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Weather Discussion => Hazardous Weather => Severe Weather => Topic started by: Lightning on February 15, 2011, 06:23:40 PM

Title: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on February 15, 2011, 06:23:40 PM
As all of you well know, the 2011 spring severe weather season is right around the corner and I have a feeling that for most, it could be an active one, not just for the plains "tornado alley" but for "dixie alley" and other tornado-prone portions of the country, as well. I checked out the climate predictions center's site and there are indications that La Nina is beginning to weaken and when La Nina is in a weakening phase during the spring, it tends to be active. At least that's what my experience has been. This happened during the La Nina's of 1989, 2000 and 2008.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on February 15, 2011, 08:51:34 PM
I certainly hope that SC can have much more severe weather this spring/summer. I can count on one hand how many times we had severe wx last year. As long as its just wind/hail/hvy rain/ and lightning, none of that tornado stuff, will do me some good.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on February 15, 2011, 10:37:22 PM
Wow, isn't funny that the two deadliest tornado outbreaks in recent history occurred within a year or less of a weakening La Nina pattern? There was the May 3, 1999 outbreak, and then, of course, the Super Tuesday Outbreak, on February 5-6 of 2008. It makes you wonder who will get slammed over the next couple months and how hard.

If there's an imminent outbreak, I'll definitely try to get the SPC outlooks and what not posted. In fact, in correlation with this tab (with permission from TWCC_Lightning), I'd like to start a sister thread that just contains convective outlook and warning maps, self-updating.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on February 26, 2011, 06:06:59 PM
Another outbreak is supposed to occur Sunday into Monday.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on February 26, 2011, 06:21:30 PM
Will the outbreak tomorrow and Monday be worse than thursdays/fridays?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on February 26, 2011, 07:58:10 PM
These current major severe weather outbreaks are certainly a warning for later in March through June.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on February 26, 2011, 08:43:08 PM
To answer Donovan, the outbreak is supposed to occur in the same area, but cover a wider swath of land. The earlier outbreak hit East Arkansas and West Tennessee. This outbreak should impact the same area, except farther into the Tennessee and even affecting parts of Missouri.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on February 27, 2011, 06:27:39 AM
Will the outbreak tomorrow and Monday be worse than thursdays/fridays?

It's certainly going to be worse here if TWC is right, they're using the term Strong Thunderstorms in their forecast here. That's an upgrade from Thunderstorms/Wind the past couple of days, looks like it's a damaging wind event for us going by them. Our NWS office has been up in the clouds daydreaming as usual. :rolleyes: Now I see this morning they're saying a 80% chance of Severe T' Storms that's a far cry from the showers I saw yesterday.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on February 27, 2011, 01:20:31 PM
A moderate risk is out from SPC for today and tomorrow across a good portion of the TN and OH river valleys.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on February 27, 2011, 04:33:13 PM
weather.com says T-storms early Monday night. I hope they get here before everyone is sleeping.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on February 27, 2011, 11:10:04 PM



It's certainly going to be worse here if TWC is right, they're using the term Strong Thunderstorms in their forecast here. That's an upgrade from Thunderstorms/Wind the past couple of days, looks like it's a damaging wind event for us going by them. Our NWS office has been up in the clouds daydreaming as usual. :rolleyes: Now I see this morning they're saying a 80% chance of Severe T' Storms that's a far cry from the showers I saw yesterday.
There are using the term Strong Thunderstorms for the forecast here, too. On the local on the 8s, it says "Variable clouds with Strong Thunderstorms".
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on February 28, 2011, 07:00:00 AM



It's certainly going to be worse here if TWC is right, they're using the term Strong Thunderstorms in their forecast here. That's an upgrade from Thunderstorms/Wind the past couple of days, looks like it's a damaging wind event for us going by them. Our NWS office has been up in the clouds daydreaming as usual. :rolleyes: Now I see this morning they're saying a 80% chance of Severe T' Storms that's a far cry from the showers I saw yesterday.
There are using the term Strong Thunderstorms for the forecast here, too. On the local on the 8s, it says "Variable clouds with Strong Thunderstorms".

Not only could we see severe weather today, but if we see some sunshine, we might tie or break a record high today! Just saw the record high screen on my IntelliStar, the forecast is 77°, the record is 78° it'll be very close.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on February 28, 2011, 03:08:21 PM


If there's an imminent outbreak, I'll definitely try to get the SPC outlooks and what not posted. In fact, in correlation with this tab (with permission from TWCC_Lightning), I'd like to start a sister thread that just contains convective outlook and warning maps, self-updating.
That is perfectly all right with me. I'm all for it.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on February 28, 2011, 03:40:27 PM
Severe weather is now moving into my area.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA... TUSCALOOSA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 315 PM CST

* AT 231 PM CST... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL... AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM WEST JEFFERSON TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRYANT DENNY STADIUM... AND MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HUEYTOWN... GARDENDALE... FULTONDALE... FAIRFIELD... BIRMINGHAM... BESSEMER... PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE AND HOMEWOOD.

THIS INCLUDES... INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 250 THROUGH 282... INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 1 THROUGH 33... US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 81 THROUGH 91... INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 62 THROUGH 140... INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY... IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE... SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER... CALL               1-800-856-0758       
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on February 28, 2011, 04:20:40 PM
Wow...just, wow.

Chattanooga got hit with a tornado warning during the middle of the school day. The weather station here on campus recorded a wind gust of 52.8 mph. Power outages and a building collapse were reported downtown. A tornado was supposedly reported in downtown Chattanooga, but there has been no confirmed report.

In other words....AWESOME!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCToday on March 01, 2011, 02:20:34 PM
It was a lame non event in the mid atlantic yesterday
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mike M on March 01, 2011, 03:16:02 PM
It was a lame non event in the mid atlantic yesterday
Yes, we got nothing but occasional rain showers. No thunder, hail, or downpours.  :thumbdown:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 01, 2011, 06:19:42 PM
It was a lame non event in the mid atlantic yesterday
Yes, we got nothing but occasional rain showers. No thunder, hail, or downpours.  :thumbdown:
That's how I feel when there's no lightning or thunder.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 01, 2011, 06:55:10 PM
It was a lame non event in the mid atlantic yesterday
Yes, we got nothing but occasional rain showers. No thunder, hail, or downpours.  :thumbdown:

There wasn't much of lightning and thunder here either, a few bright flashes and a few big rumbles, but in retrospect nothing I think should have warranted a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. I don't recall even seeing any hail either, but there was plenty of heavy rain and strong winds. I can't speak for how the conditions were for the Tornado Warning issued for the SW side of my county toward Hartsfield Int'l Airport.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 01, 2011, 08:50:32 PM
It was a lame non event in the mid atlantic yesterday
Yes, we got nothing but occasional rain showers. No thunder, hail, or downpours.  :thumbdown:

There wasn't much of lightning and thunder here either, a few bright flashes and a few big rumbles, but in retrospect nothing I think should have warranted a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. I don't recall even seeing any hail either, but there was plenty of heavy rain and strong winds. I can't speak for how the conditions were for the Tornado Warning issued for the SW side of my county toward Hartsfield Int'l Airport.
Strong winds are/is one of the criteria for  a severe T-storm warning. I believe >60MPH. Here we had a few strikes and rumbles, but heavy rain for about an hour. It was was less severe than I would have liked.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 01, 2011, 09:14:41 PM
It was a lame non event in the mid atlantic yesterday
Yes, we got nothing but occasional rain showers. No thunder, hail, or downpours.  :thumbdown:

There wasn't much of lightning and thunder here either, a few bright flashes and a few big rumbles, but in retrospect nothing I think should have warranted a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. I don't recall even seeing any hail either, but there was plenty of heavy rain and strong winds. I can't speak for how the conditions were for the Tornado Warning issued for the SW side of my county toward Hartsfield Int'l Airport.
Strong winds are/is one of the criteria for  a severe T-storm warning. I believe >60MPH. Here we had a few strikes and rumbles, but heavy rain for about an hour. It was was less severe than I would have liked.

I know, but I'm pretty sure it didn't get anywhere near that strong during the duration of the storm. I would say maybe 35-40mph. We were under a Significant Weather Alert, I think it should have been left at that instead of upgraded, but if it is radar detected to be severe they have a valid reason to issue it.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 03, 2011, 05:56:54 PM

Strong winds are/is one of the criteria for  a severe T-storm warning. I believe >60MPH. Here we had a few strikes and rumbles, but heavy rain for about an hour. It was was less severe than I would have liked.
Well, of there are strong winds of about 60 mph, but there is no lightning and thunder, then, technically it's not a thunderstorm. This sometimes happens when there is a low CAPE environment. You just call it severe showers, though, I don't think it's meteorologically correct.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 10, 2011, 09:46:45 PM
This week has been a deadly one for severe weather. An EF2 tornado claimed one life in Rayne, Louisiana and another EF2 tornado caused considerable damage outside of Mobile, Alabama.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 10, 2011, 10:02:56 PM
It has been pretty wild. 23 tornadoes reported over the last 48 hours.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 19, 2011, 09:59:43 PM
Severe Thunderstorm Watch #52 in effect until 11:00 PM CDT.
(http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0052_radar.gif)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 22, 2011, 10:26:24 AM
It looks like its gonna be a very busy day today and tomorrow for severe weather. There is a significant chance of a tornado in Nebraska or Iowa today. An even larger threat exists tomorrow in the East Central area.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 22, 2011, 09:25:46 PM
It makes me mad  :furious: that the  :censored: high pressure is over the southeast and costing me getting to experience these storms. I loathe this kind of weather pattern that we are in with the high pressure keeping the storm track and system well to the north of where I live.  :thumbdown: :furious: By golly, it better change!!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 22, 2011, 09:40:27 PM
Well, if it makes you happier, there is a chance tomorrow that you will see some thunderstorms. I don't think any will be severe, however.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 23, 2011, 10:17:48 PM
Active severe weather in the northern part of my state, Alabama right now with a tornado warning until 9:30 p.m. for Morgan, Limestone and Madison Counties.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: P71nnacle on March 23, 2011, 11:29:38 PM
NWS is likely to investigate a possible tornado here in Western PA today, near Greensburg, PA in Westmoreland County, about 50 miles from downtown Pittsburgh. The video that's been going around the Internet is this one: Tornado near Greensburg(Hempfield) PA on March 23rd 2011 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gbrk-i6uwt0#ws) . Pretty cool....can't wait until NWS figures out whether or not this was an actual tornado (although one tends to be biased from the funnel-shaped appendage, NWS still has to look at the damage to see if the patterns insist on a tornado rather than micro/macrobursts. Funnel clouds, despite their looks, are NOT tornadoes.)

To add to it, I had my camera ready as I was leaving for work, and snapped some video of decent sized-hail near my house. Video: Severe March Thunderstorm Dumps Hail In Pittsburgh (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-qHk356biLo#ws) Not really big, although the long axis of the stone was probably 3/4" to 1". We didn't get the biggest hail...Pittsburgh reported golf-ball size hail, which is typical of early spring storms.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 24, 2011, 12:00:28 AM
Well, the Storm Prediction Center is confirming a tornado in that location for you guys, exactly five miles SW of Greensburg, PA. 1.75 inch hail reported in the same area.

Random fact: Apparently, a tornado has been confirmed in California.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCToday on March 24, 2011, 03:46:21 PM
All our storms last night fell apart. I was hoping for a little action
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 24, 2011, 06:07:51 PM
2 Greensburgs in 2 different states have now been hit by a tornado.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on March 24, 2011, 06:09:04 PM
Such a unlucky place to live
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 26, 2011, 02:17:43 PM
The first tornado warnings of the day in the western portion of my state:

TORNADO WARNING
ALC063-065-105-261900-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0014.110326T1805Z-110326T1900Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
105 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
  SOUTHERN HALE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
  NORTHWESTERN PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT

* AT 104 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
  WAS LOCATED NEAR DUFFYS BEND...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  DEMOPOLIS...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GREENSBORO...MARION...GREENSBORO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...NEWBERN...
  CEDARVILLE...FOLSOM AND MORGAN SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3283 8735 3259 8730 3253 8782 3254 8781
      3255 8783 3272 8784
TIME...MOT...LOC 1805Z 258DEG 28KT 3264 8774

$$

JD/02
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 26, 2011, 02:19:46 PM
The first tornado warnings of the day in the western portion of my state:

TORNADO WARNING
ALC063-065-105-261900-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0014.110326T1805Z-110326T1900Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
105 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN GREENE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
  SOUTHERN HALE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...
  NORTHWESTERN PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT

* AT 104 PM CDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
  WAS LOCATED NEAR DUFFYS BEND...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
  DEMOPOLIS...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GREENSBORO...MARION...GREENSBORO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...NEWBERN...
  CEDARVILLE...FOLSOM AND MORGAN SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3283 8735 3259 8730 3253 8782 3254 8781
      3255 8783 3272 8784
TIME...MOT...LOC 1805Z 258DEG 28KT 3264 8774

$$

JD/02
It also possibly has 2" size hail with it.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 26, 2011, 05:32:06 PM
Were getting a lot of bright flashes of lightning and loud thunder at the moment, no warning out here.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 26, 2011, 06:19:48 PM
Were getting a lot of bright flashes of lightning and loud thunder at the moment, no warning out here.
That is exactly what I want BEFORE my bedtime tonight and NOT overnight. Lord, break the damn cap!  :angry: :furious:  :cry:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 26, 2011, 06:57:56 PM
Were getting a lot of bright flashes of lightning and loud thunder at the moment, no warning out here.
That is exactly what I want BEFORE my bedtime tonight and NOT overnight. Lord, break the damn cap!  :angry: :furious:  :cry:


It may not break until after sunset, this is what the NWS office is saying for your area in their forecast discussion.

Quote
EXCEPT SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE
DEVELOPING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY
DECREASE IN INSTABILITY WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING IS
EXPECTED TO BE OFFSET BY THE APPROACH OF THE SURFACE LOW AFTER
SUNSET. THE SURFACE LOW WILL RIDE ALONG THE STALLED BOUNDARY FROM
THIS MORNING...MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.
THIS WILL KEEP THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN
THE NORTH...INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.


http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BMX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 (http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BMX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 26, 2011, 07:21:23 PM
New Tornado Watch Possible

(http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/mcd0283.gif)

Quote
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0283
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0603 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MS AND NRN AL
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
   
   VALID 262303Z - 262330Z
   
  A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED DURING THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS MAINLY NRN
   AL.

   
   LATE AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSES SHOWED AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAD
   FORMED AND WAS TRACKING EWD INTO EXTREME NWRN AL ALONG A SURFACE
   BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDED E THEN SE AS A WARM FRONT INTO NRN TO ERN
   AL.  MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD FROM THE AL LOW WAS
   MOVING SLOWLY SWD THROUGH NERN-WEST CENTRAL MS.  OF PARTICULAR
   CONCERN FOR NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS THE RECENT DESTABILIZATION OF
   THE AIR MASS ACROSS NRN AL WHERE LATE DAY SURFACE HEATING/LOW LEVEL
   MOISTURE ADVECTION HAS OCCURRED AS SURFACE WINDS HAVE BECOME SSWLY
   WITH THE NWD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
   INDICATED THE WARM SECTOR IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE
   1000-2000 J/KG.

   
   THE COVERAGE/INTENSITY...PER REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY...OF ELEVATED
   TSTMS ONGOING FROM SRN MIDDLE TN TO FAR NRN MS SUGGESTS THE FORCING
   FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING INTO THE OH
   VALLEY/ENTRANCE REGION OF 70 KT WLY MIDLEVEL JET IS SUFFICIENTLY
   STRONG.  THUS...AS THIS FORCING PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE NRN EXTENT
   OF THE WARM SECTOR...CELLS ALREADY DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT
   IN NERN MS AND THE WARM FRONT OVER NORTH CENTRAL AL SHOULD BECOME
   MORE ROBUST.  EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND 50 KT AND ENHANCED LOW
   LEVEL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH 200-300 M2 PER S2/ WILL SUPPORT
   SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT TORNADO AND LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.
   

   ..PETERS.. 03/26/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...
   
   LAT...LON   33968561 33818652 33958808 34148829 34648804 34748724
               34648626 34578557 34048546 33968561
   


http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0283.html (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0283.html)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 26, 2011, 07:25:15 PM
Etowah County, Alabama is under its 2nd Tornado Warning today.

*Edit: Our stream has seen many counties today under multiple tornado warnings at different times. WOW!  :thrilled:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 26, 2011, 08:31:13 PM
4" and 4.25" hail reported in Coweta County, GA.  :blink:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 26, 2011, 09:04:30 PM
Tornado Watch #65 has been issued until 4am EDT NOTE: THIS IS AN EXTENSION OF THE TORNADO WATCH #62 THAT WAS TO EXPIRE AT 9PM EDT, BUT THE NEW ONE INCLUDES THE ATLANTA METRO AREA.

Quote
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 65
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   745 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
   
          NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
          WESTERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
   UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MACON GEORGIA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 62...WW 63...WW 64...
   
   DISCUSSION...CORRIDOR BETWEEN SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT AND AIR MASS WHICH
   HAD BECOME HOT AND DEEPER MIXED /GENERALLY FROM NRN AL INTO CNTRL
   GA/ HAS MAINTAINED A MOIST...MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN
   CONJUNCTION WITH RELATIVELY STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. AS
   SUCH...EXPECT ONGOING SUPERCELLS TO PROGRESS EWD/ESEWD THROUGH WW
   AREA WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
   WIND GUSTS.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
   
   
   ...MEAD


Source: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0065.html (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0065.html)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 26, 2011, 09:16:42 PM
Tornado Watch #65 has been issued until 4am EDT NOTE: THIS IS AN EXTENSION OF THE TORNADO WATCH #62 THAT WAS TO EXPIRE AT 9PM EDT, BUT THE NEW ONE INCLUDES THE ATLANTA METRO AREA.

Quote
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 65
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   745 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
   
          NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
          WESTERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
   UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
   
   TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
   GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
   AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
   MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF
   TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MACON GEORGIA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 62...WW 63...WW 64...
   
   DISCUSSION...CORRIDOR BETWEEN SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT AND AIR MASS WHICH
   HAD BECOME HOT AND DEEPER MIXED /GENERALLY FROM NRN AL INTO CNTRL
   GA/ HAS MAINTAINED A MOIST...MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN
   CONJUNCTION WITH RELATIVELY STRONG LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. AS
   SUCH...EXPECT ONGOING SUPERCELLS TO PROGRESS EWD/ESEWD THROUGH WW
   AREA WITH A CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
   WIND GUSTS.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
   
   
   ...MEAD


Source: [url]http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0065.html[/url] ([url]http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0065.html[/url])

Good Luck with that tonight.  :wacko:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 26, 2011, 09:27:27 PM
Things are heating up in my area!!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
805 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
  EASTERN WALKER COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 802 PM CDT...NUMEROUS SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD   NEAR
  JASPER...WITH NUMEROUS REPORTS OF EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL. A TORNADO
  MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME! DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS DANGEROUS STORM
  MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CORDOVA...DORA...SUMITON...FAIRFIELD...GARDENDALE...FULTONDALE...
  BIRMINGHAM...HOMEWOOD...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE AND VESTAVIA HILLS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 250 THROUGH 282...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 13 THROUGH 33...
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 65 THROUGH 91...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 115 THROUGH 140...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL               1-800-856-0758         1-800-856-0758.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 26, 2011, 09:28:36 PM
Go RIGHT now to http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player-full.pl?username=john.brown&uid=265 (http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player-full.pl?username=john.brown&uid=265)
Possible Tornado Forming NW of Birmingham AL! Cell is going towards the Metro Area!

*Edit, What sucks is their stream went down right when it was getting good.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 26, 2011, 09:33:39 PM
Things are heating up in my area!!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
805 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
  EASTERN WALKER COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 802 PM CDT...NUMEROUS SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD   NEAR
  JASPER...WITH NUMEROUS REPORTS OF EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL. A TORNADO
  MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME! DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS DANGEROUS STORM
  MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CORDOVA...DORA...SUMITON...FAIRFIELD...GARDENDALE...FULTONDALE...
  BIRMINGHAM...HOMEWOOD...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE AND VESTAVIA HILLS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 250 THROUGH 282...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 13 THROUGH 33...
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 65 THROUGH 91...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 115 THROUGH 140...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL               1-800-856-0758         1-800-856-0758.

Stay safe! It's gonna be a long night for a lot of us that are under these watches.  :yawn:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 26, 2011, 09:34:44 PM
Heavy damage reported in Jasper, Alabama.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 26, 2011, 09:36:09 PM
Heavy damage reported in Jasper, Alabama.
Same Cell heading towards Birmingham.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 26, 2011, 09:38:54 PM
Things are heating up in my area!!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
805 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  JEFFERSON COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...
  EASTERN WALKER COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT

* AT 802 PM CDT...NUMEROUS SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD   NEAR
  JASPER...WITH NUMEROUS REPORTS OF EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL. A TORNADO
  MAY DEVELOP AT ANY TIME! DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS DANGEROUS STORM
  MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CORDOVA...DORA...SUMITON...FAIRFIELD...GARDENDALE...FULTONDALE...
  BIRMINGHAM...HOMEWOOD...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE AND VESTAVIA HILLS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 250 THROUGH 282...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 13 THROUGH 33...
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 65 THROUGH 91...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 115 THROUGH 140...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL               1-800-856-0758         1-800-856-0758.

Stay safe! It's gonna be a long night for a lot of us that are under these watches.  :yawn:
I am barely out of that warning polygon. Scary.  :fear:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 26, 2011, 09:43:14 PM
You want scary? Read this.


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
841 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

ALC073-127-270200-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110327T0200Z/
JEFFERSON AL-WALKER AL-
841 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME EAST CENTRAL
WALKER AND NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 834 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE TORNADO! 
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SUMITON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.


LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GARDENDALE...FULTONDALE...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE...TRUSSVILLE...
  IRONDALE...LEEDS...CARDIFF...BROOKSIDE...KIMBERLY AND MORRIS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 266 THROUGH 281...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 23 THROUGH 33...
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 85 THROUGH 91...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 128 THROUGH 140...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on March 26, 2011, 09:49:34 PM
You guys sure are busy tonight.  Hope everyone is safe!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 26, 2011, 09:52:03 PM
Update on the tornado warning.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
850 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

ALC073-270200-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110327T0200Z/
JEFFERSON AL-
850 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EAST CENTRAL JEFFERSON
COUNTY UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 848 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF CARDIFF...OR 6 MILES
NORTHWEST OF GARDENDALE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GARDENDALE...FULTONDALE...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE...TRUSSVILLE...
  LEEDS...KIMBERLY...MORRIS...PINSON...CENTER POINT AND CLAY.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 271 THROUGH 275...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 31 THROUGH 33...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBER 140...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 134 THROUGH 143...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. AS A LAST
RESORT... EITHER PARK YOUR VEHICLE AND STAY PUT...OR ABANDON YOUR
VEHICLE AND LIE DOWN IN A LOW LYING AREA.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL               1-800-856-0758         1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3376 8672 3373 8654 3367 8653 3362 8655
      3356 8655 3355 8652 3353 8652 3353 8655
      3352 8657 3369 8699 3377 8696
TIME...MOT...LOC 0150Z 286DEG 31KT 3371 8686

$$

17/KLAWS



Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 26, 2011, 10:16:25 PM
You want scary? Read this.


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
841 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

ALC073-127-270200-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110327T0200Z/
JEFFERSON AL-WALKER AL-
841 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME EAST CENTRAL
WALKER AND NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 834 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE TORNADO! 
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SUMITON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.


LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GARDENDALE...FULTONDALE...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE...TRUSSVILLE...
  IRONDALE...LEEDS...CARDIFF...BROOKSIDE...KIMBERLY AND MORRIS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 266 THROUGH 281...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 23 THROUGH 33...
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 85 THROUGH 91...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 128 THROUGH 140...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.
That is very frightening! :fear: :fear:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 26, 2011, 10:29:30 PM
Good news. The storm of concern has weaken substantially. There are currently no more warnings of any kind attached to it.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on March 26, 2011, 10:35:59 PM
Good news. The storm of concern has weaken substantially. There are currently no more warnings of any kind attached to it.
That is good, though, it was kinda both exciting and scary at the same time.  :thrilled: :fear: There are other storms, though, that will bare watching throughout the night.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on March 27, 2011, 08:29:07 AM
You want scary? Read this.


SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
841 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

ALC073-127-270200-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0028.000000T0000Z-110327T0200Z/
JEFFERSON AL-WALKER AL-
841 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME EAST CENTRAL
WALKER AND NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 834 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A LARGE TORNADO! 
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR SUMITON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.


LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  GARDENDALE...FULTONDALE...PINSON-CLAY-CHALKVILLE...TRUSSVILLE...
  IRONDALE...LEEDS...CARDIFF...BROOKSIDE...KIMBERLY AND MORRIS.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 266 THROUGH 281...
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 23 THROUGH 33...
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 85 THROUGH 91...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 128 THROUGH 140...
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.

It turns out this report of a large tornado was false. They got that information from a secondary source off of twitter instead of contacting the storm chaser who was observing the storm which is odd to me.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on March 27, 2011, 11:35:18 AM
Tuscaloosa wasn't impacted by any tornado, right? I have friend down there..
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 27, 2011, 11:49:45 AM
Tuscaloosca was in the clear, they weren't impacted by a tornado. As for the report, it was frustrating that the tornado wasn't large, but there is a still shot from that streaming video we were talking about. There WAS a funnel cloud in that area.

Here's the pic:
http://yfrog.com/h4i6rlqj (http://yfrog.com/h4i6rlqj)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 27, 2011, 02:51:01 PM
Several of the Severe T-storm warned cells in SE Georgia and S. South Carolina appear to be hook echoing every now and then with detected rotation. Already had one tornado warning since I've been live @ 2:00pm EDT for Pierce County, GA. I'm now under a severe thunderstorm watch here in Moncks Corner, and early this morning we had a severe thunderstorm that was producing heavy rain and a whole lot of lightning.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on March 27, 2011, 02:55:23 PM
Several of the Severe T-storm warned cells in SE Georgia and S. South Carolina appear to be hook echoing every now and then with detected rotation. Already had one tornado warning since I've been live @ 2:00pm EDT for Pierce County, GA. I'm now under a severe thunderstorm watch here in Moncks Corner, and early this morning we had a severe thunderstorm that was producing heavy rain and a whole lot of lightning.
EDIT: Now seeing some TVS on the aforementioned cells. Most of the cells in the low country of SC
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on March 29, 2011, 10:46:28 PM
You guys are never gonna believe this. The Storm Prediction Center storm report shows a wind gust at Belle Chasse, Plaquemines Parish, Louisiana. The recorded speed at the local government office?

100 mph.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 08, 2011, 07:40:14 AM
It looks like another storm may earn its own thread, but for now, I'll hold off. A very rare Day 3 Moderate risk has been issued by the Storm Prediction Center for Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, and Wisconsin. As I understand it, Day 3 Moderate Risks are very rare, occurring less than ten times in the history of the SPC.

Just so you know, for Day 3, Moderate is the highest risk you can have.
 
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: ilovestorms1 on April 10, 2011, 04:47:14 PM
Get your weather radios on guys, this is a really bad potential.

   SEL0
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 120
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   320 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
   
          PARTS OF NORTHEAST IOWA
          PARTS OF WESTERN NORTHERN MICHIGAN
          SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
          MUCH OF WISCONSIN
          LAKE SUPERIOR
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
   
   DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
   THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
   POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   IRONWOOD MICHIGAN TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF CAMP DOUGLAS WISCONSIN.
   FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
   OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   DISCUSSION...RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
   IMMINENT ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM WI/MN BORDER INTO NERN IA.  AIR
   MASS HAS DESTABILIZED AHEAD OF FRONT WITH MLCAPES TO 2000
   J/KG...COUPLED WITH A VERY INTENSE WIND FIELD WILL LEAD TO POTENTIAL
   OF BOTH VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOS  WITH ANY SUPERCELL.  THERE IS
   THE THREAT OF LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS ALONG WITH STRONG/DAMAGING
   TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
   
   
   ...HALES
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 10, 2011, 06:09:07 PM
I am glad I am not up in Wisconsin, but I hope the people who live there are well prepared and will be all right. I am fascinated by these storms, but when there is a PDS Tornado Watch, that makes me afraid.  :fear: I hope the tornadoes that do occur will be in remote areas and not densely populated areas. I have relatives in northern Illinois in the western Chicago suburbs and am concerned about them.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 11, 2011, 09:20:53 PM
A line of severe storms just moved through my area. We had to go to the basement, due to a tornado warning that included my immediate area and based on damage reports mainly due to straight line winds. I saw the shelf cloud as the storm approached. Lots of lightning and some wind. On our way down to the basement, my mother hurt her foot by slipping and falling on the next to last step. :(
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 11, 2011, 10:39:06 PM
A line of severe storms just moved through my area. We had to go to the basement, due to a tornado warning that included my immediate area and based on damage reports mainly due to straight line winds. I saw the shelf cloud as the storm approached. Lots of lightning and some wind. On our way down to the basement, my mother hurt her foot by slipping and falling on the next to last step. :(
Must have been terrifying, hope she is alright.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on April 12, 2011, 12:56:07 AM
Back on April 8, residents of a county just 25 miles to my southwest experienced their first two tornadoes in at least 50 years.  It caused 8 minor injuries, but damage is estimated to be around $8.5 million.  I've never seen a tornado in person, but this event marks the closest I've ever been to a significant one.  Here's the results of that storm survey if you're interested in finding out more:

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/rnk/events/2011/April_8th_Tornadoes/pns.txt (http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/rnk/events/2011/April_8th_Tornadoes/pns.txt)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 12, 2011, 10:08:28 PM
There's not another chance of severe weather for my area Friday, is there?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 12, 2011, 10:35:03 PM
Sorry to break it to you, but you look like you're gonna get another dose of severe storms on Friday.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on April 13, 2011, 12:57:34 AM
Sorry to break it to you, but you look like you're gonna get another dose of severe storms on Friday.
I could be seeing those storms on Saturday in my area.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Eric on April 13, 2011, 02:51:09 AM
For the past few days we were forecast to get thunderstorms every night, with possibilities as high as 40%.  Not only did we not get thunderstorms, but we barely even got any raindrops at all to speak of.

The last thunder we had here was a couple of freak episodes of thundersnow in the middle of winter.  But I want a real, good ol'-fashioned thunderstorm.  Not anything that's going to destroy houses or kill people, but just strong enough to keep me entertained for a while.  :smoke2:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 13, 2011, 02:18:00 PM
For the past few days we were forecast to get thunderstorms every night, with possibilities as high as 40%.  Not only did we not get thunderstorms, but we barely even got any raindrops at all to speak of.

The last thunder we had here was a couple of freak episodes of thundersnow in the middle of winter.  But I want a real, good ol'-fashioned thunderstorm.  Not anything that's going to destroy houses or kill people, but just strong enough to keep me entertained for a while.  :smoke2:
Don't get your hopes up when its 40%. Usually takes >60% To get them.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 13, 2011, 10:50:06 PM
I hope it will just be straight line winds and then get out of here.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 14, 2011, 08:18:31 AM
Just read the Day 2 Convective Outlook, and again, you'll probably be getting much more than that. If the updated Convective Outlook looks even worse, then I'm gonna post a new topic.

Quote
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL GULF
   COAST STATES AND TN VALLEY...
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER TO
   MID-MS VALLEY...CNTRL TO ERN GULF COAST STATES...SRN APPALACHIAN
   MTNS AND OH VALLEY...
   
   ...TORNADO OUTBREAK BECOMING INCREASINGLY POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CNTRL
   GULF COAST STATES ON FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...

   
   ...CNTRL GULF COAST STATES/SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS...
   AN IMPRESSIVE NEGATIVELY-TILTED UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE
   FROM THE CNTRL PLAINS EWD INTO THE OZARKS. THE EXIT REGION OF A 75
   TO 90 KT MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
   WILL OVERSPREAD THE CNTRL GULF STATES FRIDAY AFTERNOON CREATING VERY
   FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES FOR SEVERE STORMS OVER A BROAD
   AREA. AT THE SFC...A LOW WILL DEEPEN AND MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE OH
   VALLEY AS A TRAILING COLD FRONT ADVANCES EWD ACROSS THE MS VALLEY.
   ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MAY BE ONGOING ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR
   FRIDAY MORNING IN AL AND MIDDLE TN WITH THIS CONVECTION BEING
   SHUNTED EWD AWAY FROM THE MODERATE RISK AREA AROUND MIDDAY. AS THIS
   OCCURS...MODEL FORECASTS ARE CONSISTENT WITH DEVELOPING NUMEROUS
   THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE WRN EDGE OF AN AXIS OF MODERATE TO STRONG
   INSTABILITY FROM WRN TN SWD ACROSS NRN AND CNTRL MS. THIS ACTIVITY
   SHOULD SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA LATE FRIDAY
   AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
   
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS SHOW MLCAPE VALUES
   FROM 2000 TO 3000 J/KG IN CNTRL MS TO 1500 TO 2000 J/KG ACROSS WRN
   KY AND WRN TN. THIS IS COMBINED WITH 55 TO 70 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR
   AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SHOULD RESULT IN SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT
   WITH TORNADOES ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA. 0-3 KM STORM RELATIVE
   HELICITIES ARE FORECAST TO BE 400 TO 500 M2/S2 WITH LOOPING
   HODOGRAPHS ACROSS MUCH OF ERN MS AND WRN AL SUGGESTING A POTENTIAL
   FOR LONG-TRACK STRONG TORNADOES WILL EXIST.
500 MB TEMPS ARE
   FORECAST TO BE FROM -12C IN SRN MS AND SRN AL TO -16C IN WRN TO
   MIDDLE TN. THIS ALONG WITH THE STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOULD ALSO
   BE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE HAIL. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
   ESPECIALLY IN ERN MS AS SUPERCELLS DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE
   AFTERNOON WHERE THE STRONGEST INSTABILITY IS FORECAST. ALTHOUGH
   DISCRETE CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED EARLY IN THE EVENT...LINEAR
   DEVELOPMENT SHOULD INCREASE ALONG THE COLD FRONT BY EARLY EVENING
   WITH A SQUALL-LINE MOVING EWD ACROSS THE REGION. DISCRETE STORMS
   AHEAD OF THE LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO HAVE TORNADO THREAT THROUGH THE
   EVENING.
   
   ONE CONCERN IS THAT THE LOW-LEVEL JET IS FORECAST TO BE MAXIMIZED
   OVER KY AND TN DURING THE EARLY EVENING. LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES
   WILL STILL BE VERY FAVORABLE FURTHER SOUTH IN MS AND AL BUT THE
   LOW-LEVEL JET RESPONSE MAY BE FOCUSED FURTHER TO THE NORTH. ANOTHER
   CONCERN IS FOR THE SRN EDGE OF THE MODERATE RISK. MODEL FORECASTS
   DIFFER ON CONVECTIVE COVERAGE WITH THE NAM ISOLATED BUT THE ECMWF
   DEVELOPS NUMEROUS STORMS. IN SPITE OF THE UNCERTAINTIES...WILL ISSUE
   A MODERATE RISK ACROSS MUCH OF THE CNTRL GULF COAST STATES DUE TO
   THE POTENTIAL FOR A HIGHER-END EVENT.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 14, 2011, 04:41:27 PM
Wow, a PDS with the tornado watch in the Tulsa, OK area.  :o
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 15, 2011, 02:22:51 PM
I am pretty scared about the weather here, today.  :fear:  :( While I want storms, there's a fine line between that and there being long-tracked, violent tornadoes spawned by supercell thunderstorms, cells out there all alone, as oppossed to a line. Tornadoes that threaten life and property.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 15, 2011, 03:52:04 PM
I am terrified.  :fear: A wedge tornado is on the ground moving toward Tuscaloosa and I have friends at the University of Alabama, who I am very worried about.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 15, 2011, 03:56:34 PM
Two large and dangerous tornadoes currently on the ground in Mississippi and Alabama...tornado emergency for Union, Knoxville, Ralph, and Moundville, AL.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 15, 2011, 05:14:45 PM
This was posted at another forum of the tornado in Jackson, MS earlier today.

Destructive Jackson, MS Tornado! (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jrkzBpeybkc#ws)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 15, 2011, 05:38:39 PM
We had some severe weather here last night...one line of storms brought heavy rain, strong winds, and some pea-sized hail for about half an hour. Areas north of here supposedly got half-dollar size hail. And when the sirens starting wailing, I was a little concerned. Luckily there were no tornadoes though.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 16, 2011, 11:51:07 AM
The Jackson area took a big hit yesterday. Clinton, western and northern Jackson, parts of Ridgeland and areas around the Ross Barnett Reservoir by the tornado posted on this page.

The same supercell also tracked through Philadelphia, Miss. and through the Tuscaloosa area (the large wedge tornado mentioned earlier).

Southeast Mississippi and SW Alabama were hit hard too.

The link below has good coverage of the Jackson-area tornado and other storms in Mississippi.

www.clarionledger.com (http://www.clarionledger.com)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 16, 2011, 12:15:46 PM
BTW, did yall hear about Jim Cantore's home damaged by last night's storms?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 16, 2011, 12:36:29 PM
The first High Risk of the year is going to be in the effect for Eastern North Carolina.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 16, 2011, 12:41:02 PM
BTW, did yall hear about Jim Cantore's home damaged by last night's storms?

No, it must have been the same storm that had the tornado warning on it last night that went right past TWC studios.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 16, 2011, 12:46:19 PM
I am under a PDS Tornado Watch, its really windy and they are shifting around a lot. People around here think tornadoes don't kill, so they are less likely to take cover or pay attention for that matter. I'm concerned there will be injuries and fatalities because of this. Watch thewxnetwork stream on livestream.com I'm streaming live video outside of my house.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 16, 2011, 01:13:15 PM
I am under a PDS Tornado Watch, its really windy and they are shifting around a lot. People around here think tornadoes don't kill, so they are less likely to take cover or pay attention for that matter. I'm concerned there will be injuries and fatalities because of this. Watch thewxnetwork stream on livestream.com I'm streaming live video outside of my house.

I don't quite understand the SPC's reasoning for a High Risk, if anything they should have issued a PDS Tornado Watch for AL and MS yesterday. There were quite a few long lived large tornadoes. I think they may be doing this as precautionary because of what happened yesterday.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 16, 2011, 01:29:14 PM
I am under a PDS Tornado Watch, its really windy and they are shifting around a lot. People around here think tornadoes don't kill, so they are less likely to take cover or pay attention for that matter. I'm concerned there will be injuries and fatalities because of this. Watch thewxnetwork stream on livestream.com I'm streaming live video outside of my house.

I don't quite understand the SPC's reasoning for a High Risk, if anything they should have issued a PDS Tornado Watch for AL and MS yesterday. There were quite a few long lived large tornadoes. I think they may be doing this as precautionary because of what happened yesterday.
It also may be to catch the attention of people. They wouldn't put one out without good reasoning.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 16, 2011, 01:45:27 PM
I believe there was still some uncertainty yesterday as to how severe the tornadoes would be in the areas yesterday, which is why they held the tornado probability at 15%. Today, the atmospheric conditions are prime for dangerous tornades, possibly worse than yesterday, and their certainty is much higher. Hence, the High Risk and the PDS tornado watch.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 16, 2011, 02:00:07 PM
I believe there was still some uncertainty yesterday as to how severe the tornadoes would be in the areas yesterday, which is why they held the tornado probability at 15%. Today, the atmospheric conditions are prime for dangerous tornades, possibly worse than yesterday, and their certainty is much higher. Hence, the High Risk and the PDS tornado watch.
High Risk of tornadoes EF2 and greater.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 16, 2011, 02:32:18 PM
I believe there was still some uncertainty yesterday as to how severe the tornadoes would be in the areas yesterday, which is why they held the tornado probability at 15%. Today, the atmospheric conditions are prime for dangerous tornades, possibly worse than yesterday, and their certainty is much higher. Hence, the High Risk and the PDS tornado watch.
I am glad that storm system is already past me. If I were in the eastern Carolinas, I'd be terrified :fear:, like I was when Alabama had its turn yesterday.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 16, 2011, 02:36:06 PM
I am watching Dr. Greg Forbes and Jeff Morrow, who is in Fayetteville, North Carolina and and line of storms is west of Jeff, but no supercells ahead of it. So why the high risk and PDS tornado watch with only a line?  :unsure:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 16, 2011, 04:31:41 PM
I sure hope the folks in Raleigh heeded the tornado warning/emergency, on radar and a couple of the pictures sent into TWC it was a large tornado. According to Dr. Forbes the folks at the NWS took cover after issuing the warning which is good news.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 16, 2011, 04:53:23 PM
The picture below are the two cells near Raleigh where the NWS is citing large and extremely dangerous tornadoes with visible debris.

Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on April 16, 2011, 05:07:48 PM
I sure hope the folks in Raleigh heeded the tornado warning/emergency, on radar and a couple of the pictures sent into TWC it was a large tornado. According to Dr. Forbes the folks at the NWS took cover after issuing the warning which is good news.
Yes, they took shelter for 15 minutes, and my office backed them up until they were safe and could continue their duties.  The tornado barely missed the office, but they could see debris flying around outside.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 16, 2011, 05:40:14 PM
Dr. Greg Forbes sounded alarmed, I could tell by the tone of his voice and that's the first time I've ever heard him sound like that, so those storms are definately spawning a series of tornadoes. It's been a deadly outbreak since Thursday.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 16, 2011, 07:19:02 PM
I was under a tornado warning for a <3hours as several storms went tornadic. Confirmed tornado in Saint Stephens, SC where a trailer was thrown into a church injuring 6. (which is 6miles from my location). Also had the hook echo of two storms move directly over my town, luckily the winds were near the ground.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 16, 2011, 08:12:04 PM
The picture below are the two cells near Raleigh where the NWS is citing large and extremely dangerous tornadoes with visible debris.

Wow, those were some nasty hook echoes there.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 16, 2011, 08:21:28 PM
Update:

NWS Jackson has finished some of their storm surveys. Regarding the supercell that produced tornadoes in Clinton/Jackson and Kemper County/Neshoba County, damage from both areas were rated EF3 with winds of 140. Tornado damage in Attala County was rated EF2 with winds of 120 mph.

The Kemper/Neshoba tornado tracked 38.5 miles and was 3/4 mile wide at its peak and was on the ground for nearly one hour.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 17, 2011, 02:43:19 PM
So what's the death toll from the tornado outbreak that lasted Thursday through yesterday?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 17, 2011, 07:23:31 PM
With this outbreak done, another is in store for Tuesday-Wednesday, but this time for the lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, and of course, Dixie Alley.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 17, 2011, 08:36:27 PM
Currently, out of the 248 reported in the 3 day period, 68 tornadoes have been confirmed. The death toll currently sits at 40.

Askewville, NC, reported 11 deaths alone. Preliminary reports put this tornado at EF3, but further evaluations could make it higher.

Preliminary reports put the Raleigh tornado at a high-end EF3.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 17, 2011, 09:24:35 PM
So the death toll is 40? Does that include non-tornadic related deaths as well like straight line winds and floods?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on April 17, 2011, 10:53:01 PM
So the death toll is 40? Does that include non-tornadic related deaths as well like straight line winds and floods?
That toll is now 45 and still counting, and it appears that 40 of them were due to the tornadoes.  So far, my office has confirmed at least two tornadoes from yesterday's storms, and the damage ranged anywhere from EF0 to EF2.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 17, 2011, 11:24:05 PM
According to TWC, another severe outbreak is expected for next week. Dr. Forbes has TOR:CON values of 6 for central MO and some parts of IL on Tuesday, April 19.

I guess these outbreaks and just going to be one after another after another. :thinking:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 18, 2011, 02:47:02 PM

I guess these outbreaks and just going to be one after another after another. :thinking:
It's just that time of year. I predicted that the spring severe weather season would be active due to La Nina being in a weakening phase.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 18, 2011, 05:03:09 PM

I guess these outbreaks and just going to be one after another after another. :thinking:
It's just that time of year. I predicted that the spring severe weather season would be active due to La Nina being in a weakening phase.

This month is reminding me a lot of April 2009 as far as how active the severe weather has been.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 18, 2011, 05:04:59 PM
A moderate risk of severe weather has been issued for Day 2 for parts of the MS valley and western Ohio Valley. This could be another record-breaking event.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 18, 2011, 05:51:25 PM
A moderate risk of severe weather has been issued for Day 2 for parts of the MS valley and western Ohio Valley. This could be another record-breaking event.
Here we go again. The winter was very active with one snow/ice event and cold wave after another and now the spring season is very active with one severe weather outbreak after another.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 19, 2011, 05:22:44 PM
We're under a tornado watch until 10 PM tonight. It's hard to tell if we're going to get much or not...TWC isn't saying anything about it. :unsure:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 19, 2011, 05:31:37 PM
I was surprised to find out today we have a slight risk for severe weather tomorrow. Locally, it's been made out to not be a big deal because the main energy was supposed to be moving further north than it has with the past severe weather events because of a HP that's supposed to be over the SE. I guess something must have changed.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 19, 2011, 06:49:19 PM
Well...severe thunderstorms in progress right now for the DFW area, so I guess anything is possible, Tavores. :hmm: I don't remember anything but a 30% chance of thunderstorms, but I guess that has changed.

Right now I'm not seeing more than light rain and (BRIGHT) lightning outside my window, but some areas could be at risk of baseball-sized hail. :blink:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 20, 2011, 04:34:08 PM
Parts of Mississippi are under a severe thunderstorm watch until 8 pm tonight CST. Some warnings are in effect.

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
CHOCTAW...SOUTHWESTERN OKTIBBEHA AND SOUTHERN WEBSTER COUNTIES...

AT 317 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR EUPORA MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
MATHISTON...SHERWOOD...REFORM...STURGIS AND LONGVIEW



Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 20, 2011, 06:09:05 PM
We had some good thunderstorms this morning but nothing as severe as last Friday.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 22, 2011, 10:24:46 PM
The city of St. Louis is now the latest victim of severe weather and tornadoes. A tornado hit there tonight with extensive damage at Lambert-St. Louis International Airport. The active spring severe season continues. There are reports of injuries. :(
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 22, 2011, 10:50:42 PM
According to the airliners.net forums there's major damage reported at the airport. Reports of "extensive damage on Tarmac, luggage carts knocked over, damage to planes, windows blown out, cars tossed". Sounds really serious...
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 23, 2011, 08:32:55 AM
Looking at the damage, I think it's going to be rated an EF3.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 23, 2011, 10:37:58 AM
EF3 or EF4.

Lambert is closed until further notice. Reading the Saint Louis Post-Dispatch, NWS St. Louis confirms that tornadoes struck New Melle and Maryland Heights in Missouri and Granite City in Illinois. The Post-Dispatch also reports the track is only five to ten miles off of the path of a 21-mile tornado that struck the same area Jan. 24, 1967.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 23, 2011, 12:40:46 PM
I've been watching several videos this morning covering the damage of Lambert-St. Louis Airport. It's pretty amazing what happened, and I am shocked that those passengers who were actually inside airplanes at the time the tornado hit were able to survive and make it out OK.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 23, 2011, 05:41:42 PM
I saw about an hour ago that the rating for the St. Louis tornado is EF4, with winds of 166-200 mph.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 23, 2011, 08:06:57 PM
Incredible footage from the EF4 that struck St Louis' Airport. Here's a video form someone who was in the terminal at the time:
St. Louis Airport Tornado (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ndk1d5lSUNg#ws)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 23, 2011, 10:44:39 PM
I saw about an hour ago that the rating for the St. Louis tornado is EF4, with winds of 166-200 mph.

Impressive! :o It's a good thing the people were in a sturdy building like an airport. With a tornado this big, surely some less strong buildings would be completely demolished.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on April 23, 2011, 11:51:54 PM
Impressive! :o It's a good thing the people were in a sturdy building like an airport. With a tornado this big, surely some less strong buildings would be completely demolished.
The only quip I have about that terminal is that it was composed of many glass windows.  It had more glass than quite a few other airport terminals, and half of those panes were shattered by the tornado.  It's a good thing no one was severely hurt by the flying glass.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 24, 2011, 08:17:21 AM
Impressive! :o It's a good thing the people were in a sturdy building like an airport. With a tornado this big, surely some less strong buildings would be completely demolished.
The only quip I have about that terminal is that it was composed of many glass windows.  It had more glass than quite a few other airport terminals, and half of those panes were shattered by the tornado.  It's a good thing no one was severely hurt by the flying glass.

Was the airport staff not informed about the tornado warning or a possible tornado coming towards the airport? I mean it seems kinda stupid that they waited until the storm got there and then started yelling for everyone to head downstairs. Those windows could have shattered at any moment while people were standing there at awe at the storm and a lot more people would have been injured or killed.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 24, 2011, 12:52:36 PM
Impressive! :o It's a good thing the people were in a sturdy building like an airport. With a tornado this big, surely some less strong buildings would be completely demolished.
The only quip I have about that terminal is that it was composed of many glass windows.  It had more glass than quite a few other airport terminals, and half of those panes were shattered by the tornado.  It's a good thing no one was severely hurt by the flying glass.

Was the airport staff not informed about the tornado warning or a possible tornado coming towards the airport? I mean it seems kinda stupid that they waited until the storm got there and then started yelling for everyone to head downstairs. Those windows could have shattered at any moment while people were standing there at awe at the storm and a lot more people would have been injured or killed.

That's what news reporters are saying...that "supposedly" no one knew there was going to be a tornado. But that seems a little less than truthful, especially since this is the midwest and certainly computer models or something had to predict what was coming. :thinking:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on April 24, 2011, 01:36:00 PM
There was a tornado warning for that storm 34 minutes in advance, and the airport staff did tell the passengers in the terminal to "get out, get out" just before it arrived.  The problem is that most people aren't always aware of the weather outside and if they're in a warning when in a huge building like a mall, airport, Walmart, etc.  Unless you have a phone with a warning app, a portable weather radio, or access to a TV in the building, how would you know that a tornado is bearing down on you?  It's a real concern the NWS worries about lately.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 24, 2011, 04:48:28 PM
There was a tornado warning for that storm 34 minutes in advance, and the airport staff did tell the passengers in the terminal to "get out, get out" just before it arrived.  The problem is that most people aren't always aware of the weather outside and if they're in a warning when in a huge building like a mall, airport, Walmart, etc.  Unless you have a phone with a warning app, a portable weather radio, or access to a TV in the building, how would you know that a tornado is bearing down on you?  It's a real concern the NWS worries about lately.

It would be kind of nice to have an annoucement over the PA system indicating the warning at the time the NWS issued it. I don't see how difficult this would be. Even though some warnings don't always mean a tornado will hit and do damage, it is still a good idea to be aware of them immediately. That way, airport officials would not have to scramble everyone to safety at the last minute.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 24, 2011, 04:50:21 PM
Keep in mind the tornado struck at night. If it happened during the day, the tornado could've been spotted and people could've scrambled for safety but since it's night, nobody knew what would happen
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 24, 2011, 05:26:34 PM
Regardless of whether the tornado hit at night or not, there still could've been a warning announced over the PA. That way, it isn't necessary to have to get a sighting of it before evacuating people.

Either way, what happened, happened. Hopefully the St. Louis airport staff will prepare better next time something like this happens.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 24, 2011, 05:56:46 PM
There was a tornado warning for that storm 34 minutes in advance, and the airport staff did tell the passengers in the terminal to "get out, get out" just before it arrived.  The problem is that most people aren't always aware of the weather outside and if they're in a warning when in a huge building like a mall, airport, Walmart, etc.  Unless you have a phone with a warning app, a portable weather radio, or access to a TV in the building, how would you know that a tornado is bearing down on you?  It's a real concern the NWS worries about lately.

It would be kind of nice to have an annoucement over the PA system indicating the warning at the time the NWS issued it. I don't see how difficult this would be. Even though some warnings don't always mean a tornado will hit and do damage, it is still a good idea to be aware of them immediately. That way, airport officials would not have to scramble everyone to safety at the last minute.

That was the point I was making too Andy, the Tornado Warning was out more than 30 minutes before the storm hit Lambert Airport. That's plenty of time for the Airport officials to have taken action to evacuate the passengers to a lower area away from windows.

Keep in mind the tornado struck at night. If it happened during the day, the tornado could've been spotted and people could've scrambled for safety but since it's night, nobody knew what would happen

True, but that's why the NWS issues Tornado Warnings so people will know that there's a possibility a storm is producing a tornado because it's being detected on radar. Even it one doesn't occur or isn't spotted by the public/storm chasers it's better to be safe than sorry.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 24, 2011, 09:59:53 PM
Impressive! :o It's a good thing the people were in a sturdy building like an airport. With a tornado this big, surely some less strong buildings would be completely demolished.
The only quip I have about that terminal is that it was composed of many glass windows.  It had more glass than quite a few other airport terminals, and half of those panes were shattered by the tornado.  It's a good thing no one was severely hurt by the flying glass.

Was the airport staff not informed about the tornado warning or a possible tornado coming towards the airport? I mean it seems kinda stupid that they waited until the storm got there and then started yelling for everyone to head downstairs. Those windows could have shattered at any moment while people were standing there at awe at the storm and a lot more people would have been injured or killed.

I sure airport officials got the word out, but people are gonna do what they are gonna do. You can't make everyone take cover.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 25, 2011, 08:13:06 AM
We are facing yet another possible large-scale tornado outbreak over the next few days. A MDT risk is in effect Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, with all days being cited with an elevated tornado threat.

Today's Tornado Risk: Much of Arkansas
15% Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a pint, 10% chance of a significant tornado.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 25, 2011, 08:46:02 AM
We are facing yet another possible large-scale tornado outbreak over the next few days. A MDT risk is in effect Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday, with all days being cited with an elevated tornado threat.

Today's Tornado Risk: Much of Arkansas
15% Chance of a tornado within 25 miles of a pint, 10% chance of a significant tornado.
Wow, it's unusual to see a moderate risk issued for 3 days in a row plus.

I have a feeling that parts of the MS valley may be upgraded to a high risk for Tuesday. There already is a 45% risk for severe tunderstorms in that area.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 25, 2011, 07:04:31 PM
There was a tornado warning for that storm 34 minutes in advance, and the airport staff did tell the passengers in the terminal to "get out, get out" just before it arrived.  The problem is that most people aren't always aware of the weather outside and if they're in a warning when in a huge building like a mall, airport, Walmart, etc.  Unless you have a phone with a warning app, a portable weather radio, or access to a TV in the building, how would you know that a tornado is bearing down on you?  It's a real concern the NWS worries about lately.
Don't forget about sports events. Anyone remember the SEC basketball tournament played at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta in March 2008 when that tornado hit? That game went into overtime because a Mississippi State (State was playing Alabama) player hit a 3-point shot. If that shot had been missed, people would have been leaving and heading right out into it.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Zach on April 26, 2011, 12:28:39 AM
Though its not with fronts, weve been recently getting a lot of popup storms in Florida like its summertime  :blink:  took this video earlier..


Strong Storms Over Temple Terrace, Florida - 4/25/2011 (Time Lapse) (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ouHF0gNZ0os#noexternalembed-ws)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 26, 2011, 01:41:53 AM
Though its not with fronts, weve been recently getting a lot of popup storms in Florida like its summertime  :blink:  took this video earlier..


Strong Storms Over Temple Terrace, Florida - 4/25/2011 (Time Lapse) ([url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ouHF0gNZ0os#noexternalembed-ws[/url])

Its been the same here, Seabreeze causes it I believe. Love how unexpected these storms are.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 26, 2011, 08:44:46 AM
The SPC has issued a High Risk of severe weather today for the immediate Arklatex area. This is going to be a long day.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.gif)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 26, 2011, 11:22:38 AM
Though its not with fronts, weve been recently getting a lot of popup storms in Florida like its summertime  :blink:  took this video earlier..


Strong Storms Over Temple Terrace, Florida - 4/25/2011 (Time Lapse) ([url]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ouHF0gNZ0os#noexternalembed-ws[/url])

Its been the same here, Seabreeze causes it I believe. Love how unexpected these storms are.

Interesting that the models showed many scattered t-storms today, but none of the forecasters had anything above 20%. Its storming now. YAY!

EDIT: I guess mother nature changed it up today. The storms are moving in from the Atlantic, that's odd.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 26, 2011, 12:01:28 PM
The high risk area has been extended northeastwards to include the city of Memphis.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: wxmediafan on April 26, 2011, 12:31:40 PM
This is nuts.  I cannot believe how active this month has been, severe weather-wise.  I will definitely be glued to the TV any chance I get tonight.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 26, 2011, 06:04:17 PM
You know something I don't understand? Why is it that every single severe wx event this month wants to keep coming in after midnight here? It's bad enough you can't see what's going on because you're trying to get some sleep, but it's worse when every event has had a tornado threat with it.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 26, 2011, 06:07:07 PM
Dear god, 8 weather watches currently in effect. I haven't seen this many in effect at once since October of last year.

EDIT: Make that 9 watches.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 26, 2011, 06:17:15 PM
You know something I don't understand? Why is it that every single severe wx event this month wants to keep coming in after midnight here? It's bad enough you can't see what's going on because you're trying to get some sleep, but it's worse when every event has had a tornado threat with it.
I understand your feelings and agree with you. I hate overnight events! :thumbdown: The reason I dislike that so much is because my enjoyment of the storms are limited. During the day, I can enjoy them much more, but also during the day, you have the daytime heating and that makes the storms even more severe. I like summer, b/c they are almost always during the day.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 26, 2011, 09:16:21 PM
You know something I don't understand? Why is it that every single severe wx event this month wants to keep coming in after midnight here? It's bad enough you can't see what's going on because you're trying to get some sleep, but it's worse when every event has had a tornado threat with it.

Same thing is the case here. Most of our storms happen around 4 or 5 AM...early in the morning. So I don't get to watch/track them (because I'm certainly not getting up that early), and I lose some sleep from the thunder. Double strike. :hmm:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 26, 2011, 09:20:37 PM
You know something I don't understand? Why is it that every single severe wx event this month wants to keep coming in after midnight here? It's bad enough you can't see what's going on because you're trying to get some sleep, but it's worse when every event has had a tornado threat with it.

Same thing is the case here. Most of our storms happen around 4 or 5 AM...early in the morning. So I don't get to watch/track them (because I'm certainly not getting up that early), and I lose some sleep from the thunder. Double strike. :hmm:
I love late night t-storms during the summer months when I'm off from school. When I do have school and they come its just a complete nuisance and with the threat of tornadoes and such makes it worse.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 26, 2011, 10:24:46 PM
Wow, this is a huge outbreak both severe weather wise and flooding wise.

My area, which was under a Slight Risk and Tornado Watch today didn't recieve any severe weather.

Tomorrow will be another really active day.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on April 26, 2011, 10:41:33 PM
has anyone ever seen 10 tornado warnings all active in 1 state before?

10 Total Tornado Warnings In Arkansas, Pine Bluff Area 4/26/2011 5:32pm CDT (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y_prd2mfC4Y#)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: P71nnacle on April 27, 2011, 04:32:31 AM
has anyone ever seen 10 tornado warnings all active in 1 state before?


I haven't....that's incredible, although it's been that kind of season ;) Speaking of that, since I don't feel like creating a "contributions" thread, for the first time in memory here in Pittsburgh, TWC stated the possibility of tornadoes in a LF. Here's a video, courtesy IS #22420 and Comcast:

RARE Tornado Mention in 48 Hour Section of TWC Local Forecast (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f-EeMd37GjQ#)

I think the only other time I have ever seen this was June 2, 1998, although I faintly remember 2007 having a "Storms may contain tornadoes" somewhere along the line. Usually, such a prediction is nowcasting (lots of tornado warnings issued will mean an indicator as seen above, but for the future, I think it is somewhat rare.)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 06:02:48 AM
The SPC has upgraded my area to a MODERATE risk today. NW GA to AL to MS is under a HIGH risk. Everyone who is expected to see severe weather today or tomorrow please stay safe!

(http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1200.gif)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 27, 2011, 10:25:31 AM
Our campus just took an indirect from a tornado that spawned in Chattanooga around 9 this morning. Looks like two or three cars have been crushed by trees. And tree limbs are down all over the place.

The bad news: I'm in the High Risk area.  :blink: So unfortunately, this isn't over.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 27, 2011, 02:09:47 PM
Its getting Active out there! I'm next tomorrow.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 27, 2011, 03:29:28 PM
Things are lighting up in Mississippi:

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
224 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

GRENADA MS-WEBSTER MS-CARROLL MS-MONTGOMERY MS-
224 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN
MONTGOMERY...NORTH CENTRAL CARROLL...NORTHERN WEBSTER AND
SOUTHEASTERN GRENADA COUNTIES...

AT 223 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUCK HILL MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  SWEATMAN BY 230 PM CDT...
  MISTERTON AND GORE SPRINGS BY 235 PM CDT...
  EMBRY AND BELLEFONTAINE BY 245 PM CDT...
  MANTEE BY 300 PM CDT...

IN ADDITION AT THAT TIME NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS
WERE ALSO TRACKING ANOTHER CIRCULATION ON RADAR CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
A TORNADO NEAR ELLIOT...ALSO TRACKING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.



SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
223 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

NESHOBA MS-
223 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR NESHOBA
COUNTY...

AT 224 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUE TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR PEARL RIVER MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
BETHSAIDA...HOUSE...PHILADELPHIA...TUCKER...HERBERT SPRINGS...
BURNSIDE...STALLO AND FORESTDALE

Update to this warning: Spotters report tornado on the ground near Philadelphia



BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
221 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  WESTERN JASPER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STRINGER...
  NORTHERN COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COLLINS...
  NORTHWESTERN JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 221 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR LONE STAR
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MOUNT
  OLIVE...TAYLORSVILLE...MOSS...BAY SPRINGS AND TURNERVILLE



BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
223 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN ALCORN COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN PRENTISS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  SOUTHEASTERN TIPPAH COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHERN TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  UNION COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT

* AT 153 PM CDT...LOCAL FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED A TORNADO TOUCHDOWN
IN SOUTHERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY. THIS TORNADO IS NOW ENTERING NEW
ALBANY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH. THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION.
PEOPLE IN NEW ALBANY SHOULD TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  BOONEVILLE...IUKA AND NEW ALBANY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE BASEBALL SIZE HAIL AND
DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 27, 2011, 03:45:55 PM
Via NWS Jackson's Facebook page:

Quote
Reports of strong tornado on the ground and reports of damage with the storm that went north of Philadelphia. This storm is headed toward northern Kemper and Noxubee counties! If you are in these locations...TAKE COVER NOW!


In addition:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
242 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN COPIAH COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CRYSTAL SPRINGS...
  SOUTHERN HINDS COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF BYRAM...
  EAST CENTRAL CLAIBORNE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 242 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 11 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF CARPENTER MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  CARPENTER BY 250 PM CDT...
  UTICA BY 255 PM CDT...
  DENTVILLE BY 300 PM CDT...
  DRY GROVE AND GALLMAN BY 310 PM CDT...
  CRYSTAL SPRINGS BY 315 PM CDT...
  TERRY AND HOPEWELL BY 320 PM CDT...
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 04:10:01 PM
As I suspected all after-school activities were cancelled today due to the expected tornadic weather. It feels very tropical today, more mid June weather, low 80's and very gusty winds and it's partly to mostly cloudy atm.

Also this was taken as a tornado developed live on the air in Cullman, AL
(http://www.jamesspann.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/4-27-2011-2-53-23-PM-600x454.png)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: wxmediafan on April 27, 2011, 04:25:42 PM
As I suspected all after-school activities were cancelled today due to the expected tornadic weather. It feels very tropical today, more mid June weather, low 80's and very gusty winds and it's partly to mostly cloudy atm.

Also this was taken as a tornado developed live on the air in Cullman, AL
([url]http://www.jamesspann.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/4-27-2011-2-53-23-PM-600x454.png[/url])

Absolutely incredible.  I've been checking out live-streams of different television stations in Alabama, and they were focusing on the Cullman, AL area.  Looking at the RADAR, there was a tornado signature on that storm, something you'd see in a text book.  After seeing the video (same video SnowManiac shows in his picture) online, it's just amazing how the RADAR can pick that up so well.

My thoughts and prayers are with everyone in the south as these storms roll trough.  An absolute dangerous situation down there today. 
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 27, 2011, 04:54:00 PM
I just saw that footage online! Currently I'm checking out WIAT-TV's coverage of the outbreak in Alabama (www.cbs42.com (http://www.cbs42.com)). WBMA is online too (www.abc3340.com (http://www.abc3340.com)).

In addition, a tornado is on the ground in the Jackson, Miss. area (Hinds County). WAPT-TV has live coverage (www.wapt.com (http://www.wapt.com)).

There is a tornado emergency for Kemper County, Miss. A large tornado was near Scooba.
Noxubee County, Miss. is also under a tornado emergency. Large tornado on the ground near Cooksville.

Alabama...wow! Nearly every tornado warning in that state is a confirmed tornado. I'm speechless.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 27, 2011, 05:08:07 PM
Damage from the Cullman, AL tornado

http://s3.amazonaws.com/twitpic/photos/large/285975710.jpg?AWSAccessKeyId=AKIAJF3XCCKACR3QDMOA&Expires=1303939451&Signature=%2B%2BhSNVsBOJvEdTIB%2FrvKLxu4cqs%3D (http://s3.amazonaws.com/twitpic/photos/large/285975710.jpg?AWSAccessKeyId=AKIAJF3XCCKACR3QDMOA&Expires=1303939451&Signature=%2B%2BhSNVsBOJvEdTIB%2FrvKLxu4cqs%3D)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 05:25:25 PM
Also in reference to the Cullman, AL tornado. I heard it ripped a water tower out of the ground and tossed it. That's quite amazing! I hope everyone in AL is staying safe and keeping an eye out on these supercells if they haven't been hit yet. It's getting down right ugly there and every cell w/ a warning is tornado warned that's insane! The high risk is definitely validating in that area.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 27, 2011, 05:32:32 PM
Also in reference to the Cullman, AL tornado. I heard it ripped a water tower out of the ground and tossed it. That's quite amazing! I hope everyone in AL is staying safe and keeping an eye out on these supercells if they haven't been hit yet. It's getting down right ugly there and every cell w/ a warning is tornado warned that's insane! The high risk is definitely validating in that area.
Greg Forbes has as a 10 on TOR:CON for northern Alabama. Snow Maniac, you better watch out you have and 8 for the Atlanta metro area. Stay safe.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 05:40:13 PM
Tornado Emergency now for Tuscaloosa...large tornado headed straight for Tuscaloosa and Jasper. I hope Tiffany is safe!!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 27, 2011, 05:42:21 PM
Wow, a TOR:CON of a 10/10 for Northern Alabama! Stay safe everyone, make sure you have a severe weather  plan and a sturdy emergency shelter if you live in a mobile home.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 05:49:02 PM
Also in reference to the Cullman, AL tornado. I heard it ripped a water tower out of the ground and tossed it. That's quite amazing! I hope everyone in AL is staying safe and keeping an eye out on these supercells if they haven't been hit yet. It's getting down right ugly there and every cell w/ a warning is tornado warned that's insane! The high risk is definitely validating in that area.
Greg Forbes has as a 10 on TOR:CON for northern Alabama. Snow Maniac, you better watch out you have and 8 for the Atlanta metro area. Stay safe.

Thanks Donovan I am, here comes another sleepless night for me. The weather here now is reminding me of how it was April 4th with the severe weather we had then except this time around it's supercells and not a line.
Also an 8 is the the highest I have ever seen Dr. Forbes give us which makes me more concerned.

Tornado Emergency now for Tuscaloosa...large tornado headed straight for Tuscaloosa and Jasper. I hope Tiffany is safe!!

Dang, Tuscaloosa can't seem to catch a break. :(
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 05:54:51 PM
Yeah, Forbes just said a huge, wedge tornado headed right for Tuscaloosa. They just got one 2 weeks ago. I've never seen a 10/10 on a tor-con rating too.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: PopLightBrown on April 27, 2011, 06:00:47 PM
Wow, a TOR:CON of a 10/10 for Northern Alabama! Stay safe everyone, make sure you have a severe weather  plan and a sturdy emergency shelter if you live in a mobile home.

Yes indeed. I'm watching WBMA's coverage and the tornado is on their Tuscaloosa skycam...it is HUGE. At least a mile wide.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 06:05:36 PM
It's Super Tuesday all over again. :no:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 27, 2011, 06:06:58 PM
Tornado on the ground. Thanks to Stephanie Abrams for the link ABC 33\/40 Main (http://www.ustream.tv/channel/ABC-33-40-Main#)

This tornado is EPIC!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 06:14:50 PM
That thing is a monster! I took some snapshots from the ustream link. In every picture it gets bigger and bigger.

Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 27, 2011, 06:17:00 PM
I cannot believe this outbreak! This is amazing how many tornadoes we have!  :thrilled:
I believe this guy has the Tuscaloosa tornado. http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=john.brown&uid=265 (http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin/player.pl?username=john.brown&uid=265)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 27, 2011, 06:18:02 PM
And the video keeps freezing. I think it missed the U of Alabama campus....barely.

The Tuscaloosa tornado is officially a mile wide now.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 06:18:14 PM
THe tornado has gotten so big, that the skycam can't even zoom out anymore
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 27, 2011, 06:21:22 PM
And it's going right up I-20/59. Look out Birmingham.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 27, 2011, 06:21:44 PM
The NWS Huntsville office had to evacuate!
Oh God Tuscaloosa might get hit AGAIN!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 27, 2011, 06:26:11 PM
Look out and stay safe Tuscaloosa!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
517 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

ALC125-272245-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0109.000000T0000Z-110427T2245Z/
TUSCALOOSA AL-
517 PM CDT WED APR 27 2011

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TUSCALOOSA COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

...TORNADO EMERGENCY CONTINUES FOR BROOKWOOD AND ABERNANT...

AT 515 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR AND STORM
SPOTTERS WERE TRACKING A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO.  THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR DEERLICK CREEK CAMPGROUNDS...OR 6 MILES EAST
OF HOLT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  WOODSTOCK JUNCTION AND 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF VANCE AROUND 525 PM
  CDT.
  ABERNANT...LAKE VIEW AND 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BULL CITY AROUND 530
  PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THE TORNADO INCLUDE EAST BROOKWOOD AND
CAFFEE JUNCTION.

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 68 THROUGH 97...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3321 8776 3357 8732 3352 8732 3351 8729
      3347 8734 3340 8722 3337 8723 3331 8715
      3331 8712 3324 8708 3324 8715 3320 8718
      3314 8719 3314 8728 3309 8734 3311 8776
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 244DEG 50KT 3324 8738

$$


Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 06:37:14 PM
The NWS Huntsville office had to evacuate!
Oh God Tuscaloosa might get hit AGAIN!
Yeah, a funnel cloud is forming right over Tuscaloosa, could form into another tornado shortly.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Zach on April 27, 2011, 06:48:34 PM
Looks like the tornado is headed right for Birmingham.. :hmm:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 06:53:49 PM
Tornado Watch #241 issued via SPC for GA, N/SC

Quote
WOUS64 KWNS 272247
     WOU1
     
     BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
     TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 241
     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
     650 PM EDT WED APR 27 2011
     
     TORNADO WATCH 241 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT FOR THE
      FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
     
     ALC005-011-017-051-081-087-101-109-111-113-123-280600-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0241.110427T2250Z-110428T0600Z/
     
     AL
     .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
     
     BARBOUR              BULLOCK             CHAMBERS           
     ELMORE               LEE                 MACON               
     MONTGOMERY           PIKE                RANDOLPH           
     RUSSELL              TALLAPOOSA         
     
     
     GAC011-013-015-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-079-083-
     085-089-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-139-
     143-145-147-149-151-157-159-171-187-195-197-199-207-211-213-215-
     217-219-221-223-227-231-233-237-241-247-249-255-257-259-263-269-
     281-285-291-293-295-297-307-311-313-280600-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0241.110427T2250Z-110428T0600Z/
     
     GA
     .    GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
     
     BANKS                BARROW              BARTOW             
     BUTTS                CARROLL             CATOOSA             
     CHATTAHOOCHEE        CHATTOOGA           CHEROKEE           
     CLARKE               CLAYTON             COBB               
     COWETA               CRAWFORD            DADE               
     DAWSON               DEKALB              DOUGLAS             
     ELBERT               FANNIN              FAYETTE             
     FLOYD                FORSYTH             FRANKLIN           
     FULTON               GILMER              GORDON             
     GREENE               GWINNETT            HABERSHAM           
     HALL                 HARALSON            HARRIS             
     HART                 HEARD               HENRY               
     JACKSON              JASPER              LAMAR               
     LUMPKIN              MADISON             MARION             
     MERIWETHER           MONROE              MORGAN             
     MURRAY               MUSCOGEE            NEWTON             
     OCONEE               OGLETHORPE          PAULDING           
     PICKENS              PIKE                POLK               
     PUTNAM               RABUN               ROCKDALE           
     SCHLEY               SPALDING            STEPHENS           
     STEWART              TALBOT              TAYLOR             
     TOWNS                TROUP               UNION               
     UPSON                WALKER              WALTON             
     WEBSTER              WHITE               WHITFIELD           
     
     
     NCC003-011-021-023-027-035-045-059-071-075-087-089-097-099-109-
     111-113-115-121-149-159-161-173-175-199-280600-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0241.110427T2250Z-110428T0600Z/
     
     NC
     .    NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
     
     ALEXANDER            AVERY               BUNCOMBE           
     BURKE                CALDWELL            CATAWBA             
     CLEVELAND            DAVIE               GASTON             
     GRAHAM               HAYWOOD             HENDERSON           
     IREDELL              JACKSON             LINCOLN             
     MACON                MADISON             MCDOWELL           
     MITCHELL             POLK                ROWAN               
     RUTHERFORD           SWAIN               TRANSYLVANIA       
     YANCEY               
     
     
     SCC001-007-021-045-073-077-083-280600-
     /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0241.110427T2250Z-110428T0600Z/
     
     SC
     .    SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
     
     ABBEVILLE            ANDERSON            CHEROKEE           
     GREENVILLE           OCONEE              PICKENS             
     SPARTANBURG         
     
     
     ATTN...WFO...BMX...GSP...FFC...
     
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Trevor on April 27, 2011, 07:03:54 PM
Everyone please pray that Tiffany is OK. She is in Tuscaloosa and we have reports that Tuscaloosa has been wiped off the map.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 27, 2011, 07:04:40 PM
Tornado Emergency for Birmingham, AL. Watch TWC live, Jeff Morrow's live shots have it! You cant tell where the tornado is b/c the lowering is so large.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 07:17:34 PM
Correction on that Tornado Watch #241 it is a PDS Tornado Watch. The 4th one in effect right now.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 07:20:35 PM
Everyone please pray that Tiffany is OK. She is in Tuscaloosa and we have reports that Tuscaloosa has been wiped off the map.
I called her earlier, she is fine but there is major damage in her neighborhood. she narrowly escaped the tornado
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 27, 2011, 07:35:03 PM
Wow, the tornado that went through Tuscaloosa may have been an EF4, perhaps EF5...
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 07:36:50 PM
Wow, the tornado that went through Tuscaloosa may have been an EF4, perhaps EF5...
It has to be an EF5, no way an EF4 would completely destroy everything in its path like that. That tornado was a monster
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 27, 2011, 07:38:33 PM
Wow, the tornado that went through Tuscaloosa may have been an EF4, perhaps EF5...
It has to be an EF5, no way an EF4 would completely destroy everything in its path like that. That tornado was a monster
If this is an EF5 tornado, then it's the first one of 2011 (as far as I know.)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 07:47:44 PM
Hmm, Dr. Forbes mentioned the supercell south of Tuscaloosa could hit Atlanta within the next 3 hours and he said a debris ball looks to be developing. I'm gonna keep monitoring it as it gets closer. Boy, you see tornado damage all the time, but when it's this extreme, it really hits you hard in the heart.  I haven't been this jumpy from a tornado outbreak in a while.

EDIT: As a side note, it's still 80° here.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on April 27, 2011, 08:12:05 PM
Tornado Emergency Declaration: Birmingham, AL 6:07pm CDT 4/27/2011

Tornado Emergency Declaration: Birmingham, AL 6:07pm CDT 4/27/2011 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dedrHmnVTVc#)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: tpirfan28 on April 27, 2011, 08:14:00 PM
TOR:CON has hit 10 for northern AL; apparently the first time ever.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 27, 2011, 08:27:46 PM
I have a feeling that many more deaths are possible, since search teams are going to have lots of trouble navigating ith dark/rainy conditions.

Hope and pray that no one else will die from this outbreak.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 27, 2011, 08:54:25 PM
The same storm that produced the Tornado in Tuscaloosa and Birmingham is on it's way to Rome, GA

Here's a link on the live coverage  from one of our affiliates if you're interested in watching it.
http://www.wsbtv.com/video/27695563/index.html (http://www.wsbtv.com/video/27695563/index.html)

EDIT: I read from a member who lives in North GA from another forum that our FOX affiliate said that a report of a tornado of possible a mile wide touched down in Cave Spring, GA then apparently the member said they cut back to Americal Idol WOW, Really? WTH?

Also, NWS in Birmingham has taken cover, NWS in Mobile will take over for them.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 27, 2011, 11:36:26 PM
Death toll from the storms is 72, but that could change as numbers are still sketchy..
http://www.freep.com/article/20110427/NEWS07/110427043/Deadly-storms-rake-South-72-dead-buildings-obliterated- (http://www.freep.com/article/20110427/NEWS07/110427043/Deadly-storms-rake-South-72-dead-buildings-obliterated-)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 28, 2011, 12:01:46 AM
Tornado Emergency for Birmingham, AL. Watch TWC live, Jeff Morrow's live shots have it! You cant tell where the tornado is b/c the lowering is so large.

That was the most surreal thing I have seen since the May 3, 1999 Oklahoma City/Moore tornado. I will never get that footage out of my head.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 28, 2011, 12:05:24 AM
As per Stephanie Abrams twitter: Shows will start @5AM tomorrow morning. Not sure if WUWA will be on or just YWT. They are working Dr.Forbes too hard tonight, so strange to see Bryan Norcross covering severe weather. Makes me wonder what he and Knabb do all year?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 28, 2011, 12:45:30 AM
Bryan wasn't just doing hurricanes before he joined TWC. He was on TV in Lexington, Ky. and San Francisco before going to Miami and finally TWC, so it's not unusual for him to do severe weather. Plus Jim isn't there tonight because he's on the road. Has he been on at all tonight?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 28, 2011, 01:29:45 AM
Bryan wasn't just doing hurricanes before he joined TWC. He was on TV in Lexington, Ky. and San Francisco before going to Miami and finally TWC, so it's not unusual for him to do severe weather. Plus Jim isn't there tonight because he's on the road. Has he been on at all tonight?
Jim gave reports from the field earlier this evening. I believe all the live crews are resting or on the way back to ATL. Goodloe @ the expert desk, they should do this kind of coverage more often.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 28, 2011, 01:49:41 AM
Tuscaloosa tornado footage courtesy of bamawx.com (ABC33/40 Birmingham weather department)

http://www.youtube.com/embed/T0FHTG9VETY (http://www.youtube.com/embed/T0FHTG9VETY)

How do yall embed YouTube videos on here?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 28, 2011, 02:02:47 AM
Forecast for tomorrow. Not expected to be as bad.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 28, 2011, 07:41:21 AM
Death toll from the storms is 72, but that could change as numbers are still sketchy..
[url]http://www.freep.com/article/20110427/NEWS07/110427043/Deadly-storms-rake-South-72-dead-buildings-obliterated-[/url] ([url]http://www.freep.com/article/20110427/NEWS07/110427043/Deadly-storms-rake-South-72-dead-buildings-obliterated-[/url])


According to what Steph got from AP, the death toll is close to 170 now. She also heard the same report from FB, but she  said that still could be flawed/unofficial. I saw a report on FB last night about a housing shelter collasped in Birmingham I believe where there were bodies found laying everywhere. That might be where that high death toll number is coming from.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 28, 2011, 10:20:51 AM
Now it has risen past 200, god the super outbreak in 1974 killed 315 ppl, hopefully we don't surpass that :no:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 28, 2011, 10:55:06 AM
Now the death toll is 213. This will probably go up as search teams go through the rubble.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 28, 2011, 11:59:43 AM
Toll now stands at 231, and still rising. General consensus now is that the Birmingham tornado was the latest EF5 tornado since Greensburg in 2007.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 28, 2011, 12:19:51 PM
So the EF5 at BHM/TUS was one tornado, or perhaps a series of possible EF5s?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 28, 2011, 12:36:13 PM
158 of these deaths were in Alabama alone.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 28, 2011, 01:11:39 PM
Wow, I heard on TWC that this outbreak could be the worst in U.S. history...
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 28, 2011, 04:01:07 PM
Toll now stands at 231, and still rising. General consensus now is that the Birmingham tornado was the latest EF5 tornado since Greensburg in 2007.

Actually I think the tornado that hit Parkersburg, IA in 2008 was the most recent EF5 tornado.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on April 28, 2011, 04:17:20 PM
You're  right, my bad.

Speaking of which, mini-rant. WHY is it that we have such better technology to detect tornadoes than we did in 1974 during the Super Outbreak, when 300-odd some people died, and yet we are on track of beating that record today? Why did so many people die now?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 28, 2011, 04:22:45 PM
You're  right, my bad.

Speaking of which, mini-rant. WHY is it that we have such better technology to detect tornadoes than we did in 1974 during the Super Outbreak, when 300-odd some people died, and yet we are on track of beating that record today? Why did so many people die now?
The common person probably thinks that they are invincible to weather and get in their minds "that will never happen to me". Populations were probably less back then, and less building and debris to be picked up. Ignorance is one of the main causes of weather related death in my opinion.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 28, 2011, 04:32:06 PM
You're  right, my bad.

Speaking of which, mini-rant. WHY is it that we have such better technology to detect tornadoes than we did in 1974 during the Super Outbreak, when 300-odd some people died, and yet we are on track of beating that record today? Why did so many people die now?

The common person probably thinks that they are invincible to weather and get in their minds "that will never happen to me". Populations were probably less back then, and less building and debris to be picked up. Ignorance is one of the main causes of weather related death in my opinion.


It's also possible some people didn't get the warnings because of the strong S winds that may have knocked out their power and communication lines ahead of the storms. Unless they had a weather radio or someone called them early enough they may have not known what was coming for them. When that tornado hit Tuscaloosa it not only knocked out some communication lines, it also knocked out the power to the Northern half of AL and on top of that most of the NWS offices in AL were transferring their duties to neighboring NWS offices while they took cover from the tornadoes. I heard on several occasions yesterday that radars were completely down or showing old data so that certainly didn't help any.

EDIT: I found a video of the tornado forming/hitting Ringgold,GA last night, you can't really see it after 32 seconds, but you can definitely hear it.
Ringgold, GA Tornado, 04/27/11 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t509ZWYDvA0#)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Eric on April 28, 2011, 05:01:07 PM
Unless they had a weather radio or someone called them early enough they may have not known what was coming for them.

Is there ever an excuse for not owning a weather radio, especially in tornado-prone areas?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 28, 2011, 05:04:14 PM
Unless they had a weather radio or someone called them early enough they may have not known what was coming for them.

Is there ever an excuse for not owning a weather radio, especially in tornado-prone areas?

No, but that doesn't mean there aren't people who don't own them.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on April 28, 2011, 05:07:33 PM
Unless they had a weather radio or someone called them early enough they may have not known what was coming for them.

Is there ever an excuse for not owning a weather radio, especially in tornado-prone areas?

No, but that doesn't mean there aren't people who don't own them.
You also have to account for that very many people don't have basements here. Although they may have had the warning, they just might not have been in a strong enough building. Its terrible.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 28, 2011, 05:52:17 PM
Speaking of which, mini-rant. WHY is it that we have such better technology to detect tornadoes than we did in 1974 during the Super Outbreak, when 300-odd some people died, and yet we are on track of beating that record today? Why did so many people die now?

Although we have better technology, that doesn't really matter when talking about the number of deaths. As Donovan said, some people think "oh, it's not going to happen me...I'll be fine." Same thing is with hurricanes...why doesn't everyone evacuate? Because they think they're "invincible." And as Donovan also said, this tornado flattened homes, and if these people didn't have a basement, well then they would be in trouble, wouldn't they? :hmm:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 28, 2011, 06:24:44 PM
I haven't been on here to post about the Tuscaloosa and Birmingham tornadoes, because yesterday morning, we had bad straight-line winds that knocked out our power at about 5:30 yesterday morning and it didn't come on again until 10:15 this morning. I am very sad that these tornadoes have claimed so many lives.  :( they have hit places where I have a lot of childhood memories.  :cry: It's awful! My uncle's house is damaged. More than 230 people in my state alone have been killed and the death toll keeps going up.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 28, 2011, 06:31:58 PM
Well, at least Alabama is eligible for federal help/funds.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 28, 2011, 06:42:11 PM
Well, at least Alabama is eligible for federal help/funds.

On the local news, I heard Gov. Deal is expected to declare a Federal Disaster claim to President Obama for federal aid. He took a helicopter tour of the tornado damage in all the counties affected today. Also the death toll has risen to 14 and unfortunately is still expected to rise because there are people reported to still be missing atm.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on April 28, 2011, 10:49:46 PM
Death toll has risen to 305: http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20110428-727967.html (http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20110428-727967.html)

Quote
TUSCALOOSA, Al. (AFP)--The death toll from a series of storms and tornadoes across the southern United States soared to 305 on Thursday, with 204 confirmed fatalities in the state of Alabama alone.

"We have 204 for the state of Alabama, including 36 in Tuscaloosa," an emergency management spokeswoman said, referring to one of the worst-hit counties.

Officials warned that the definitive toll of what was already the worst tornado disaster to hit the United States in decades would probably not be known for days.

The overall toll includes 34 deaths in Tennessee, 33 in Mississippi, 14 in Georgia, 12 in Arkansas, five in Virginia, two in Missouri, and one in Kentucky, according to state officials.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on April 28, 2011, 11:03:20 PM
The death toll from this horrific tornado outbreak is more than likely going to pass the Super Outbreak from April 3-4, 1974.  A total of 315 people died in the Super Outbreak, and the fact we've just witnessed an outbreak that may be on par with the worst outbreak on record in many categories is mind-boggling. :blink:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 29, 2011, 06:55:34 AM
The death toll from this horrific tornado outbreak is more than likely going to pass the Super Outbreak from April 3-4, 1974.  A total of 315 people died in the Super Outbreak, and the fact we've just witnessed an outbreak that may be on par with the worst outbreak on record in many categories is mind-boggling. :blink:

What's ironic is that when I rewatched the episode of When Weather Changed History on the Super Outbreak of '74 they mentioned that something like that would probably never occur again because of how well advanced our technology in radars has gotten and earlier Tornado Warnings. Well, that belief for sure has been blown out of the water. What a tragic event this was, I expected there to be deaths from that tornado in Tuscaloosa, but never to this extreme magnitude or for it to travel hundreds of miles to cause more death and destruction. It's been hard not to cry at some of the stories you hear. At another weather forum I was at, they had been watching this storm on the models for over a week and it looked aggressive that far out! It's almost like thinking about how we were able to forecast the Superstorm of '93 a week ahead of time.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 29, 2011, 03:41:41 PM
The death toll from this horrific tornado outbreak is more than likely going to pass the Super Outbreak from April 3-4, 1974.  A total of 315 people died in the Super Outbreak, and the fact we've just witnessed an outbreak that may be on par with the worst outbreak on record in many categories is mind-boggling. :blink:
Well it now has. I read a tweet on twitter from Severe Studios that said the death toll has reached 318.  :cry: :(
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on April 29, 2011, 04:53:23 PM
As stated above, an NBC article states that the death count from these (160!?! :o) tornadoes is now at 318, surpassing the Superstorm of 1974. According to the article,

"The deadliest outbreak prior to this week's was in March 1932, when 332 people died."

"[This has been] the worst U.S. natural disaster since Hurricane Katrina in 2005, which killed up to 1,800 people."
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on April 29, 2011, 11:54:28 PM
Alabamians are well aware of tornadoes. They know what to do. They got more than enough advanced warning because Birmingham and Huntsville TV stations were doing weather coverage pretty much all day. The lead time on warnings from NWS Huntsville and NWS Birmingham was 20-25 minutes, well above the average of 11-14 minutes. What you have here - some touched on it a little - is that:

1. Many folks down south do not have basements and storm cellars.
2. The tornadoes were very powerful, therefore homes and business had no chance of withstanding the storms.

This was a situation where if you wasn't underground, there was a 50-50 shot of being killed. Unfortunately, many were killed even though they followed proper procedures.


On another note, here is the statement from NWS Memphis on the Smithfield, Miss. tornado that was upgraded to an EF5:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1150 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2011

...PRELIMINARY RARE EF-5 TORNADO IN MONROE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI...

AFTER A REVIEW OF THE DAMAGE PHOTOS TAKEN DURING THURSDAY/S GROUND
SURVEY AND CONSULTATION WITH NATIONAL EXPERTS...THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS UPGRADED THE SMITHVILLE TORNADO
RATING TO EF-5 DAMAGE. THIS IS THE HIGHEST RATING FOR TORNADO
DAMAGE AND THE FIRST EF-5 OR F-5 IN MISSISSIPPI SINCE THE
CANDLESTICK PARK TORNADO NEAR JACKSON ON MARCH 3RD 1966.

* COUNTY/COUNTIES: MONROE

* LOCATION/TIME OF EVENT: SMITHVILLE AT 344 PM EDT ON APRIL 27
2011

* BEGINNING POINT: 34.0517, -88.4236

* ENDING POINT: 34.0731, -88.3814

* RATING: EF-5

* ESTIMATED PEAK WIND: 205 MPH

* PATH LENGTH: 2.82 MILES

* MAXIMUM WIDTH: 1/2 MILE

* FATALITIES: 14

* INJURIES: 40

* SUMMARY OF DAMAGES: 18 HOMES DESTROYED...2 BUSINESSES /POST
  OFFICE AND POLICE STATION/ DESTROYED...8 HOMES WITH MAJOR
  DAMAGE...7 BUSINESSES WITH MAJOR DAMAGE...44 HOMES WITH MINOR
  DAMAGE...AND WATER SYSTEM DESTROYED. MOST TREES EITHER SNAPPED
  OR TWISTED AND DEBARKED. MOST THE HOMES DESTROYED WERE WELL
  BUILT...TWO STORIES...LESS THAN TEN YEARS OLD AND BOLTED DOWN TO
  THEIR FOUNDATIONS. AN 1965 CHEVY PICKUP TRUCK PARKED IN FRONT
  ONE OF THE DESTROYED HOMES HAS NOT BEEN FOUND. ALL APPLIANCES
  AND PLUMBING FIXTURES IN THE MOST EXTREME DAMAGE PATH SHREDDED
  OR MISSING.

$$

OKULSKI/INGRAM
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on April 30, 2011, 07:28:54 AM
The basement theory is the most likely reason for a lot of people behind the massive deaths, even met James Spann believes so.

Quote
"The truth is, even if you did everything you were supposed to do, unless you were in an underground bunker, you weren't going to survive," James Spann of the ABC affiliate in Birmingham, Ala., told the New York Times.


http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20110429/sc_livescience/whywerethesoutherntornadoessodeadly (http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20110429/sc_livescience/whywerethesoutherntornadoessodeadly)

I'm thankful we have a basement, but we would have to take shelter in the exterior part of the basement (which is still inside the house) The only problem with that is that there's windows in that area. I rather take a chance of being in there than in the other part of our basement our house is nearly 90 years old and there is a spaghetti string of pipes that run about 8 feet off the ground in there. If it wasn't for that it would be perfect because it's nothing but soundproof cement.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on April 30, 2011, 11:33:55 AM
It's unbelieveable that this breaks some of the records from the 1974 Super-outbreak, and the Palm Sunday outbreak of 1965 as well. This is the deadliest tornado outbreak in nearly 80 years.

And to think we're only about 1/3 of the way through tornado season...
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on April 30, 2011, 02:12:40 PM
It's unbelieveable that this breaks some of the records from the 1974 Super-outbreak, and the Palm Sunday outbreak of 1965 as well. This is the deadliest tornado outbreak in nearly 80 years.


Well, there's another outbreak to go: The Tri-State tornado of 1925, which is the deadliest single tornado in U.S. history, with nearly 700 fatalities and about 100 other fatalities in other tornadoes that occurred on that same day.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 01, 2011, 09:03:33 AM
It seems that Dixie Alley is getting much of the action this season. Tornado Alley has mainly seen hail, and a few smaller tornadoes, but nothing as destructive as what we have seen in the southern/southeastern states.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on May 03, 2011, 03:19:24 PM
Actually, early spring and the fall/early winter are prime time for tornadoes down here in Dixie Alley. It's just we've never seen an outbreak of this magnitude before.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on May 03, 2011, 03:27:36 PM
Now we turn our eyes toward another severe weather event: the historic flooding on the Mississippi and Ohio rivers. I'm sure yall heard about the Army Corps blowing up the levees at Birds Point, Mo. to save Cairo, Ill. (a ghost town IMO). They're forecasting all-time record crests on the Mississippi at Vicksburg (57.5 feet; flood stage 43 feet) and Natchez, Miss. (65 feet, 48 feet). The Army Corps is also considering opening the Morganza Spillway above Baton Rouge, which hasn't been used since the '73 flood.

Here's a civil emergency message from Memphis officials:

Quote
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
MEMPHIS SHELBY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1013 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE
MEMPHIS SHELBY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AGENCY.

FLOOD WARNING

ALL SHELBY RESIDENTS SHOULD WRAP UP PRECAUTIONARY ACTIONS OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE...ESPECIALLY IF YOU
LIVE WITHIN THE 100 YEAR FLOOD PLAIN OF RIVERS AND STREAMS. BE
PREPARED TO EVACUATE HOMES AND BUSINESSES WHEN FLOODING OCCURS.

RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AS IT
BORDERS SHELBY COUNTY. DESPITE THE END OF RAINFALL...STREAMS AND
TRIBUTARIES INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WOLF RIVER THE THE
LOOSAHATCHIE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE DUE TO BACKWATER FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

A MESSAGE FROM THE SHELBY COUNTY MAYOR MARK H. LUTTRELL...THIS IS
THE TIME TO GATHER ALL IMPORTANT ITEMS AND BE READY TO LEAVE YOUR
PROPERTY. THERE IS A VERY REAL POSSIBILITY PORTIONS OF SHELBY
COUNTY COULD BE AFFECTED BY THE RISING WATERS.

A C WHARTON...THE MAYOR OF MEMPHIS ADDED...WE WANT TO REASSURE OUR
CITIZENS THAT DISASTER TEAMS ARE IN PLACE AND WILL BE DOING
EVERYTHING POSSIBLE TO KEEP EVERYONE SAFE.

RIVERS AND CREEKS ARE QUICKLY RISING IN THE WESTERN AREA OF SHELBY
COUNTY AND WILL PROGRESSIVELY IMPACT AREAS FARTHER EAST AS WATER
BACKS UP INTO NEIGHBORHOODS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS. FLOOD WATERS
MAY ALSO RISE INTO NEIGHBORHOODS THROUGH STORM DRAINS. CONDITIONS
WILL WORSEN EACH DAY WITH THE CONTINUAL RISE OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER.

GO IMMEDIATELY TO HIGHER GROUND IF WATER STARTS TO RISE. AVOID
FLOOD WATERS.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 03, 2011, 05:11:25 PM
Wow, I'm looking at a potentially major severe weather outbreak from Monday to Wednesday of next week.

Monday: Plains
Tuesday: Plains, Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, MS Valley
Wednesday: Lower/Eastern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, East Coast
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 04, 2011, 12:36:15 AM
Wow, I'm looking at a potentially major severe weather outbreak from Monday to Wednesday of next week.

Monday: Plains
Tuesday: Plains, Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, MS Valley
Wednesday: Lower/Eastern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, East Coast
I see this. hmmm... Maybe we should wait a couple of days before we decide if its a threat or not, 5-6days is a little to far to tell. I see a strange thing on GFS that will happen here around, maybe a front will come from the north sometime this/next week instead of the usual west direction. BTW: What model forecast were you looking at?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 04, 2011, 09:36:10 AM
Wow, I'm looking at a potentially major severe weather outbreak from Monday to Wednesday of next week.

Monday: Plains
Tuesday: Plains, Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, MS Valley
Wednesday: Lower/Eastern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, East Coast
I see this. hmmm... Maybe we should wait a couple of days before we decide if its a threat or not, 5-6days is a little to far to tell. I see a strange thing on GFS that will happen here around, maybe a front will come from the north sometime this/next week instead of the usual west direction. BTW: What model forecast were you looking at?
I was looking at the GFS Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) model.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 04, 2011, 04:08:25 PM
Wow, I'm looking at a potentially major severe weather outbreak from Monday to Wednesday of next week.

Monday: Plains
Tuesday: Plains, Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, MS Valley
Wednesday: Lower/Eastern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, East Coast
I see this. hmmm... Maybe we should wait a couple of days before we decide if its a threat or not, 5-6days is a little to far to tell. I see a strange thing on GFS that will happen here around, maybe a front will come from the north sometime this/next week instead of the usual west direction. BTW: What model forecast were you looking at?
I was looking at the GFS Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) model.
Well CAPE is one thing, you have to look and see if there is going to be precip there also.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 04, 2011, 04:48:45 PM
Wow, I'm looking at a potentially major severe weather outbreak from Monday to Wednesday of next week.

Monday: Plains
Tuesday: Plains, Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, MS Valley
Wednesday: Lower/Eastern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, East Coast
I see this. hmmm... Maybe we should wait a couple of days before we decide if its a threat or not, 5-6days is a little to far to tell. I see a strange thing on GFS that will happen here around, maybe a front will come from the north sometime this/next week instead of the usual west direction. BTW: What model forecast were you looking at?
I was looking at the GFS Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) model.
Well CAPE is one thing, you have to look and see if there is going to be precip there also.
Yes, I checked the precip levels as well. There definately will be some precip, but activity might be scattered.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 04, 2011, 05:04:09 PM
Wow, I'm looking at a potentially major severe weather outbreak from Monday to Wednesday of next week.

Monday: Plains
Tuesday: Plains, Midwest, Lower Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, MS Valley
Wednesday: Lower/Eastern Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, East Coast
I see this. hmmm... Maybe we should wait a couple of days before we decide if its a threat or not, 5-6days is a little to far to tell. I see a strange thing on GFS that will happen here around, maybe a front will come from the north sometime this/next week instead of the usual west direction. BTW: What model forecast were you looking at?
I was looking at the GFS Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) model.
Well CAPE is one thing, you have to look and see if there is going to be precip there also.
Yes, I checked the precip levels as well. There definately will be some precip, but activity might be scattered.
Oh Okay Good. It looks like the Plains will get several waves of severe in the next week or so. The general patter is once the storms get as east as you and I they loose their severity. Which sucks.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 10, 2011, 11:09:30 PM
Its not too often that the hook echo is on the north side of a cell. Several cells tonight in SC have looked like this, odd. Can someone explain why they look like this?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 11, 2011, 09:18:04 AM
Its not too often that the hook echo is on the north side of a cell. Several cells tonight in SC have looked like this, odd. Can someone explain why they look like this?
It makes perfect sense that the hook is there if the storm is moving south-southeast. ;)  Don't always go by the classic textbook version which has the storm moving west to east with the hook on the southern end.  Storms can move in any direction based on wind shear, boundaries, and conditions aloft.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 11, 2011, 04:19:23 PM
Its not too often that the hook echo is on the north side of a cell. Several cells tonight in SC have looked like this, odd. Can someone explain why they look like this?
It makes perfect sense that the hook is there if the storm is moving south-southeast. ;)  Don't always go by the classic textbook version which has the storm moving west to east with the hook on the southern end.  Storms can move in any direction based on wind shear, boundaries, and conditions aloft.
Ah. Thanks Patrick.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 13, 2011, 11:23:29 PM
Today was a historic day for me as a meteorologist.  I issued my first five live warnings of my career.  Quoted below was my first ever live warning, which verified a half hour later with several reports of trees down and quarter-sized hail.

Quote
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 
207 PM EDT FRI MAY 13 2011 
 
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A 
 
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... 
  SOUTHEASTERN WYTHE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA 
  CITY OF GALAX IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA 
  NORTHEASTERN GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA 
  WESTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA 
 
* UNTIL 245 PM EDT. 
 
* AT 206 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND 
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR 
  FRIES...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... 
 
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE 
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD 
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER... 
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS. 
 
WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF QUARTER OR 
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE 
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT... 
1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. 
 
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FRIDAY 
EVENING FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. 
 
LAT...LON 3663 8119 3680 8119 3688 8067 3665 8065 
TIME...MOT...LOC 1807Z 261DEG 11KT 3673 8093 
 
PW
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 13, 2011, 11:30:18 PM
Congratulations Patrick!  :clap:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 13, 2011, 11:30:50 PM
Ha ha! Patrick, that's brilliant! Fantastic, fantastic job! I'm sure I speak for all the forum when I say congratulations on achieving this major milestone!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on May 13, 2011, 11:42:36 PM
Here in Alabama, people are still very much on edge from the tornadoes of April 27th.

Here is a video of the Tuscaloosa tornado of the 27th: Very scary.  :fear:

4/27/11 - Tuscaloosa Tornado (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5ohIVzIZLuQ#)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on May 22, 2011, 09:47:19 PM
Joplin, Missouri has now been hit by a mile-wide multiple vortex tornado and the scene looks very and eerily similar to Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Numerous fatalities and injuries in Joplin. Not even the hospital was spared. Fires are breaking out in the rubble.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 22, 2011, 10:08:24 PM
Cool video I found today. Didn't want to start a new topic, so i'll post it here. Nice time lapse of severe thunderstorms. Notice the movement of the stars(earths actually the one moving), still cool video.
Night Thunderstorm Timelapse, 9/10/09 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TeXRy97lwj8#ws)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on May 22, 2011, 10:18:33 PM
24 deaths reported from Joplin tornado. Also not to make this grim, but was the death toll from last months tornado outbreak ever finalized? Wikipedia says 344, but it says exact number unknown.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on May 23, 2011, 07:07:28 AM
ABC News reporting that 75% of Joplin has been damaged or destroyed, and 102 deaths were reported. 
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 23, 2011, 10:29:56 PM
I have never heard anything so terrifying and heartbreaking. This is video of some people riding out the Joplin tornado. I believe they were in a store or gas station.
First Person video of Joplin MO tornado 5/22/11 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQnvxJZucds#ws)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 24, 2011, 10:46:45 AM
There is a high risk of severe thunderstorms in South Central Kansas into much of Oklahoma, with a significant threat of tornadoes.

Cities in the high risk zone include: Oklahoma City, Norman, Tulsa, and Wichita.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on May 24, 2011, 05:34:23 PM
Large tornado on the ground just NW of El Reno, Oklahoma, which is several miles west of Oklahoma City. Other tornadoes are on the ground in the Sooner State.

KFOR and KOCO are streaming live.
http://www.kfor.com/news/livestreaming/ (http://www.kfor.com/news/livestreaming/)
http://livewire.koco.com/Event/Live_Wire_Oklahoma_Severe_Weather_May_23 (http://livewire.koco.com/Event/Live_Wire_Oklahoma_Severe_Weather_May_23)

EDIT: KWTV now streaming.
http://www.news9.com/category/184600/severe-weather-embedded-live-stream-kwtv1?redirected=true (http://www.news9.com/category/184600/severe-weather-embedded-live-stream-kwtv1?redirected=true)


Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCToday on May 24, 2011, 05:56:34 PM
AMAZING footage. TWC is covering
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on May 24, 2011, 06:37:50 PM
Darn it! May computer won't let me watch the live streaming video of the OKC local stations tornado coverage! :angry: :thumbdown:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCC_DJK5555 on May 24, 2011, 09:34:32 PM
Joplin, Missouri has now been hit by a mile-wide multiple vortex tornado and the scene looks very and eerily similar to Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Numerous fatalities and injuries in Joplin. Not even the hospital was spared. Fires are breaking out in the rubble.

Bettes was overcome with emotion while he was reporting on it. 

It looked terrible.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on May 24, 2011, 11:20:26 PM
Some circulation is being reported in the DFW Metroplex here too tonight.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 24, 2011, 11:37:39 PM
Joplin has been rated an EF5. Good lord, this severe year has been terrible.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 25, 2011, 07:45:12 AM
Joplin has been rated an EF5. Good lord, this severe year has been terrible.

Yes indeed and hot zones have switched, In April it was the MS Valley/Southeast and for May it's been the Plains while most of the SE has been hot and dry or wet w/ little activity in severe weather.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 25, 2011, 09:12:55 AM
Another high risk for severe weather has been issued for today by the SPC.

Locations include:
Extreme south and southwest IL, IN
southeast MO
northeast AR
west KY
west TN

Tornado probability:  30%

Large Hail probability:   45% (Very large hail possible)

Damaging Wind probability:   45%
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on May 25, 2011, 11:09:23 AM
Looks like a watch will be issued any time now.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 25, 2011, 11:50:18 AM
Current discussion is that the High Risk Zone is going to be extended westward, eastward, and northward to account for mounting instability.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on May 25, 2011, 12:53:28 PM
Tornado Warning for Kansas City metro area....one storm with tornado in Overland Park headed toward downtown KCK and KCMO. Another Doppler indicated tornado with strong rotation is near Lee's Summit, Raytown and SE Kansas City, Mo. headed toward Independence.

KMBC is streaming and TWC is on it too.
http://www.kmbc.com/video/28009450/detail.html (http://www.kmbc.com/video/28009450/detail.html)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 25, 2011, 04:54:40 PM
NWS Servers have apparently crashed says TWC Mark Elliot on twitter.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on May 26, 2011, 12:03:58 AM
A tornado watch is now in effect until 4 am for northeastern, central and southwestern Mississippi. Tupelo, Columbus, Greenwood, Greenville, the I-20 corridor, Natchez and Brookhaven are included in the watch.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on May 26, 2011, 10:24:29 PM
A tornado warning is in effect for northern Mecklenberg County, N.C....including the northern half of Charlotte. Severe thunderstorm warnings are in effect for the rest of Charlotte Metro.

Also, the NWS in Slidell, LA confirmed that an EF3 tornado touched down in St. Tammany Parish, LA near Bush earlier this evening. Winds were estimated at 140 mph and the damage path was 150 yards wide. Roughly ten homes were damaged.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on May 27, 2011, 03:06:08 PM

Yes indeed and hot zones have switched, In April it was the MS Valley/Southeast and for May it's been the Plains while most of the SE has been hot and dry or wet w/ little activity in severe weather.
Here in the Southeast, though, like here in Alabama, we've needed a break in severe weather, as people are still traumatized by last month's tornadoes. One month ago today. Whenever we have a thunderstorm, the people here freak out.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 27, 2011, 04:59:40 PM

Yes indeed and hot zones have switched, In April it was the MS Valley/Southeast and for May it's been the Plains while most of the SE has been hot and dry or wet w/ little activity in severe weather.
Here in the Southeast, though, like here in Alabama, we've needed a break in severe weather, as people are still traumatized by last month's tornadoes. One month ago today. Whenever we have a thunderstorm, the people here freak out.

That's understandable, if I had went through the nightmare of riding out a EF4 tornado I would be on pins and needles whenever a thunderstorm or severe weather comes in afterwards too. Even if you didn't go through a tornado last month here, the cloud to ground lightning, hail and damaging winds has been impressive alone this year. It seems to get more violent with every passing severe weather season in the Spring I've noticed in the past 3 years alone.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 28, 2011, 03:27:03 PM
We are having a different day here. Storms are going all over the place. With light winds, they don't really have anything steering them, causing them to move extremely slowly and dump heavy rain. Its raining almost horizontally here now with heavy wind. Lighting isn't too much of a threat today. SC and NC are all in this type of pattern.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Donovan on May 28, 2011, 05:54:36 PM
Speaking of severe weather. Today lighting had a victim near by. One of my granddad's cows got struck by lightning as will as her calf.  :hmm:
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 30, 2011, 09:44:48 PM
Okay, this is certainly odd. I've only seen one of these in my entire life. Ladies and gentlemen, meet the very rare PDS Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0405.html (http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0405.html)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on May 31, 2011, 06:55:34 PM

Yes indeed and hot zones have switched, In April it was the MS Valley/Southeast and for May it's been the Plains while most of the SE has been hot and dry or wet w/ little activity in severe weather.
Here in the Southeast, though, like here in Alabama, we've needed a break in severe weather, as people are still traumatized by last month's tornadoes. One month ago today. Whenever we have a thunderstorm, the people here freak out.

That's understandable, if I had went through the nightmare of riding out a EF4 tornado I would be on pins and needles whenever a thunderstorm or severe weather comes in afterwards too. Even if you didn't go through a tornado last month here, the cloud to ground lightning, hail and damaging winds has been impressive alone this year. It seems to get more violent with every passing severe weather season in the Spring I've noticed in the past 3 years alone.
One thing that I have noticed is that we have had a high risk every spring since 2006.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on June 01, 2011, 04:57:50 PM
Tornado Hits Springfield, MA

Excessive Damage according to local Springfield stations.

http://yfrog.com/hsadblwj (http://yfrog.com/hsadblwj)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Pop Light Brown on June 01, 2011, 05:24:31 PM
Tornado Hits Springfield, MA

Excessive Damage according to local Springfield stations.
That tornado is apparently still on the ground...just passed Southbridge.

Another rotating cell is headed toward Worcester...and may make it to Boston.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on June 01, 2011, 09:17:28 PM
At least 4 deaths are reported from the tornadoes according to various Twitter sources, death toll may climb from the Springfield twister

Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Eric on June 02, 2011, 03:39:20 AM
My town was on the far periphery of a storm that straddled the Massachusetts-New Hampshire border.  We got some rain and heard plenty of thunder in the distance, but the most eventful part of the evening was seeing the sky glow bright yellow as if it was the middle of the afternoon... and this was about 45 minutes before sunset.

Watching the tornado pass over the bridges in Springfield was just scary!!
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on June 02, 2011, 10:14:41 AM
if yesterday was a sign of things to come watch there be more tornadoes in new england this summer
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Eric on June 02, 2011, 06:48:29 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Massachusetts_tornado_outbreak (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Massachusetts_tornado_outbreak)
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on June 02, 2011, 07:39:39 PM
if yesterday was a sign of things to come watch there be more tornadoes in new england this summer
tornadoes can strike anywhere, it's not all about oklahoma and alabama as y'all perceive it to be
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: WeatherWitness on June 02, 2011, 10:18:45 PM
if yesterday was a sign of things to come watch there be more tornadoes in new england this summer
tornadoes can strike anywhere, it's not all about oklahoma and alabama as y'all perceive it to be

Who perceives it like that? :dunno: Oklahoma and Alabama are in tornado alley, so they may get more than others, but tornadoes can obviously strike in any part of the country. That makes sense.

Also, Alex, what gives you the thought that there will be more tornadoes in NE this summer?
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Mr. Rainman on June 03, 2011, 12:29:31 AM
I think he may be basing that on the fact that the jet stream is forcing storms to the north temporarily as this ridge of high pressure continues to sit over the Southeast. But I do agree that his assumption of a busy New England, tornado wise, is slightly over the top.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Localonthe8s on June 03, 2011, 11:25:18 AM
Correct.
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: gt1racerlHDl on June 03, 2011, 03:34:59 PM
Massachusetts Tornado EF-3

according to NWS Taunton
Title: Re: Severe Weather Season 2011/Severe Wx thread
Post by: Lightning on June 12, 2011, 04:52:46 PM
Who perceives it like that? :dunno: Oklahoma and Alabama are in tornado alley, so they may get more than others, but tornadoes can obviously strike in any part of the country. That makes sense.
Alabama is not in "tornado alley" being the region including Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska and Missouri, but we are in what is called "dixie alley", which include Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and portions of the Carolinas.

Also, although tornadoes are very unusual in New England, specifically Massachussetts, they are not unheard of there. On June 9, 1953, an F4 tornado ripped through the Worcester area, leaving 90 people dead. That tornado occurred one day after the infamous Flint, Michigan and Cleveland, Ohio tornadoes, which killed 114 and 8 people respectively.