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Weather Discussion => Forecasting => Topic started by: phw115wvwx on May 05, 2013, 12:50:40 AM

Title: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 05, 2013, 12:50:40 AM
Welcome to Round 1 of the TWCT/TWCC Forecasting Contest!  Your first city is Casper, WY.  The NWS daily climate summary for the ASOS at the airport just northwest of this city (METAR ID:  KCPR) will be the official verification.  You may use anything to make your forecasts, but please make it your own effort.  Your Day 1 forecast of the high and low temperatures, the probability of precipitation, and the precipitation amount for Monday, May 6 is due at 12:00:00 AM EDT tonight.  Those who are not in Eastern Time must adjust accordingly.  We will proceed in this topic until all ten forecasting days are completed and a winner is crowned.

If any issues arise with either the forecasts or the verification, please let Andy and I know so that we may fix them.  We will not penalize participants if missing observations occur that cannot be resolved.  Also, we will update the scoring as it progresses, but I will sit out this round to make sure everything runs smoothly.  Please read the rules at this link, because it will be assumed that you understand them completely when you make your first forecast:

http://twctodayforums.com/forums/forecasting/twcttwcc-forecasting-contest-rules-4808/ (http://twctodayforums.com/forums/forecasting/twcttwcc-forecasting-contest-rules-4808/)

Good luck, everyone! B)
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Trevor on May 05, 2013, 10:40:50 AM
Monday, May 6, 2013
High Temperature: 60
Low Temperature: 38
POP: 30%
Precip Amount: 0.02"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 05, 2013, 11:46:30 AM
Casper, WY
May 6, 2013

High Temperature: 62F
Low Temperature: 37F
Chance of Precipitation: 10%
Precipitation Amount: 0.01
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 05, 2013, 01:37:08 PM
Monday, May 6th, 2013
KCPR Forecast

High Temperature: 67F
Low Temperature: 36F
Chance of Precip: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"

Used MAV/MET blend for 2mT and PoP. Used 4km HiRES NAM for PoP, 2mT, and Precip Amount

EDIT: HAVE DECIDED TO STAY WITH FORECAST.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 05, 2013, 02:56:15 PM
Trevor, I hope you meant May 6 on your forecast and that it's just a typo.  I don't want you forecasting the wrong day. :P

Craig, you can always delete your post and make a new one before midnight if you want to change anything.  I'm not going to put any forecasts into the spreadsheet until it's past the deadline. :yes:
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 05, 2013, 03:00:40 PM
Casper, WY
May 6, 2013

High Temperature: 59 F
Low Temperature: 36 F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Trevor on May 05, 2013, 04:00:07 PM
Trevor, I hope you meant May 6 on your forecast and that it's just a typo.  I don't want you forecasting the wrong day. :P

Wow..haha. Yes I forecasted the right day, just looked at my computer's calendar and saw "5" and typed it. :P
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 05, 2013, 04:36:53 PM
Casper, WY - May 6, 2013

High Temperature: 64
Low Temperature: 38
Chance of Precipitation: 20%
Precipitation Amount: 0.01
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 05, 2013, 04:52:51 PM
Forecast is subject to change with 00Z runs and radar/satellite analysis.

Casper, WY
Monday, May 6, 2013
HIGH TEMPERATURE: 70
LOW TEMPERATURE: 39
POP: 30%
PRECIPITATION: 0.02"


USED ECMWF 850/700 MB TEMPS. BLEND OF GFS/ECMWF FOR POPS AND PRECIP TOTALS.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 06, 2013, 12:38:58 AM
The deadline for Day 1 has passed.  You may enter your Day 2 forecast for Tuesday, May 7 here. :yes:
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 06, 2013, 08:46:40 AM
Casper, WY
Tuesday, May 7, 2013

High Temperature: 62 F
Low Temperature: 39 F
Chance or Precipitation: 20%
Precipitation Amount: 0.06"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 06, 2013, 10:35:41 AM
Casper, WY
Tuesday, May 7, 2013


High: 68F
Low: 43F
C.O.P: 30%
Accumulated Precip: 0.18

I used the model output statistics (MOS) along with the ECMWF/UKMET for this forecast.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 06, 2013, 06:34:28 PM
Tuesday, May 7, 2013 - Casper, WY

High: 68
Low: 37
Chance of Precipitation: 30%
Amount: 0.07"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Trevor on May 06, 2013, 06:43:34 PM
Tuesday, May 7, 2013
High Temperature: 55
Low Temperature: 39
POP: 40%
Precip Amount: 0.1"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 06, 2013, 09:22:11 PM
Tuesday, May 7, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 69F
Low Temperature: 37F
Chance of Precipitation: 20%
Precipitation Amount: 0.02"

Have used MAV/MET blend for 2mT with a slightly decreased low temp value for radiational cooling.  Disregarded ECMWF 2mT as have been too cool. Blend of MET/4km NAM/ECMWF for precip amount and PoP.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 06, 2013, 09:34:28 PM
Casper, WY
Tuesday, May 7, 2013
HIGH TEMPERATURE: 70
LOW TEMPERATURE: 37
POP: 30%
PRECIPITATION: 0.03"


REGION BEGINNING TO COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A CUT-OFF LOW CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL COAST OF CALIFORNIA. NAM AND UKMET ARE NOT HANDLING THIS SYSTEM WELL...KEEPING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING AROUND THE BOTTOM OF THE LOW WEAK. GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO HANDLE THE SYSTEM WELL SO WILL RELY MORE HEAVILY ON THESE. THUS...USED ECMWF AND SOME GFS H7/H8 TEMP GUIDANCE AND PRECIP.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 07, 2013, 01:24:37 AM
The deadline for Day 2 has passed.  Mac, please don't add your forecasting discussion after the deadline as it'll raise suspicions.  I already saw your numbers before midnight, so I know they're okay.  Day 3 forecasts for Wednesday, May 8 may now commence.

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 1 Verification

High:  70F
Low:  29F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00"


I've attached the results from Day 1 and the overall leaderboard as of now.  The tiebreaker column is just your total error points from the second week of this round, which currently stands at zero for everyone.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 07, 2013, 08:26:19 AM
Casper, WY
Wednesday, May 8, 2013

High Temperature: 70 F
Low Temperature: 42 F
Chance or Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Trevor on May 07, 2013, 09:12:09 PM
Wednesday, May 8, 2013

High: 64
Low: 43
POP: 40%
Amount: 0.09"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 07, 2013, 09:38:06 PM
Casper, WY - May 8, 2013

High: 66
Low: 38
Chance of Precipitation: 40%
Amount: 0.05"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 07, 2013, 09:43:25 PM
Wednesday, May 8, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 68F
Low Temperature: 38F
Chance of Precipitation: 40%
Amount of Precip: 0.08"

MAV/MET blend for 2mT. Decreased low temp value for radiational cooling. Used MET/4km NAM/EMCWF for PoP and precip amount.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 07, 2013, 10:38:57 PM
Deleted my previous post to make some slight revisions.

Casper, WY (KCPR)
Wednesday, May 8, 2013

High: 68F
Low: 42F
C.O.P: 40%
Forecasted Precip Amount: 0.07
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 07, 2013, 10:44:41 PM
Casper, WY
Wednesday, May 8, 2013
HIGH TEMPERATURE: 66
LOW TEMPERATURE: 37
POP: 50%
PRECIPITATION: 0.08"


I have put my forecast reasoning on as an attachment for tonight's forecast. Craig, you're killing me here.  :lol:
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 08, 2013, 02:25:57 AM
Day 3 forecasting is done, and Day 4 forecasting for Thursday, May 9 is underway.  I hope you are starting to realize how much the models struggle with a desert valley where large temperature swings are common.  Here are the results from Day 2 and the current leaderboard:

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 2 Verification

High:  69F
Low:  32F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 08, 2013, 08:36:49 AM
Casper, WY
Thursday, May 9, 2013

High Temperature: 66 F
Low Temperature: 37 F
Chance or Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Mr. Rainman on May 08, 2013, 04:41:10 PM
Have to bow out for the remainder of this round. I have to focus on exams. Best of luck to everyone!
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 08, 2013, 06:12:01 PM
Casper, WY - May 9, 2013

High: 66
Low: 40
Chance of Precipitation: 10%
Amount: 0.01"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 08, 2013, 06:54:01 PM
Have to bow out for the remainder of this round. I have to focus on exams. Best of luck to everyone!
Accepting defeat?  :bleh:  :lol:

JK!
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 08, 2013, 07:34:14 PM
Casper, WY (KCPR)
Thursday, May 9, 2013

High: 65F
Low: 40F
C.O.P: 20%
Forecasted Precip Amount: 0.04
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 08, 2013, 10:25:01 PM
Thursday, May 8, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 66F
Low Temperature: 35F
Chance of Precipitation: 20%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.02"

MAV/MET blend. Decreased low temperature. PoP and amount from 4km NAM. Not much effort put in on this one. Disregarded ECMWF 2mT's, have been far from stellar at this point.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 09, 2013, 12:58:52 AM
Day 4 is finished, and the last day of the first week is here.  I made a few tweaks to the contest rules, but nothing will affect the scoring process already in place.  I clarified how trace amounts of precipitation are scored, how missing data is handled, and how the verification process works such as where you're forecasting and what is used.  You're welcome to ask any questions if needed. ;)

It rained for ten minutes on Day 3, but only a trace of precipitation fell.  Thus, it counts as no precipitation according to the rules.

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 3 Verification

High:  71F
Low:  40F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00" (Trace)
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 09, 2013, 08:29:04 AM
Casper, WY
Friday, May 10, 2013

High Temperature: 69 F
Low Temperature: 39 F
Chance or Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 09, 2013, 05:17:53 PM
Casper, WY - May 10, 2013

High: 68
Low: 38
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 09, 2013, 10:01:57 PM
Making a revision, looking at some of the models again, I've been getting burned on the precip chances. I think I'll take the risk and go dry for this forecast.

Casper, WY (KCPR)
Friday, May 10, 2013

High: 70F
Low: 38F
C.O.P: 0%
Forecasted Precip Amount: 0.00
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 09, 2013, 10:06:44 PM
Friday, May 10, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 70F
Low Temperature: 34F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.00"

*Decided to go slightly warmer with the high temp from previous forecast.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 10, 2013, 01:06:37 AM
The first week of forecasting is over.  I hope you all think this idea is going well, and I will gladly take comments or suggestions for improvement during this little break.  You won't have to forecast again until Sunday evening when you will start on Day 6 for Monday, May 13.

Rain was observed again at the airport, but it still only registered a trace of precipitation for Day 4.  Mac and Trevor have been assigned a penalty for missing their forecasts.

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 4 Verification

High:  70F
Low:  36F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00" (Trace)
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Trevor on May 10, 2013, 07:36:59 AM
Sorry I haven't forecasted for the last few days, I won't be able to finish this round, sadly. I have to focus on studying for exams. It was fun, though.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 11, 2013, 02:22:55 AM
Mac and Trevor, thanks for at least trying.  Hope you both can rejoin during the next round.  I also hope there will be more participation once all the school exams finish.  So, I'll simply show the four remaining contestants in future scores for Casper, WY.

You four were lucky as rain was briefly observed again at the airport, but only a trace of precipitation fell.  I hope you realize that this site does get precipitation as it had 4.7" of snow from a storm on April 30 and May 1.  I hope you four feel this contest is going well, and I will take any suggestions to help make it better in future rounds.  The leaderboard halfway through this first round is given in the attachment, which shows Craig with the lead by 11.4 error points.  Next week, the tiebreaker comes into play, so good luck to all four of you!

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 5 Verification

High:  71F
Low:  37F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00" (Trace)
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 11, 2013, 08:27:59 AM
It's funny you bring up the precipitation.  :happy:  The times anybody tried to forecast any, there turned out not to be any measurable amount.  So, it's easy to just get into the mode of never forecasting any, rather than get busted for it on every forecast.

If there's anything I've picked up on from the first week, it's that this is a lot harder than it looks on TV.  I guess you can probably tell by now that I'm not a real forecaster (and I don't even play one on TV).  :rolleyes:
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 12, 2013, 12:16:28 AM
That Friday forecast is the best forecast I've had all week. I was only a degree off (high/low) for a perfect prediction. :happy: Too bad I got thrown under the bus on the other days though. :lol:
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 12, 2013, 01:29:01 PM
Your Day 6 forecast for Monday, May 13 is due at midnight tonight.  I didn't receive any feedback about the scoring and rules, so I hope all of you are happy and feel that no changes are needed going forward.
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 12, 2013, 05:13:11 PM
Casper, WY (KCPR)
Monday, May 13, 2013

High: 87F
Low: 50F
C.O.P: 0%
Precip Amount: 0.00

Just a side-note, if Casper really gets as warm as I'm predicting, they'll be warmer than we've been here so far this year. :blink: The weirdness of weather continues...
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 12, 2013, 06:33:29 PM
Casper, WY
Monday, May 13, 2013

High Temperature: 85 F
Low Temperature: 51 F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 12, 2013, 08:35:01 PM
Casper, WY - May 13, 2013

High: 88
Low: 48
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 12, 2013, 09:33:44 PM
Monday, May 12, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 88F
Low Temperature: 47F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount of Precip: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 13, 2013, 01:05:26 PM
Casper, WY
Tuesday, May 14, 2013

High Temperature: 84 F
Low Temperature: 52 F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 13, 2013, 08:19:11 PM
Casper, WY (KCPR)
Tuesday, May 14, 2013

High: 84F
Low: 55F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00

Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 13, 2013, 09:08:29 PM
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 83F
Low Temperature: 53F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount of Precip: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 13, 2013, 09:36:05 PM
Casper, WY - May 14, 2013

High: 84
Low: 53
Chance of Precipitation:0%
Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 14, 2013, 01:59:28 AM
Sorry that I picked a city in a time period when it has a chance to not have any rain at all. :P  Hopefully, the next one will take care of that problem.  Here are the Day 6 scores and the overall leaderboard:

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 6 Verification

High:  88F
Low:  52F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 14, 2013, 10:02:29 AM
Casper, WY
Wednesday, May 15, 2013

High Temperature: 78 F
Low Temperature: 46 F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 14, 2013, 08:45:21 PM
REVISION
Casper, WY (KCPR)
Wednesday, May 15, 2013

High: 81F
Low: 45F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 14, 2013, 08:50:25 PM
Casper, WY - May 15, 2013

High: 83
Low: 46
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 14, 2013, 10:55:06 PM
Wednesday, May 15, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 80F
Low Temperature: 45F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount of Precip: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 15, 2013, 01:23:56 AM
During the last two days, you all have been trying to forecast what ended up as record highs at Casper.  I'm sure you're now seeing that model guidance also struggles when things go extreme compared to climatology.  The rest of this week could be interesting based on what I see in the NWS forecast ahead.  Here are the Day 7 results and the overall leaderboard:

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 7 Verification

High:  88F
Low:  51F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 15, 2013, 08:17:52 AM
Casper, WY
Thursday, May 16, 2013

High Temperature: 80 F
Low Temperature: 49 F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 15, 2013, 09:07:49 PM
Casper, WY (KCPR)
Thursday, May 16, 2013

High: 80F
Low: 48F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 15, 2013, 09:27:08 PM
Casper, WY - May 16, 2013

High: 81
Low: 47
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 15, 2013, 10:44:44 PM
Thursday, May 16, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 79F
Low Temperature: 46F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount of Precipitation: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 16, 2013, 04:25:22 AM
You'll be entering your last forecast for this round today.  Here are the Day 8 results, and I'm just going to let the numbers speak for themselves as everyone busted.

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 8 Verification

High:  83F
Low:  41F
POP:  100%
Precipitation:  0.05"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: Metarvo on May 16, 2013, 08:11:55 AM
I just knew this would happen.  :rolleyes:

Casper, WY
Friday, May 17, 2013

High Temperature: 85 F
Low Temperature: 46 F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: toxictwister00 on May 16, 2013, 05:13:45 PM
Casper, WY (KCPR)
Friday, May 17, 2013

High: 85F
Low: 45F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Precipitation Amount: 0.00
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCmatthew on May 16, 2013, 06:41:45 PM
Casper, WY - May 17, 2013

High: 86F
Low: 45F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: TWCCraig on May 16, 2013, 10:52:48 PM
Friday, May 17, 2013
KCPR Forecast:

High Temperature: 83F
Low Temperature: 45F
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Amount of Precip: 0.00"
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 17, 2013, 06:25:49 AM
Everyone has finished this round of forecasting.  Thanks for your participation!  I don't know why all of you continue to put a 0% chance of precipitation when showers have been around for the past couple days.  More rain arrived late in Day 9, but it only measured a trace.  However, 0.08" of rain has fallen in Day 10, which means everyone has already busted again for the final day. 

If I can make a suggestion for you four in future rounds, you shouldn't put 0% chance POPs when there's any remote chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm, especially in the mountains where orographic lifting can easily trigger them.  It's much better to put low non-zero POPs as that strategy will always score better over the long run than just 0% all the time, and it's also far more realistic as a forecast.  Were you all really 100% confident that it would not rain?  I would have had 20-30% POPs these last few days if playing this round, which would have made a huge difference.  I'm sorry if it sounds like I'm upset, but I'm really trying to help you see how to forecast and score better.  Here are the Day 9 results:

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 9 Verification

High:  78F
Low:  47F
POP:  0%
Precipitation:  0.00" (Trace)
Title: Re: Round 1: Casper, WY
Post by: phw115wvwx on May 18, 2013, 03:52:30 AM
The last day featured an odd sight as the low actually occurred right before midnight to end the verification period.  I already discussed the precipitation issue in the previous post, so there is no need for me to repeat it.  Here are the Day 10 results and the final leaderboard for Round 1:

Casper, WY (KCPR) Day 10 Verification

High:  81F
Low:  45F
POP:  100%
Precipitation:  0.08"


Congratulations to Craig as he is the winner of the Casper, WY round!  He will be picking the next city, and I will put up a new topic when we are ready to start Round 2 of this contest.  Craig, please PM me with your choice that is not in the Mountain Time Zone as I started this contest there, and you are welcome to ask me for any help.