavy Snowfall with Windy Conditions (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oRhnbqqZTrM#)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCToday on November 09, 2010, 03:32:43 PM
Very nice! Were there any accumulations?
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on November 09, 2010, 11:49:19 PM
Very nice! Were there any accumulations?

0.2" - New Bedford

1" - Fall River

and some areas reached 2-4" from NY State to Northern Rhode Island.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJ1snow on November 10, 2010, 05:38:17 PM
I cant wait til it snows where I live :dance:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TampaMillTWC88 on November 10, 2010, 05:54:25 PM
Hopefully by the end of this year, even if it is the form of sleet.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCC_DJK5555 on December 03, 2010, 09:13:35 PM
It's going to happen in Chicagoland tonight!
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on December 03, 2010, 09:40:22 PM
First flakes: November 25
First half inch: December 1.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: phw115wvwx on December 04, 2010, 04:29:31 AM
I measured the first trace of snow back on December 1, but I'm still waiting for the first inch to truly call it the "first snow" of the season.  It may come later today from a little Alberta clipper if the snow will stick on the ground.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCToday on December 04, 2010, 04:33:44 AM
Probably January-February if we are lucky. The snowshield is strong in my area <_<
Tomorrow night  :blink:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJ1snow on December 04, 2010, 09:26:11 AM
Probably January-February if we are lucky. The snowshield is strong in my area <_<

Tomorrow night  :blink:


Thats awsome, at least your snow forecast is true :happy: unlike ours <_<, the weather forecast two days ago said that there was a chance of snow in our area next Tuesday. http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/1001/snowpossibleon120710.jpg (http://img337.imageshack.us/img337/1001/snowpossibleon120710.jpg)  But it kinda dwindled away off the cast. :cry:  I wasnt surprised though,and our NWS area forecast discussion its still possibe to see some wintry precip in our area Tuesday night, so im still hoping for it to snow then, and on christmas. :happy:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Mike M on December 05, 2010, 03:34:17 PM
It snowed briefly on Thanksgiving morning here but it melted once it hit the ground due to high ground temperatures and earlier rainfall. Other than a few flurries I don't expect any measurable snow for the next few weeks as we're in a pretty dry spell right now. The clipper that's in the forecast will miss us by the south.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: phw115wvwx on December 05, 2010, 03:36:01 PM
If anyone guessed December 4 would be the answer for my first snowfall, then you beat my prediction of mid-December!  2.7" of snow fell from that clipper, and everything is white here.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on December 05, 2010, 05:17:12 PM
A very interesting setup possible next weekend with a system coming through the Great Lakes. GFS says a weak disturbance, while the ECMWF predicts a major winter storm....  :thinking:

Come on...Come on...Please be right ECMWF!...
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on December 05, 2010, 06:14:14 PM
Well I busted on my thoughts of around Thanksgiving week, but we did see a rain/sleet mix right before then. There was some flurry action just to my north today, but we missed out.   :(
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJ1snow on December 07, 2010, 08:43:13 PM
I wish it was tonight :unsure:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on December 08, 2010, 06:35:56 PM
First foot- December 12???  :thinking:  :thinking:  :thinking:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Localonthe8s on December 08, 2010, 08:17:47 PM
I say 12/28
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on December 08, 2010, 09:50:27 PM
(Sighs) For the second time this week, I missed out on my first snowfall because it was too doggone dry!  :( Well at least some areas in the South managed to see snow today like Macon, Warner Robbins, and Montgomery so that's good.   :)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Donovan on December 08, 2010, 11:24:44 PM
It could snow here tonight, :dunno: if the air wasn't so dry :thumbdown: it could get to the ground. *sighs*
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Zach on December 09, 2010, 05:23:47 AM
Its not the case here for being dry, but its too warm  :(

If only it was 10-15 degrees colder...

(http://zach.dyndns-ip.com:53205/temp/142L.jpg)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TampaMillTWC88 on December 09, 2010, 11:49:53 AM
Yeah, I saw that it was raining very early this morning, and I was wondering if there could be flurries or sleet, but that wasn't the case.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on December 12, 2010, 12:26:02 PM
I'm finally seeing my first snowfall today YAY! :dance: :dance: :D
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on December 12, 2010, 02:43:20 PM
Already 3 inches on the ground. Another 2-4 expected tonight.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJ1snow on January 31, 2011, 07:51:24 PM
I might see mine Friday!!!!!!  :happy:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on September 16, 2011, 01:26:36 PM
BUMP

For this year I think my area will probably see our first snowflakes around Late November (20th - 30th).
I think our first measurable snowfall will be sometime in mid December.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Max on September 16, 2011, 02:01:20 PM
I'm betting we could see our first measurable snowfall in the next few weeks or so. Will it stick around? Not sure.

P.S. for those of you who don't know, I'm in Bozeman, Montana for the next year, not Buffalo (attending college at Montana State University).
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Mr. Rainman on September 16, 2011, 02:19:45 PM
Not completely sure here in Grand Forks, but probably the same time as Montana. :P I'm thinking near the end of the first week of October. I'll be cocky and put a date on it: Friday, October 6th.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on September 16, 2011, 05:01:23 PM
I won't be surprised if it cold enough MA will see their 1st snowfall in early November (Mount Washington, NH doesn't count :P )
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCmatthew on September 16, 2011, 05:33:38 PM
2nd week of November.

The first flakes? Last week of October I'll say.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Localonthe8s on September 17, 2011, 12:05:44 AM
The last week of Dec
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: twcfan68 on September 17, 2011, 12:32:34 AM
February before I see a flake of any kind. I usually will see a flurry or two at least every winter, but rarely anything measurable.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Zach on September 17, 2011, 09:34:30 AM
When hell freezes over :P
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: WeatherWitness on September 17, 2011, 12:14:15 PM
When hell freezes over :P

Aw, come on Zach...where's your winter spirit? :P

I am not quite familiar with the "timing" of Norman's wintry precip, so I'll predict that sometime around mid-December will be our first snowfall.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCCraig on September 23, 2011, 05:13:57 PM
Probably by mid November if not, by early December. Last year, we had one of our earliest snowfalls ever. It was Nov. 8th. Not surprising, I know  :rolleyes:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJ1snow on September 24, 2011, 10:49:38 AM
When hell freezes over :P

Aww i believe many of us in the deep south will see snow this year and will accumulate  :lol: , unlike last winter when I had snow showers that didnt stick  :cry3: maybe around late december mid/late january and or early to mid February we may see snow in my area of Texas. we have been getting snow every year since 2008 and I have no doubt we wont see any this year, im sure of it  :)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Zach on September 24, 2011, 11:00:33 AM
When hell freezes over :P

Aw, come on Zach...where's your winter spirit? :P

I am not quite familiar with the "timing" of Norman's wintry precip, so I'll predict that sometime around mid-December will be our first snowfall.
Hmm, did someone forget where I lived? :thinking: :P
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on September 24, 2011, 11:09:03 AM
When hell freezes over :P


Aww i believe many of us in the deep south will see snow this year and will accumulate  :lol: , unlike last winter when I had snow showers that didnt stick  :cry3: maybe around late december mid/late january and or early to mid February we may see snow in my area of Texas. we have been getting snow every year since 2008 and I have no doubt we wont see any this year, im sure of it  :)


UGH, I hate winters like that where we only see a few snow showers/flurries and that's it although we haven't had a winter like that in years. What I hate even more is winters where we see more ice than snow. The icicles are pretty to look at, but it's nothing but an inconvenience.  :thumbdown: The last time we have a crippling icestorm was in January 29, 2005 and surprisingly we have had mostly nothing but snow the following winters since. Another surprise was how great last winter was snowfall wise, last winter was the first time I saw double digit snowfall, we picked up 10 inches total.

EDIT: Also I know we Southerners get made fun of for thinking 40's and 50's are cold, but do we get any merit for these temps? :P

Local Forecast December 1989 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wSH2liu00eE#)
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJusnow on September 25, 2011, 12:08:48 AM
@ weather lover: IKR i feel ya, our record snowfall ever was a mindboggling 30 inches from 1 storm way back in valentines day 1895 the most to ever fall anywhere on the gulf coast, althogh I personaly believe we will see at least 1 accumulating snowfall this winter, we may never see anything like that ever again lol.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TJusnow on September 25, 2011, 12:13:13 AM
40s and 50s dont scare me bring on the 10s and 20s lol weve had a whole week of teens and twentys for 2 winters in a row.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCCraig on September 25, 2011, 02:31:20 PM
40s and 50s dont scare me bring on the 10s and 20s lol weve had a whole week of teens and twentys for 2 winters in a row.
Just get outa here. Texas doesn't get that cold. Maybe northern Texas does, but since you said you were in Ike, you live near the coast. Give me your location so I can look up the weather data.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Donovan on September 25, 2011, 09:55:49 PM
Seeing that the Greenland Block setup is likely again this year, I'd give it Late December and into January... We had several snow events this past year with the same setup, sticking and accumulating several times.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on September 24, 2013, 11:51:48 PM
BUMP

I was torn about starting a new thread or not since this one is old.... :unsure: :dunno:

First Flakes: December 28th, 2013
First Measurable Snowfall (T-1): January 4th, 2014
First Major Snowstorm or Icestorm
(For my area that would be 2 in. or greater for snow and 1/2 or greater in ice): January 20th, 2014

For a Bonus
First Frost/Freeze: October 30th, 2013
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Max on September 25, 2013, 01:48:03 AM
First snow (in the mountains): last week
First snow (on the valley floor): tomorrow, and if not tomorrow, Thursday.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCC_DJK5555 on September 25, 2013, 09:27:38 PM
I'll predict at least a dusting on November 11th.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: TWCC_DJK5555 on November 11, 2013, 08:00:57 PM
I'll predict at least a dusting on November 11th.

Dude, I NAILED IT   :thrilled:

We currently have a dusting, and may get an inch before all's said and done.  Areas just east of me may get 3-6 inches of lake effect.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on January 03, 2015, 01:16:40 PM
For the 2014-15 Winter I'm thinking around January 30th.
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Eric on January 03, 2015, 04:27:06 PM
Hopefully never.  I didn't move to Florida to shovel snow. :bleh:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: toxictwister00 on February 02, 2015, 12:47:15 PM
For the 2014-15 Winter I'm thinking around January 30th.

FAIL. :velho:
Title: Re: When Do You Expect the First Snowfall to Happen In Your Area?
Post by: Vanmax22 on May 21, 2015, 10:23:45 PM
For the 2015-16 winter weather year, I say about November 14