April 28, 2024, 12:44:33 PM

Author Topic: Hurricane Central 2008  (Read 33467 times)

Offline Stephen

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #30 on: July 19, 2008, 03:13:11 PM »
Sounds like an indication that this season will be a busy one. :no:
It's already a busy start. However, just from that you can't say for sure what the rest of the season has in store. ;)

Offline TWCToday

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #31 on: July 19, 2008, 03:21:17 PM »
I talked to some friends on the Outer Banks today. People are buying extra supplies but there are no huge concerns at the moment. From the latest satellite pics of the storm you can see it now has a nice rotation to it and its over some warm waters so further strengthing is possible.

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #32 on: July 19, 2008, 04:25:37 PM »
Yet another organized low has formed off the coast of Africa

Found an interesting blog on weather.com about this season.

Offline Stephen

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #33 on: July 19, 2008, 04:51:55 PM »
Cristobal strengthens slightly (5 PM EDT advisory):

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 192048
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032008
500 PM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST OR ABOUT 125
MILES...195 KM...EAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 205
MILES...330 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL AND VERY
CLOSE TO THE COASTS OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA TODAY AND TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...33.0 N...77.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB


Offline TheRolyPoly

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #34 on: July 19, 2008, 11:08:22 PM »
Latest on Tropical Storm Bertha (11 PM Advisory)

Quote from: The National Weather Service
000
WTNT32 KNHC 200255
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER  68
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1100 PM AST SAT JUL 19 2008

...BERTHA WEAKENS...

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST OR ABOUT 545
MILES...875 KM...EAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...UNTIL BERTHA IS
ABSORBED BY A LARGER WEATHER SYSTEM.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  VERY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
WHILE BERTHA BEGINS TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...45.7 N...41.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5:00 AM AST.

Latest on Tropical Storm Cristobal (11 PM Advisory)

Quote from: The National Weather Service
000
WTNT33 KNHC 200250
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032008
1100 PM EDT SAT JUL 19 2008

...CRISTOBAL PARALLELING THE COAST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF LITTLE RIVER INLET TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.5 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES... 70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 170
MILES...270 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR.  A
CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.   ON THIS TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE TROPICAL STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL AND VERY
CLOSE TO THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...WITH ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...33.4 N...77.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5:00 AM EDT.
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Offline beanboy89

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #35 on: July 20, 2008, 11:43:31 AM »
Tropical Storm Dolly forms...

Quote
000
WTNT34 KNHC 201542
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
1145 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS IN THE WESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...

AT 1145 AM EDT...1545 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE
BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1145 AM EDT...1545Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST OR ABOUT 270
MILES...435 KM...EAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 230 MILES...365
KM...SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.  A
NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON
MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE DOLLY REACHES
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.  SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON MONDAY
ONCE DOLLY EMERGES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.  DOLLY COULD PRODUCE WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TODAY.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND WESTERN CUBA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES.  AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4
INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH A STORM TOTAL OF UP
TO 8 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1145 AM EDT POSITION...18.4 N...84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB
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Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #36 on: July 20, 2008, 12:11:06 PM »
Last Advisory for Tropical Storm Bertha

Quote
ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER  70
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022008
1100 AM AST SUN JUL 20 2008
 
...BERTHA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL OVER THE FAR NORTH ATLANTIC...
 
AT 1100 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 51.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.7 WEST OR ABOUT 850
MILES...1365 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND AND ABOUT
1020 MILES...1640 KM...SOUTHWEST OF REYKJAVIC ICELAND.
 
BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH...57 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  BERTHA HAS LOST TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND IS EXPECTED TO
SLOWLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 1100 AM AST POSITION...51.3 N...35.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.
 
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB/BLAKE

 
NNNN

Offline lfmusiclover

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #37 on: July 20, 2008, 12:13:03 PM »
Are there any updates on Cristobal?  :unsure:

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #38 on: July 20, 2008, 12:13:44 PM »
Tropical Storm Cristobal 11AM Advisory. This may bring some wind and wave impact to my area....

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 201459
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032008
1100 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...CRISTOBAL STILL HUGGING THE COAST...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM LITTLE
RIVER INLET NORTHWARD TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
NORTH OF SURF CITY TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.4 WEST OR ABOUT 15
MILES... 20 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 70 MILES...115 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...34.5 N...76.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.


3-day Projected Path:

« Last Edit: July 20, 2008, 12:15:35 PM by MikeM2010 »

Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #39 on: July 20, 2008, 12:16:54 PM »
Hurricane Fausto (eastern Pacific) 8AM PDT Advisory

Quote
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072008
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 20 2008

AT 800 AM PDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES
...610 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT
THE SAME SPEED OF MOTION DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING OF THE CYCLONE IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT TWO
DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM PDT POSITION...18.0 N...112.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

Offline LFMusicFan

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #40 on: July 20, 2008, 12:37:17 PM »
Tropical Storm Cristobal 11AM Advisory. This may bring some wind and wave impact to my area....
And I'll be sure to make an XL clip for you when/if it does. :happy:
WeatherSTAR 4000 radar map - last updated 11/25/08 at 11:15 PM PDT

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Offline Mike M

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #41 on: July 20, 2008, 12:39:21 PM »
Thanks. I'm sure most of the impact will be at the coast, though, but we'll see...

Offline Localonthe8s

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #42 on: July 20, 2008, 12:39:27 PM »
Tropical Storm Cristobal 11AM Advisory. This may bring some wind and wave impact to my area....
And I'll be sure to make an XL clip for you when/if it does. :happy:
It'll be worse in my area since I live right next to the ocean.

Offline TWCToday

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #43 on: July 20, 2008, 02:57:53 PM »
Heavy rain bands from Cristobol are moving through my area.
My Weather Station- http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KVANORFO13
Friends Station in Outer Banks- http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KNCCOROL2
Live WeatherScan XL Emulator: mms://72.218.133.188:1102
Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 201744
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032008
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008

...CRISTOBAL WEAKENS A LITTLE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY
TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT 25
MILES...40 KM...EAST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 50
MILES...80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE STORM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG THE COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...34.6 N...76.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
« Last Edit: July 20, 2008, 03:02:49 PM by Martin »

Offline beanboy89

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Re: Hurricane Central 2008
« Reply #44 on: July 21, 2008, 11:57:35 AM »
11 AM EDT advisories for Cristobal and Dolly...

Quote
000
WTNT33 KNHC 211456
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032008
1100 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE EAST COAST...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST OR ABOUT 190
MILES...305 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 725 MILES...1170 KM...SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS AND CRISTOBAL SHOULD START TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
LATE ON TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...36.6 N...72.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

Quote
000
WTNT34 KNHC 211454
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL042008
1100 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

...DOLLY NOW OVER THE WARM WATERS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE
TEXAS COAST FROM BROWNSVILLE NORTHWARD TO PORT O'CONNOR.  A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE TEXAS
COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 1100 AM EDT...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO THE U.S.
BORDER...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD
TO RIO SAN FERNANDO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
OF MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES... 90 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR.  A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN THE DIRECTION OF MOTION.  ON
THIS TRACK...DOLLY WILL BE APPROACHING THE COAST OF THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE BY TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON RECENT AIRCRAFT DATA
IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO SIX INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...22.1 N...89.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB


Hurricane Watches are in effect for the coastlines of southern Texas and northern Mexico.

Quote
000
WTNT84 KNHC 211502
TCVAT4

DOLLY WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1100 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

.TROPICAL STORM DOLLY

TXZ242-243-244-245-246-247-251-256-257-212100-
/O.NEW.KNHC.HU.A.1004.080721T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
1100 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

BROWNSVILLE-TX                      26.05N 97.17W
PORT-OCONNOR-TX                     28.39N 96.41W

$$

TXZ235-236-237-212100-
/O.NEW.KNHC.TR.A.1004.080721T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
1100 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

PORT-OCONNOR-TX                     28.39N 96.41W
SAN-LUIS-PASS-TX                    29.07N 95.13W

$$

ATTN...WFO...BRO...HGX...CRP...
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