000WTNT34 KNHC 121736TCPAT4BULLETINTROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1ANWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007100 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO A TROPICAL STORM...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXASTO CAMERON LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICALSTORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THENEXT 24 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF CAMERON TOINTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THATTROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCHAREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 70MILES...115 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 145MILES...235 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...ANDTHIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HUMBERTO SHOULD BECROSSING THE TEXAS COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 45 MPH...75KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING ISPOSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. THE EARLIER AIR FORCE RESERVE UNITRECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RETURNED TO BASE FOR MECHANICALREASONS...BUT A SECOND AIRCRAFT IS EXPECTED TO REACH HUMBERTOWITHIN AN HOUR OR SO.ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE MIDDLE ANDUPPER TEXAS COAST AND IN EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITHISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2-3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELSCAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKESLANDFALL.REPEATING THE 100 PM CDT POSITION...28.3 N...95.1 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONALHURRICANE CENTER AT 400 PM CDT.$$FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Will it become a hurricane?
Quote from: Thunder on September 12, 2007, 04:24:26 PMWill it become a hurricane? No chance.
000WTNT34 KNHC 122051TCPAT4BULLETINTROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 2NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092007400 PM CDT WED SEP 12 2007...HUMBERTO STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY TOWARD THE UPPER TEXASCOAST...AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDEDEASTWARD TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNINGIS NOW IN EFFECT FROM PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS TO INTRACOASTAL CITYLOUISIANA.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST OR ABOUT 50MILES... 80 KM...SOUTH OF GALVESTON TEXAS.HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURNTO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ISEXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THECENTER OF HUMBERTO SHOULD BE CROSSING THE UPPER TEXAS COAST WITHINTHE WARNING AREA IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KMFROM THE CENTER.THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVEUNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE TRACK OFHUMBERTO THROUGH EASTERN TEXAS AS WELL AS WESTERN AND CENTRALLOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHESPOSSIBLE.COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELSCAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKESLANDFALL.ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS ANDSOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA TONIGHT.REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...28.6 N...94.9 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...NORTH NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB.AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000PM CDT.$$FORECASTER FRANKLIN
000WTNT33 KNHC 122034TCPAT3BULLETINTROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT ADVISORY NUMBER 2NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082007500 PM AST WED SEP 12 2007...DEPRESSION APPROACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...AT 500 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST OR ABOUT 1065MILES...1715 KM...EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOMEDECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS ANDTHE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.REPEATING THE 500 PM AST POSITION...13.5 N...45.5 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT1100 PM AST.$$FORECASTER BROWN
Humberto WILL NOT hit hurricane strength. It should weaken from here on out because its making landfall.
Quote from: lfmusiclover on September 12, 2007, 11:19:33 PMHumberto WILL NOT hit hurricane strength. It should weaken from here on out because its making landfall.Well I'm not saying Humberto will be a hurricane once it makes landfall. It should weaken but I'm just saying that it could hit hurricane strength while in the warm Gulf waters.
000WTNT34 KNHC 130532TCPAT4BULLETINHURRICANE HUMBERTO SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 4NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0920071215 AM CDT THU SEP 13 2007...HUMBERTO BECOMES A HURRICANE JUST BEFORE LANDFALL......HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COVER SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF CENTER...AT 1215 AM CDT...0515Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROMEAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO CAMERON LOUISIANA. THE HURRICANEWARNING FOR HUMBERTO MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDWITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF SARGENTTEXAS TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM EAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA TOTO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUEDBY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.AT 1215 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEARLATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...30KM...EAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS...AND ABOUT 15 MILES...20 KM...SOUTHOF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS.HUMBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE INFORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECASTTRACK THE CENTER WILL BE CROSSING THE UPPER TEXAS COAST WITHIN THENEXT FEW HOURS. DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND DOPPLER RADARINDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CONFINED TO A SMALL AREANORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. HUMBERTO IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANEON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING ISEXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDOUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 992MB...29.29 INCHES.RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE TRACK OFHUMBERTO THROUGH EASTERN TEXAS AS WELL AS WESTERN AND CENTRALLOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM ACCUMULATIONS OF 15 INCHESPOSSIBLE.COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELSCAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKESLANDFALL.ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS ANDSOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY.REPEATING THE 1215 AM CDT POSITION...29.4 N...94.4 W. MOVEMENTTOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANECENTER AT 400 AM CDT.$$FORECASTER MAINELLI/AVILA
Wow, I'm amazed. I didn't think there was enough time for that to happen.
I was right Gary. It indeed formed into a hurricane. It seems that all the hurricanes this season, are rapidly intensifying such as Dean and Felix. I'd be shocked if it becomes a CAt 3 during landfall even though it's extremely unlikely.